July 2017 PNW Discussion Thread

[DareDuck]

Another low in the 40s this morning. Only two nights above 50 so far this month. Unheard of in the 2013-16 period.

Quite the opposite in Bend. Just a few nights in the 40s with many not dropping below 60. 97 at the airport yesterday. Average is closer to 85/50 but this summer it's been more like 93/58

[TT-SEA]

12z GFS says Phil will experience some very cool PNW temps while he's there.

 

At least the 12Z ECMWF looks warm for his arrival day...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017071512/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_9.png

[Deweydog]

At least the 12Z ECMWF looks warm for his arrival day...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017071512/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_9.png

Who's picking him up? Not it!!!

[TT-SEA]

Who's picking him up? Not it!!!

 

 

I got it.   

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The upper levels are deceiving today, it's on track to be the warmest day of the week here despite cooling aloft; already up to 75F.

[Jesse]

At least the 12Z ECMWF looks warm for his arrival day...

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2017071512/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_9.png

It crashes pretty quickly the next day though.

[BLI snowman]

99 and 100 in Missoula the past couple days. Not quite record territory, but close. Ended up being a legit heatwave for western MT after all.

 

Unparalleled genius. 

[TT-SEA]

It crashes pretty quickly the next day though.

 

Yes... 1,500 foot snow levels likely.   A crash like we have never seen!

 

Actually I was just pointing out that he might have one warm day which will be nice so he can tell us that he is wearing a parka and 85 feels frigid.  

[Jesse]

Yes... 1,500 foot snow levels likely. A crash like we have never seen!

 

Actually I was just pointing out that he might have one warm day which will be nice so he can tell us that he is wearing a parka and 85 feels frigid.

Oh there is no doubt he will be milking it for the period that he's pretending he's here.

[Deweydog]

Oh there is no doubt he will be milking it for the period that he's pretending he's here.

Oh jeez...

[Phil]

12z GFS says Phil will experience some very cool PNW temps while he's there.

I'm hoping for some Sitka weather. Highs in the 60s with some cool mist would be perfect right about now.

[Jesse]

Oh jeez...

Phil would be the first to admit that any we give him he has brought upon himself.

[Phil]

I got it.

[Phil]

Oh there is no doubt he will be milking it for the period that he's pretending he's here.

 

Wanna meet up somewhere?

[Deweydog]

 

Wanna meet up somewhere?

Perhaps the Stampede Pass Claim Jumper? Cheesecake Factory?

[Phil]

Perhaps the Stampede Pass Claim Jumper? Cheesecake Factory?

Cheesecake Factory!

[Deweydog]

Cheesecake Factory!

Could do Bubba Gump's, the Hard Rock Cafe or Margaritaville if you're into the theme thing.

[Phil]

Could do Bubba Gump's, the Hard Rock Cafe or Margaritaville if you're into the theme thing.

In that case, the greene turtle or pelican pete's will do.

[Deweydog]

In that case, the greene turtle or pelican pete's will do.

You name it, they got it!

[Front Ranger]

Unparalleled genius.

The models are pretty smart. Sometimes.

[wx_statman]

 

Hey Tim, what's with the rag....then you wake up in a basement. 

[ShawniganLake]

The upper levels are deceiving today, it's on track to be the warmest day of the week here despite cooling aloft; already up to 75F.

It hit 80 here yesterday. Not going to happen today.

[Phil]

Hey Tim, what's with the rag....then you wake up in a basement.

Haha, yeah on second thought..

[VancouverIslandSouth]

It hit 80 here yesterday. Not going to happen today.

 

Must be a localized effect, yesterday only made it up to 74F here, while today has been sitting around 75F. It warmed up quickly but hasn't budged much in the past couple hours, too windy I guess. 

[Phil]

Global lower tropospheric temperatures are now at their lowest level (relative to average) since 2008, mostly thanks to extreme cold over Antarctica and the subtropical Southern Hemisphere, in tandem with the cool Arctic/northern high latitudes. The tropics are still much warmer than average, though.

