Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 8+ for eastern WI? Guessing it occludes early? What did it have for snow depth before the system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 8+ for eastern WI? Guessing it occludes early? What did it have for snow depth before the systemLooks like 2-3” beforehand. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Rochester looks good! My parents live just outside of Rochester, they’ve got dumped on for years. It’s crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 8+ for eastern WI? Guessing it occludes early? What did it have for snow depth before the systemYep fondy looks to be at about .6 QPF in snow on the EURO Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Wow Marquette Michigan at 4 feet that run. Unreal! This storm is a monster. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Yep fondy looks to be at about .6 QPF in snow on the EUROThanks. Quite the battle brewing Icon/Euro/Ukie vs GFS/GEM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 This is getting interesting! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Wow Marquette Michigan at 4 feet that run. Unreal! This storm is a monster.Just an FYI, but those maps I posted are total snowfall on the ground, so Marquette doesn't get 4 feet of new snow with this storm. Weather.US only does total snowfall on the ground and then new QPF for the winter precip maps. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 A secondary result from the latest euro track is the mild Sunday/Monday is gone for my area. Instead of 40s to near 50, which we'd get from a low track to the nw, we would now be stuck in the upper 30s with light rain... the worst result. It's never good to have the low track over/near you. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Euro showing gusts to 45-50 mph as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Blizzards to the left of me, blizzards to the right...here I am, stuck in the middle with you (Tom), lol. Maybe if he would stop saying how great this pattern is, Ma Nature would let us get something big. Reverse psyc works at times.. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Euro ensembles are nearly identical to the OP at hr 72 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf-ens®ion=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2018011912&fh=72 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Naddan85 Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Looks like Hastings NWS is buying in to the SE trend by adding a few more counties to the east of the original WSW. Will be interesting to see if OAX follows suit! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 EPS continues to drift ever so slightly south. Obviously rooting for that for MBY so take that with a grain of salt. Still, an interesting data point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 2" of slop imby if Euro verifies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Yep, EPS snow has ticked south. There's no way that I know of to look at a county view, but it looks like OMA/LNK aren't far from the 6" line. Also basically the entire state is at least 2" except for Falls City. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 18z Nam is a good bit south of 12z through hr 36 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 D**n Money, you're potentially in the mix now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Meh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Def gonna be south of 12z The HP in Canada is also farther SW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Looks like Hastings NWS is buying in to the SE trend by adding a few more counties to the east of the original WSW. Will be interesting to see if OAX follows suit!I'm now included but only calling for 2-5". I'm hoping for another 30 mile shift to the southeast so we all can get into the heaviest. Hoping the EURO wins out on this one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 I’m not seeing where it’s south yet. I’m at hour 51 and it’s a tick slower/west than 12z. Weaker by 57 for sure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 I’m not seeing where it’s south yet. I’m at hour 51 and it’s a tick slower/west than 12z.Check out what’s happening with the HP in Canada. It’s not gonna cut as far north this run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Hi-res NAM is way weaker it seems. Jk, they're both weaker! Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 The L is in nearly the same spot as 12z euro at hr 66 Southern Iowa Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Looks like it’s slowing down for sure. Precip shield is west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 the precip field on the NAM is displaced way west of the surface low too. looks pretty odd. crappy run for eastern Nebraska as shown Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Looks like it gets to about Dubuque IA and starts to occlude Gonna cut straight east into Milwaukee area Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Occlude, sit and spin away. Good run again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Occlude, sit and spin away. Good run again.Big step towards the euro tho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Big step towards the euro thoMore of a left to right snow shield... Still a great run for the MSP crowd. 0z tonight and 12z tomorrow should start to nail down a better idea. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Yeah I'm taking this run for a grain of salt like I said earlier. I'll go ahead and not really worry about 18Z GFS either. We have more important runs to worry about later. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Big step towards the euro thoStill ends up tracking pretty close to you at the end and not terribly far from the 12z NAM. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 More of a left to right snow shield... Still a great run for the MSP crowd. 0z tonight and 12z tomorrow should start to nail down a better idea.True Hi res nam is even more colder/weaker/south than the regular nam. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Still ends up tracking pretty close to you at the end and not terribly far from the 12z NAM.100+ mile shift in one run is pretty big 12z had it over GB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 18z NAM thru the end of the run. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 100+ mile shift in one run is pretty big 12z had it over GBThe position of the low is one thing. How the precip fields line up is also important. In this case it had no impact here. It’s one run. Much to be decided. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Hi-res NAM showing 1.1" of ice accumulation here. Thankfully it's extremely cold biased because THAT would be a mess. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 Wow lol much different then 12z. Took out our heavy band completely. More model mayhem ahead Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 19, 2018 Report Share Posted January 19, 2018 18z NAM thru the end of the run.Throwing a little snow back towards Chi-Town. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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