Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Clinton said: Who are paying off to get 23.6 inches? lol Better yet, where am I getting the money to pay them? lol 2 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Noticed a trend in higher QPF in the bullseye. Is it because it’s seeing more gulf moisture over the last few days? Or because it’s stronger? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 GFS and ICON showing stronger initial wave band and farther north. In the short term I think this is something to watch..GFS barely had anything 24 hours ago now it’s similar to ICON/EURO and we then seen a NW with main system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Guess I have to take my 3-6 forecast and throw it in the trash for now. Those runs got me a bit more excited. Now to see if the Euro and future runs hold on to that, or if it was just a fluke. You use the LRC you should have known, shame on you lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 GFS has 40mb pressure gradient over Iowa for early/mid Friday. That's insane. 2009 blizzard (the only true blizzard for all of IA in 30 years) has 30mb... 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Nov 4th and 5th is the match? Kids birthday weekend. 2.35" of rain. 30 degree temp drop between 4th and 5th ad well 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Someone is going to be doing some serious "Winning" with this system. 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 @Hawkeye how long has it been since Cedar Rapids received a foot of snow in 24hrs? I remember last year you said it had been awhile but I couldn't remember. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Good grief!!! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 It’s only down from here…right?! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, winterfreak said: It’s only down from here…right?! That’s what I fear 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Clinton said: @Hawkeye how long has it been since Cedar Rapids received a foot of snow in 24hrs? I remember last year you said it had been awhile but I couldn't remember. I know this wasn’t directed to me, but I live close to CR. 2015 we got 11” in North Liberty. But haven’t gotten a foot since the GHD blizzard. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 9 minutes ago, Madtown said: Nov 4th and 5th is the match? Kids birthday weekend. 2.35" of rain. 30 degree temp drop between 4th and 5th ad well 2.53" at KDSM on those dates. Interesting. If this pans out- I'll be a fan of LRC big time. 3 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, bud2380 said: I know this wasn’t directed to me, but I live close to CR. 2015 we got 11” in North Liberty. But haven’t gotten a foot since the GHD blizzard. Thanks, I only directed it at Hawkeye because he mentioned it before. I think there is a good chance that streak may end for you guys. Flingers crossed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Everytime I check this thread its 2 more pages haha. Can't keep up 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, james1976 said: Everytime I check this thread its 2 more pages haha. Can't keep up I'm wondering if it will set a record number of posts. Maybe break the thread? lol 3 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: 2.53" at KDSM on those dates. Interesting. If this pans out- I'll be a fan of LRC big time. There is a lot to it, I'm still learning. There may be a certain fat a** in western MO who missed a spike in the EPO on the previous storm and looked kind of silly. When things line up with the teleconnections like they are this time it can be a cheat code for storms. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, mlgamer said: I'm wondering if it will set a record number of posts. Maybe break the thread? lol Christmas week excitement. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 GEFS agrees with the OP 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Ukie at 96 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 0z GEFS qpf: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Certainly curious to see if the Euro shifts as far nw as the GFS. Normally don't see as big of shifts on the Euro at this range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Money said: Ukie at 96 That's at least faster than the GFS. Would have to look at later hours to see if it's more of a speed difference or track difference. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 ukie - Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 GEFS mean 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Ukie 978 L over W MI at 108 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Just now, bud2380 said: GEFS mean Now that's a jump! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Holy Moses are things coming in hot tonight! The AO and NAO are doing their work in the second cycle of the LRC. Let’s keep the qpf going up that’s all I ask. This storm closed out around southern Missouri in November I’ll take what’s the gfs is showing this time around! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 4 minutes ago, Money said: Ukie 978 L over W MI at 108 GFS is southwest of Chicago at same time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 28 minutes ago, Clinton said: @Hawkeye how long has it been since Cedar Rapids received a foot of snow in 24hrs? I remember last year you said it had been awhile but I couldn't remember. Cedar Rapids has not reported an official snow total in a long time. However, I have never measured a foot in 24 hours. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack_GradStudent Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Can only pray for a track like this.. wishing this was Wednesday night rather than Sunday night. GEFS also has continued to show this trough getting its act together much quicker and taking that negative tilt as it translates over Kansas and Missouri. Deterministic GFS spews out over an inch of liquid which is just not supported by any of the other data at this point whatsoever. An inch of qpf has got to be still considered a 95th percentile type of solution at this point. Storms like this that bring in tons of cold air in my experience often rack up snow totals not due to lots of qpf but higher ratios.. at best I see ~0.75 qpf from this storm but one that the ratios could kick snow totals up to a foot of snow or so. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 A foot in 24 hours (or calendar day) is extremely rare even in the Twin Cities. In the history of MSP records I believe it's only happened like right around a dozen times. Heard that stat on WCCO up there visiting my mom several years back 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Rain up to the border on new year's........... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 5 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: Cedar Rapids has not reported an official snow total in a long time. However, I have never measured a foot in 24 hours. Ive been a skywarn observer and in the snow removal business for 15 yrs in Ottumwa. Ghd storm was the most ive measured 17.5 inches. 13 or 14 a couple times. This is serious. It could take days to dig out. Folks here and contractors will be in a epic struggle. Especially with the wind and temperatures. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 This feels like a sporting event with your favorite team. All the nerves and there's not a thing you can do to affect the outcome. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 Wouldn't mind seeing the NWS blend model if anyone has it- 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, Hoosier said: This feels like a sporting event with your favorite team. All the nerves and there's not a thing you can do to affect the outcome. Yup Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 19, 2022 Report Share Posted December 19, 2022 fwiw- 12Z JMA- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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