1/21 - 1/23 Plains/Midwest Blizzard

[Money]

Central Nebraska hit hard in 0z NAM. This thing could be a beast and NWS Hastings is hinting at the B word.

What’s the “B” word and why can’t you say it?

[Craig-OmahaWX]

I still have hope though. 0z models coming up later

[Tom]

Central Nebraska hit hard in 0z NAM. This thing could be a beast and NWS Hastings is hinting at the B word.

00z NAM with a small pocket of 50-60mph wind gusts right by you...Hope you score the 1st blizzard of the year!

[Andrew NE]

[Craig-OmahaWX]

I will be visiting the complaining topic later tonight lol.

[CentralNebWeather]

I remember Tim. Good memories. Loved seeing the letter B

[CentralNebWeather]

00z NAM with a small pocket of 50-60mph wind gusts right by you...Hope you score the 1st blizzard of the year!

Tom do you remember driving across Central and Western Nebraska on I 80 and you commented what wind and snow would do on this flat land.

[Money]

I remember Tim. Good memories. Loved seeing the letter B

Why won’t you just say blizzard

[Craig-OmahaWX]

JINX!

[CentralNebWeather]

Why won’t you just say blizzard

Maybe subconsciously I was thinking of Tim when he said the letter B. Then I thought it was humorous that NWS Hastings wouldn’t say blizzard either just B word.

[CentralNebWeather]

JINX!

That too.

[Jaycee]

This is sickening-- all ive wanted was a colorado low, and we finally get one, and it goes NW, while the storm two weeks ago was too cold and moved it SE. Gosh im sick of this. You guys can give me flack, i dont care. Really is amazing, just in the worst possible way.

[Tom]

Tom do you remember driving across Central and Western Nebraska on I 80 and you commented what wind and snow would do on this flat land.

Yes I do!  I just had flashbacks of that trip along I-80 and passing your area....I can only imagine the drifts and snow banks walloped by this beast.

[Tom]

00z GFS is SE compared to 12z...

[St Paul Storm]

0z GFS going south thru 72.

[Tom]

GFS trending towards the Euro..

[Jaycee]

Oh wow. Did my complaint unjinx it? Looks like heavy snow for oma/lnk at 78 hr.

[Tom]

00z GFS also with very strong winds across NE in the 40-45mph range...

[Jaycee]

OH MY GOD GUYS

[Tom]

6-10" in the NW burbs of OMA...trending better for you guys..

[St Paul Storm]

A few ticks weaker which is actually good for some of us.

[GDR]

Omaha gets blasted this run!

[Tom]

NE to MSP special...lock it...MPS/Stormgeek will have Cantore there on Sunday watching the Vikings...

[Minny_Weather]

OH MY GOD GUYS

Dude what are you thinking?

[Tom]

00z GFS...

[Money]

Gonna trend SE and then go back north

 

Book it

[Jaycee]

Dude what are you thinking?

Im thinking i bring this storm to Nebraska with me tomorrow.

[Money]

Icon and GEM takes the low over extreme western Iowa. NW than GFS

[CentralNebWeather]

This raised the atmosphere in here. Whoa.

[Tom]

Gonna trend SE and then go back north

 

Book it

I think if it occludes earlier it will be hard to go back NW...the earlier occluding is actually more favorable to track more E than N...

[St Paul Storm]

That was about a 75-100 mi shift SE with the heavy snow up this way.

[gosaints]

Icon and GEM takes the low over extreme western Iowa. NW than GFS

Icon Occludes early to and heads off to the east. Ends up to over chi town.

[Tom]

Hitting the sack...got an early day tomorrow...will post maps in the morning manana....

[NH4NU]

I haven't decided if I am more excited for the EURO or Craig's next post

[Money]

Icon Occludes early to and heads off to the east. Ends up to over chi town.

Ha

 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2018011900&fh=96

[Minny_Weather]

I haven't decided if I am more excited for the EURO or Craig's next post

I'm more excited for everyone's reply to Craig's next post tbh.

[Tom]

Could this be a NE Blizzard in the making???  Getting close...this is one beast out in the Plains...

[hlcater]

Significant shift southeast on the GFS. Was evident when the surface low came out weaker in CO and dug a bit more. Also amped up the wrap around precip across Iowa but is nothing I am counting on at this time. Without sounding like a massive weenie, I genuinely do believe if the wrap around precip materializes(especially significantly) we could be looking at blizzard conditions with modeled sustained winds at 25-30mph with gusts in the 40-45mph range should the winds just aloft mix down. Despite this, snowfall amounts would be minor. 

[Minny_Weather]

Ratios are a killer. Temps hugging freezing combined with strong winds is not a good combination.

[bud2380]

The 18z NAVGEM runs the low through STL. Since that’s the best solution for me, I assume it is correct.