February 2017 Observations and Discussions

[Niko]

Absolutely gorgeous today. Springlike weather. Looking forward to some thunderstorms tomorrow and some could be severe.

[Tom]

Those who have FB, check out these videos Reed Timmers posted from Truckee, CA....just incredible snow banks!

 

https://www.facebook.com/reedtimmerAccu/posts/10155105332784169

[Tom]

It's currently 23F with a stiff NW breeze and some flurries in the air.  Quite the shock to the system.  Kinda miss the 70's and being outside in the sunshine.  Had a light dusting of snow over night which is the first sign of snow I have seen since late January.

[westMJim]

It is 29° here at my house, its snowing (light snow) the grass and roofs have about 1/4" of snow. But the road and driveway is just wet. One more item it is also rather windy out there. We will have to see how much the next couple of days knock down the mean temperature here at GRR as of this morning the mean was 34.4° (+8.1°) if that were to hold (it wont) that would be a new record all time record for February. The question now is just how much will the mean drop between now and Tuesday? Looks like the high for today will be 36° (reached at midnight)the foretasted low is 24, tomorrow the high is foretasted  to be 38/29, Monday 43/35 and Tuesday 52/38. Can any math people come up what the mean would end up at if that plays out?

[Tom]

NE IL radar is lighting up with heavier bursst of snow shower activity.  It's nice to see fluffy flakes falling from the sky and surprisingly not melting on the roadways.  Overnight temps in the 20's did the trick and refroze the ground.

[Tom]

A little past 6:00pm and there is still some light as the sun sets. Signs of Spring on this cold late Winter day.

[St Paul Storm]

With very little chance of measurable snow through Tuesday, it's almost a lock that MSP will finish February with a total of 0.3". That will be the second lowest total in Feb since records started in 1891. Coincidentally that year no snow was recorded and is the record. Let's turn the page. Either give me snow or let's torch into Spring.

[Tom]

I started a March thread...

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1520-march-2017-observations-and-discussion/

[jaster220]

I started a March thread...

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1520-march-2017-observations-and-discussion/

 

Good riddens to this month!

[gabel23]

This is what we dealt with in the month of Feb. in south-central nebraska.

[NEJeremy]

We're going to have our 2nd warmest February on record. Had 5 inches of snow over the 2x it snowed this month. What a joke.

We're up to 11.1" at the airport for the season, although they are usually a bit lower than everyone else in town for some reason. I'd say I've had 13-14" total IMBY. We've been above normal every month too. I keep thinking back to what the models showed for snow and cold this winter and think WTH happened?!!

Next year, no matter what the models are showing, I am not going to believe any of it!

[jaster220]

Sunny and 50 after work. Keep reminding myself it's just Feb not April. Grass got noticeably green after the T-storm last week.

[OKwx2k4]

Sunny and 50 after work. Keep reminding myself it's just Feb not April. Grass got noticeably green after the T-storm last week.

It's pretty green down here too! I could actually mow a little bit but I refuse to simply because it's winter. Lol.

[BrianJK]

Looks like 1 more potentially record setting day to end the month around here today.

[Tom]

Large area of Enhanced Risk has spread farther west and north today...I'm actually looking forward to some storms later tonight.

 

 

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk-overview.gif

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/activity_loop.gif

 

 

 

 

...East of the surface cyclone into IL this afternoon/evening...
A few near-surface-based storms could form this afternoon and
persist into this evening immediately east of the surface cyclone,
along the warm front into central/northern IL as boundary layer
dewpoints increase to near 60 F beneath steep midlevel lapse rates.
Cloud breaks will dictate the degree of surface heating into
northeast MO, with potentially moderate buoyancy (MLCAPE 1000-1500
J/kg) along the north edge of the warm sector into central/northern
IL. If storms form within the north edge of the warm sector, strong
deep-layer and low-level shear will favor supercells with all severe
hazards possible.

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/activity_loop.gif

[gosaints]

Large area of Enhanced Risk has spread farther west and north today...I'm actually looking forward to some storms later tonight.

 

 

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk-overview.gif

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/activity_loop.gif

 

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/activity_loop.gif

You could be in for a surpise.... Stuff is sneaking north

[Tom]

Training storms are on the table for N IL/N IN and parts of S MI.  Might see a Severe Storm Watch issued later today.  Need the clouds to break down south to heat up the surface.

[westMJim]

It now looks like this February will set a new record for the month in Grand Rapids and Lansing. In Muskegon, we will not know until tomorrow. As of this morning the mean in Grand Rapids is 34.3° the current record is 34.1° set in 1998. In Lansing they now stand at 35.0° the current record is 33.9° set in 1882. In Muskegon, the current record is 35.0° set in 1998 and they now are at 34.9° Other locations around the state Detroit is now at 37.6° the record there is 39.5° set in 1882 that record will stand. In Flint the record is 34.5° in 1998 they are now at 34.1° Alpena currently at 27.7° record is 29.7° 1998 that will stand. At the Sault the record is 29.1° in 1998 currently 25.0° the record there will stand. At Marquette, currently they are at 21.7° Their record is 32.6° way back in 1878.

[Tom]

Storm Thread for today/tomorrow storm system...

 

http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1522-228-31-spring-storm/

[Tom]

In other news, Mt. Etna in Italy is erupting...

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/science/773141/Mount-Etna-volcano-BLOWS-Sicily-eruption

[Niko]

In other news, Mt. Etna in Italy is erupting...

 

http://www.express.co.uk/news/science/773141/Mount-Etna-volcano-BLOWS-Sicily-eruption

Wonder if that plays a role on our weather for next winter, perhaps, cooling off the atmosphere more.

[WxGuest]

Wonder if that plays a role on our weather for next winter, perhaps, cooling off the atmosphere more.

Lol, you can't be serious...

[NEJeremy]

It looks like we have a new virus to ignore. Everyone ignore the troll and he'll go away......

[westMJim]

We just had our warmest February on record here in West and south centeral Michigan. Here is a recap of this past February. In Grand Rapids the average high was 43.1 the average low as 26.3 the highest reading was 66° on the 22^nd Record highs of 59° and 62° were set on the 18^th and 19^th the coldest low for the month was +4° on the 4^th the mean for the month was 34.7° the old record was 34.1° set in 1998. There was 2.05” of precipitation, with 2.4” of snow fall. Over in Lansing a new monthly record was also set there with a mean of 35.5° there the average high was 44° and the average low was 27° they had 2.63” of precipitation and they also had 2.4” of snow fall. At Muskegon the new February record of 35.3° was set there the average high was 42.9 and the average low was 27.8 they had 2.67” of precipitation and 3.1” of snow fall. All in all a very warm month with little snow fall in West and South Central Michigan

[westMJim]

Wonder if that plays a role on our weather for next winter, perhaps, cooling off the atmosphere more.

It don't look to be  big enough to have a lot of influence on next winter.  

[Niko]

It don't look to be  big enough to have a lot of influence on next winter.  

I remember some while ago (several years back) there was a big volcano in Hawaii or the Philippines and it sure did affect our weather back then. I will do some research if time permits me.

[Tom]

A February to Remember...

 

http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/Last1mTDeptUS.png

[Niko]

Considering it was a snowless and mild February, man, if felt nice though.

[jaster220]

A February to Remember...

 

http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/products/maps/acis/Last1mTDeptUS.png

I tend to forget torch winter months. If March torches I will remember that, lol since 2012 is emblazoned on my brain!