January 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[HighlandExperience]

[stuffradio]

Northern Florida looks chilly.

Orange juice?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Our 1950 blast has taken the midnight train to Georgia.

[Deweydog]

Orange juice?

Shortage!

[MossMan]

Did that happen then. Did it show a major switch to soutwesterly only to revert to another northerly blast in 2008??? Thanks ,JP

No.

[Front Ranger]

Euro has the block less tilted than GFS at day 3. May end up being meaningless, but it's a small step in the right direction.

[HighlandExperience]

Our 1950 blast has taken the midnight train to Georgia.

I bet Tampa will get 12 inches.

[MossMan]

Our 1950 blast has taken the midnight train to Georgia.

Not much I truly hate in this world...however I am so sick of the east coast constantly hogging all of the cold air.

[Deweydog]

Euro has the block less tilted than GFS at day 3. May end up being meaningless, but it's a small step in the right direction.

Band aid on a gunshot wound.

[Front Ranger]

Band aid on a gunshot wound.

 

Wet blanket on a warning shot wound?

[MossMan]

Band aid on a gunshot wound.

Hey a band-aid could buy us a few extra hours of snow life before the cold bleeds out!

[BLI snowman]

Not much I truly hate in this world...however I am so sick of the east coast constantly hogging all of the cold air.

It's been a very West-centric winter so far.

[HighlandExperience]

Hey a band-aid could buy us a few extra hours of snow life before the cold bleeds out!

I'd be happy with 5-7 hours of heavy wet snow during the day at this point.

[MossMan]

I bet Tampa will get 12 inches.

Phil's broken air conditioner in his Motel will be thankful for that!

[Deweydog]

Wet blanket on a warning shot wound?

Moist dressings can be very effective.

 

Is it still possible to have a warning shot mentality IN January?

[Front Ranger]

Only significant differences at day 4 compared to GFS is southern low is much further offfshore, not getting sucked into northern branch as quickly. And the blocking ridge in Alaska is stronger.

[MossMan]

It's been a very West-centric winter so far.

One month does not make up for nearly 5yrs of mediocrity on the west coast...I still don't like those cold stealing wisenheimers.

[Timmy]

One month does not make up for nearly 5yrs of mediocrity on the west coast...I still don't like those cold stealing wisenheimers.

Careful Fred may ban you for that, he lives on the east coast too.

[Deweydog]

At the very least the models seem to be back to some semblance of agreement through five days or so.

[BLI snowman]

One month does not make up for nearly 5yrs of mediocrity on the west coast...I still don't like those cold stealing wisenheimers.

I hear the snow in New Jersey smells really bad.

[stuffradio]

PNA is trending towards neutral by mid-month.

 

[MossMan]

How does kickoff time look on Saturday? Overruney snowy?

[luvssnow_spokane]

Only significant differences at day 4 compared to GFS is southern low is much further offfshore, not getting sucked into northern branch as quickly. And the blocking ridge in Alaska is stronger.

Therefore the same end result. Meh..

[Skagit Weather]

Usually pretty good for radiational cooling up here, but I guess with the arctic air leaking out the temperature is struggling to drop. Maybe tomorrow night. Currently 26F and clear after a pretty warm high of 36F.

[Brennan]

PNA is trending towards neutral by mid-month.

 

4indices.png

Not like tanked negative helped us score anything worth remember anyways

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

All that Chinese smog is screwing us!!

[TT-SEA]

How does kickoff time look on Saturday? Overruney snowy?

 

 

00Z ECMWF is pretty dry for the game... precip starts late in the evening.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Not like tanked negative helped us score anything worth remember anyways

Lol!! So true.. epic block, tanked PNA and mediocre results at best. D**n China smog!

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF says the transition is straight from dry to rain for most of us.   Except the Hood Canal where it will probably snow for a week straight.  

[Deweydog]

The Euro is a dumpster fire.

[Kayla]

For what's it worth, the precip shield makes it about 50 miles further north on the 00z euro. Baby steps.

[Phil]

Not much I truly hate in this world...however I am so sick of the east coast constantly hogging all of the cold air.

Come again?

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/E17CE514-DC07-4D18-B242-EEF97BCB32B8_zpsn4i8c9uo.png

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/91750104-F2C7-46E4-8BB6-9E8100BBE761_zpsbkbiy6lo.png

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/5DBAD317-4784-44E9-8073-62C6A4690E61_zpsepzxjgsp.png

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/5B4FDA42-015B-4C26-9E05-A51E9C0B9F42_zpsgiynewxa.png

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/EEC8D1C8-6A7F-4E33-83B8-8CA55026B480_zpshegmuqho.png

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F159204B-7A00-4B85-95CC-39145AB15BBD_zpsz9rzzskr.png

[BLI snowman]

00Z ECMWF is pretty dry for the game... precip starts late in the evening.

Nothing like a quick overnight ice storm. No one even has to know about it.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

00Z ECMWF says the transition is straight from dry to rain for most of us.   Except the Hood Canal where it will probably snow for a week straight.

 

Haha

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The Euro is a dumpster fire.

You mad bro??!!

[BLI snowman]

For what's it worth, the precip shield makes it about 50 miles further north on the 00z euro on Wednesday. Baby steps.

It's been a bit further south than the other models, just seems to be coming into better agreement now.

[liquidsnow]

Winter is over.

 

I thought we were supposed to see an epic January.

[TT-SEA]

925mb temps around +10 by late Sunday per the 00Z ECMWF.    Is that too high for lowland snow?

[Phil]

Phil's broken air conditioner in his Motel will be thankful for that!

I'm back home finally. From one swamp to another.

[MossMan]

 

Not much I truly hate in this world...however I am so sick of the east coast constantly hogging all of the cold air.

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F159204B-7A00-4B85-95CC-39145AB15BBD_zpsz9rzzskr.png

I don't care what that map says, every time I would turn on the news I would see dump trucks removing snow and dumping it in rivers to get rid of it, cars buried, polar vortex mania, look at the models to see blues purples and pinks on the east coast and stupid green and reds for the west coast for 850 temps...week after week, month after month, year after year...for the last several years. It's our turn damnit!! Haha!