gosaints Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Phase baby phase Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 72 HR Precip http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPCN72NE_6z/f90.gif Three of those are whoppers for the MKE area, with over an inch of precip (should be mostly snow based on low track anyway). Edit: I notice you mentioned that above. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SE Wisconsin Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 To use a baseball analogy, tonight's runs are like when your team starts getting runners on base in the 8th inning of a game they're losing by 3-4 runs. All you can hope for is that they keep the line moving & avoid any big outs.Let's just hope Mother Nature comes through for us just like the Royals did in the 2015 post-season! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 NAM coming in much stronger and actually has a nice defo band forming Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 I better not get 3" from this. All of the snow is finally gone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 12z NAM showing 10-12 amounts in N. IL or so via IWM Low deepens nicely once it hits central/NE IL http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f66/acckucherasnowmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Showing a nice band with 1-2 in amounts: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f57/refmw.png http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f60/refmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 I better not get 3" from this. All of the snow is finally gone. Are you saying that because it's a nuisance amount, or are you rooting against snow period? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 So, Chicago goes from 0 inches of snow on 6z NAM to about 10 on 12z. Won't take that much to get this a stronger system either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Are you saying that because it's a nuisance amount, or are you rooting against snow period?Nuisance, but I'm enjoying these 50°s. So its either 6+" or nothing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 6z NAM HR 63: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/06Z/f63/sfcmw.png 12z NAM HR 57 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160228/12Z/f57/sfcmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Nuisance, but I'm enjoying these 50°s. So its either 6+" or nothing. I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show. I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show. I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March.Models might be playing catchup and going back to the original solutions they had a few days ago. Not sure but seems like the lows getting stronger and more north each run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthandturf Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show. I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March.Not for those of us who plow, it's been a tough winter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 I think we have an outside shot at 6" or more, like some of the GFS Ensembles show. I agree though that 3" would be nuisance stuff, even in March.Maybe those 20" totals will come back... Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Maybe those 20" totals will come back... LolThat would be pretty funny Milwaukee afd pretty much said this morning that totals will be very light (under a couple inches) Rgem at hr 48 has a 1008 L just north of STL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs coming in stronger Now showing 12-13 for Milwaukee/geos area 4-6 up here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs coming in stronger Now showing 12-13 for Milwaukee/geos area 4-6 up here You have to be kidding me!? Along with the RGEM looking interesting for low placement, the plot is thickening big-time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 To use a baseball analogy, tonight's runs are like when your team starts getting runners on base in the 8th inning of a game they're losing by 3-4 runs. All you can hope for is that they keep the line moving & avoid any big outs.Base hit! One run is in, and here comes the runner from 3rd...safe! It's a 2-run game! Can you tell I'm happy Spring Training is underway? Haha. Storm's making a nice comeback compared to yesterday's morning runs. 1 Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Solid 6-10 on the gfs nuce guys. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 You have to be kidding me!? Along with the RGEM looking interesting for low placement, the plot is thickening big-time.Nope Milwaukee gets hit with the fgn band which produces 4-6 or so and then the low itself came in stronger which produces another 5-6 or so Snows for more than 24 hours Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Nope Milwaukee gets hit with the fgn band which produces 4-6 or so and then the low itself came in stronger which produces another 5-6 or so Snows for more than 24 hoursMust like kuchera. Kuchera is a weenie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Must like kuchera. Kuchera is a weenie.Instant Weather Maps actually shows a bit more snow than the kuchera maps lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Instant Weather Maps actually shows a bit more snow than the kuchera maps lolI am only kidding I hope you plaster. In the back of your mind you are thinking the trend isnt done Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 I am only kidding I hope you plaster.Surprised geos or tom isn't in here yet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Surprised geos or tom isn't in here yetThey have been burned to many times Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 You got a map Money? Guessing I am on the western edge? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f078/acckucherasnowmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 HR 48 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f048/sfcmw.png HR 54 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f054/sfcmw.png HR 60 http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f060/sfcmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Whoa. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 This is with the first band of snow: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f048/acckucherasnowmw.png Then from the main system: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/gfshires/20160228/12Z/f072/24hkucherasnowmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Well what a surprise looking at the new modeling. Looks like it's trending back to the original solution from a few days back. Can the Euro bring back its 2ft solutions to this party. Looks like all the models are stronger/wetter with each run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Geos was the only one not throwing in the towel on this one. LOL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Geos was the only one not throwing in the towel on this one. LOLHe did yesterday afternoon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Geos was the only one not throwing in the towel on this one. LOL I was waiting for the GGEM to come in. lol It looks like we're locking in for a stronger storm again. Probably not a super snow storm like it was looking like on Thursday. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 He did yesterday afternoon I was down after the 18z runs, but then the 0z runs came in. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 This reminds me of thre feb 1 and 2 storm last year. Models crapped out in the mid range then came back 2 days before the Storm. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Good agreement between the models this morning. All of them showing 6"+ amounts within 100 miles of each other. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 28, 2016 Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 Gfs ensembles are a mixed bag 4-5 south/ weaker than op and there's 5-6 that are sub 990 that track in NW IN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2016 Author Report Share Posted February 28, 2016 4km NAM vs. 12km NAM Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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