Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 8Not good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Not good. It looks awesome for North Korea! Kim Jong-un is going to be celebrating! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 9 nope. Westerlies approaching 135 W. Hmmm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 It looks awesome for North Korea! Kim Jong-un is going to be celebrating!I hear he actually prefers nuclear winter... Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 8At least it might be too cold there to launch his ICBM! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Louisiana gets a blizzard on the 00z GFS. Haha. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Pathetic Christmas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Louisiana gets a blizzard on the 00z GFS. Haha.You’re laughing at us now. We are getting desperate. Sun angles become an issue in like 8 or 9 weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 You’re laughing at us now. We are getting desperate. Sun angles become an issue in like 8 or 9 weeks.We're not losing light anymore in the evening in 9 days tomorrow (I'm not sad about that). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 We're not losing light anymore in the evening in 9 days tomorrow (I'm not sad about that). I have a small celebration at that time each year! A celebration for those who deal with winter but don't particularly like living in the dark. Very odd... I know. I am probably the only person at this latitude who feels better when the days start getting longer. This year we bottom out on the sunset on December 7th. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 The rain really hung on today, forecasts had it drying out early in the day around here but showers are still rolling through. Would be a nice snow making pattern if there were Arctic air to draw from. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I have a small celebration at that time each year! A celebration for those who deal with winter but don't particularly like living in the dark. This year we bottom out on the sunset on December 7th. It's a shame we're going to use up our few weeks of ridging at a time when it will probably just lead to dark overcast; Dec/Jan are the worst for high amplitude ridging. I think even you would agree this ridging would be better placed in March. It feels like it's been awhile since we've had a ridgey March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 It's a shame we're going to use up our few weeks of ridging at a time when it will probably just lead to dark overcast; Dec/Jan are the worst for high amplitude ridging. I think even you would agree this ridging would be better placed in March. It feels like it's been awhile since we've had a ridgey March. At this time of year... I would MUCH rather have a deep trough with occasional systems coming through and some sunny, chilly days in between Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 It's a shame we're going to use up our few weeks of ridging at a time when it will probably just lead to dark overcast; Dec/Jan are the worst for high amplitude ridging. I think even you would agree this ridging would be better placed in March. It feels like it's been awhile since we've had a ridgey March.We had a record warm March just in 2015. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Pathetic Christmas cfs-avg_T2maMean_us_4.pngAfter that, FWIW, according to the latest CFS run, it gets cold for 20 straight days right after Christmas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 You’re laughing at us now. We are getting desperate. Sun angles become an issue in like 8 or 9 weeks.Lol. This place is already in midwinter mode. I keep having to remind myself that it's December 1st (2nd here). Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 We had a record warm March in just in 2015. I stand corrected, although I don't think it was record warm here. I think March 2004 was warmer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Nice to finally have a December that doesn't blowtorch the entire country, even though the west is (temporarily) left out. The last several years have been rough in the "early winter blocking" department. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Essentially all of the seasonal model guidance is projecting a retrogression now, with the sharpest solutions centered around New Years. Analogs to the observed boundary state(s) are largely in agreement. The deep troughing over western North America could be persistent as well, probably lasting at least 3-4 weeks before we enter a pattern more like 2007/08 in February. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Essentially all of the seasonal model guidance is projecting a retrogression now, with the sharpest solutions centered around New Years. Analogs to the observed boundary state(s) are largely in agreement. The deep troughing over western North America could be persistent as well, probably lasting at least 3-4 weeks before we enter a pattern more like 2007/08 in February.Given how angsty the forum already is, you are going to have people at your door with pitchforks and fire if the “goods” don’t start to show up after Christmas. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Given how angsty the forum already is, you are going to have people at your door with pitchforks and fire if the “goods” don’t start to show up after Christmas.I will take him in up here above the fray when he seeks a safe haven. It's the right thing to do. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 00z CMCE Ensembles shows a very strong cold pool over the Columbia Basin. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 00z ECMWF Day4http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017120200/096/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I will take him in up here above the fray when he seeks a safe haven. It's the right thing to do.Do you have Netflix up there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Down to 34 here. Almost feels like winter Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 5http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017120200/120/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Given how angsty the forum already is, you are going to have people at your door with pitchforks and fire if the “goods” don’t start to show up after Christmas.I'm already expecting it, lol. Early January looks like one of those patterns that sneaks up out of nowhere on the modeling, as wavetrains will certainly be mishandled over Eurasia when the stronger blocking shifts into northern Siberia around Christmas. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 6http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017120200/144/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Do you have Netflix up there? Nope. He's free to bring any VHS tapes he wants though. All I have is Golden Girls season two and Cop and a Half. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Day 7http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf/2017120200/168/500h_anom.na.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 The Agung seismograph has lit up over the last 15mins. The live camera started shaking started right around that time as well, so I don't think it's the wind. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Low frequency tremor is into overscale territory again. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Nope. He's free to bring any VHS tapes he wants though. All I have is Golden Girls season two and Cop and a Half.I have VHS tapes of snowy news coverage from January 1996, November 1996, and December 1996 for Phil’s viewing pleasure during his trip up there! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I have VHS tapes of snowy news coverage from January 1996, November 1996, and December 1996 for Phil’s viewing pleasure during his trip up there!That might be a little sadistic. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 I have VHS tapes of snowy news coverage from January 1996, November 1996, and December 1996 for Phil’s viewing pleasure during his trip up there!Flatiron is mad that you don’t have DVDs from February 2006 instead. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 The low frequency harmonic tremor indicates magma movement within the volcano. The fact there are still deep volcanic earthquakes registering, despite the wide open magma pathway to the surface, is kind of interesting. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 The Agung seismograph has lit up over the last 15mins. The live camera started shaking started right around that time as well, so I don't think it's the wind. Oh I think this is it! Seismo is going NUTS!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nGEoof2QVyE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted December 2, 2017 Report Share Posted December 2, 2017 Well we have this, but it's reaching so early in the month. Remember how the beginning of November showed a cold December, and look how that turned out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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