 

Regardless, quite impressive considering we're just one year removed from a super niño, and 2008 was a moderate La Niña summer.

[Phil]

Deepest -PNA since winter? Going to be plenty of anticyclonic wavebreaking next week over the NPAC.

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna.sprd2.gif

[Phil]

Some crazy weather in central Chile. It's snowing in places that haven't seen snow in 40+ years.

 

This is Santiago right now.

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/04A5C943-F335-46A9-90D0-E11B93A358BF_zpsexjjp01e.jpg

[Phil]

Much of Quebec is joining in on the fun, too. Up to 6" has fallen ove the province. In July, lol.

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/A276DA9E-24DC-4AC8-BFBA-F69AB5536A8C_zpsruyhpejd.jpg

[Kayla]

99 and 100 in Missoula the past couple days. Not quite record territory, but close. Ended up being a legit heatwave for western MT after all.

 

Compared to what the Euro and GFS were shooting out a week ago things definitely got watered down and the whole event got shortened from 5-7 to 2 days.

 

91/94 in Bozeman and 88/89 here so not very noteworthy east of the divide that's for sure.

[Deweydog]

Some crazy weather in central Chile. It's snowing in places that haven't seen snow in 40+ years.

 

This is Santiago right now.

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/04A5C943-F335-46A9-90D0-E11B93A358BF_zpsexjjp01e.jpg

I was there twice last year!

[wx_statman]

Much of Quebec is joining in on the fun, too. Up to 6" has fallen ove the province. In July, lol.

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/A276DA9E-24DC-4AC8-BFBA-F69AB5536A8C_zpsruyhpejd.jpg

 

Do you have sources/links for this? 

 

I'm seeing 71F at Schefferville, QC yesterday and 63F today. That's pretty far north in interior Quebec. 

 

53F yesterday at Kuujjuak and 57F today, this is near Ungava Bay in the far north. 

[wx_statman]

Here we go, I found a link. Schefferville did see snow on Wednesday, but the article only mentions "slush." 

 

https://sherbrooktimes.com/the-snow-in-the-middle-of-july-to-schefferville/12363

 

Very impressive snowfall in mid-July for that particular location. 

[BLI snowman]

I was there twice last year!

I've never even been to Jersey.

[Jesse]

In Ritzville, WA right now, where it is currently not snowing.

[Deweydog]

I've never even been to Jersey.

Well done.

[DareDuck]

Some crazy weather in central Chile. It's snowing in places that haven't seen snow in 40+ years.

 

This is Santiago right now.

 

http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/04A5C943-F335-46A9-90D0-E11B93A358BF_zpsexjjp01e.jpg

I may head down to Chile next month and check out Ski Portillo or Valle Nevado. They need to keep piling up the snow.

[Jesse]

Compared to what the Euro and GFS were shooting out a week ago things definitely got watered down and the whole event got shortened from 5-7 to 2 days.

 

91/94 in Bozeman and 88/89 here so not very noteworthy east of the divide that's for sure.

We are heading to Whitfish today and the cool shot currently moving in is going to somewhat affect them the next few days. Overnight lows expected to fall into the upper 30s to low 40s tomorrow night there. Strong west winds expected tomorrow afternoon as well.

[wx_statman]

In Ritzville, WA right now, where it is currently not snowing.

 

I once stopped at a gas station there. 

[Kayla]

We are heading to Whitfish today and the cool shot currently moving in is going to somewhat affect them the next few days. Overnight lows expected to fall into the upper 30s to low 40s tomorrow night there. Strong west winds expected tomorrow afternoon as well.

 

Yeah it's looking like a pretty typical and beautiful summer pattern up there as well over the next several days. Have fun!

[Jesse]

I once stopped at a gas station there.

Hey that's what we did too!