February 8th-11th Major Snowstorm

[Minny_Weather]

OAX sticking with their 2" guns for here.

[jaster220]

Note how the 12+ color runs right up to the bottom of GRR's tier and stops    Can you see the WFO bias as clear as the blue sky?? Can one hate his WFO with passion? 

 

GRR = clowns in costumes I swear. Like the snow's gonna stop at the county line!!   

 

[Iowawx]

18Z GFS has heaviest band between highway 20 and interstate 80 in Iowa.

[hlcater]

18Z GFS has heaviest band between highway 20 and interstate 80 in Iowa.

Right through the CR metro area. At this range though in a global vs CAM battle, I'm gonna side with the CAM 9 times out of 10. Although the GFS schooled the HRRR on the last system, so maybe, just maybe it can score another coup.

[Money]

Note how the 12+ color runs right up to the bottom of GRR's tier and stops Can you see the WFO bias as clear as the blue sky?? Can one hate his WFO with passion?

 

GRR = clowns in costumes I swear. Like the snow's gonna stop at the county line!!

 

20180208 IWX storm highlights pg1.jpg

Yes I’m sure they have a bias!

[Jaycee]

FWIW, GFS has the weenie band going through OMA/LNK it looks like. Granted it's like 3" so yeah...

[NEJeremy]

OAX sticking with their 2" guns for here.

I don't blame them either. Heck look at your signature line, 2" seems to be the way to go.

[NEJeremy]

I went from snow likely tonight and tomorrow night, to 30% chance tonight and snow likely tomorrow night..... I'm sure it will be 30% chance for tomorrow night eventually too.

[Minny_Weather]

Second wave continues to edge ever so slightly North...

[Jaycee]

Second wave continues to edge ever so slightly North...

 

Maybe models were overdoing the high pressure? This could be a yuuge development if it actually digs and the HP doesn't kill it, kinda like the previous model scenarios were showing earlier.

[Madtown]

clouds thickening....lets go Nam.....lets go Nam....lol. Hope as many as possible can enjoy this one.

[Jaycee]

clouds thickening....lets go Nam.....lets go Nam....lol. Hope as many as possible can enjoy this one.

 

Don't cheer for the NAM then :| GGEM baby!

[Minny_Weather]

Maybe models were overdoing the high pressure? This could be a yuuge development if it actually digs and the HP doesn't kill it, kinda like the previous model scenarios were showing earlier.

If there's anyone who gets screwed more than us, it's KC. If we get this at their expense, then yay!

[WBadgersW]

Lol Madtown... We can only hope..

[Clinton]

If there's anyone who gets screwed more than us, it's KC. If we get this at their expense, then yay!

I will fight you for this snow lol.  We haven't had squat this year.

[Jaycee]

If there's anyone who gets screwed more than us, it's KC. If we get this at their expense, then yay!

 

While I'm sure this might be statistically true, KC did have a monster year not too long ago. I remember them having like 2 feet on the ground afterwards, which I have yet to see in Lincoln.

[Clinton]

I am about an hour SE of KC, I think it was 2011 we got 26 inches in early Feb.

[Craig-OmahaWX]

There has got to be something that forms here to give us some reasonable amounts. 

 

To anyone out east in Iowa and Illinois, be very nervous when it comes to 2-3 county wide bands of snow, the last one our area had screwed us big time and any little shift by even 50 miles took us out of the running for anything,

[james1976]

Underway here.
0.3" so far

[Money]

While I'm sure this might be statistically true, KC did have a monster year not too long ago. I remember them having like 2 feet on the ground afterwards, which I have yet to see in Lincoln.

I remember when Lincoln got 3 feet of snow while I got none

[bud2380]

I'll give the HRRR credit, it hasn't budged all day.  It's basically been right on Hwy 30 all day long for the cutoff.  Maybe a few miles north/south, but not much.  Much more consistent than it was Monday.  

[Madtown]

HRRR says go on with your bad self NAM

[Jaycee]

I remember when Lincoln got 3 feet of snow while I got none

 

3 feet of snow when Fon Du Lac, Wisconsin had zero. I am 99% sure that can’t be true.

[hlcater]

HRRR also has a 12" lolipop in central Iowa. Now if it would come back south. I'm still on the winning side of that cutoff, but BARELY. Literally by less than 5 miles. Airport is heading to the losing side. My range is realistically 3-10" anything could happen. Although this snow so far definitely seems south of the HRRR/NAM. But gosaints was saying that may not matter for later.

[Craig-OmahaWX]

3 feet of snow when Fon Du Lac, Wisconsin had zero. I am 99% sure that can’t be true.

Money just likes to get under our skin. There is no way a storm has ever dumped 3 feet all at once anywhere in Nebraska. 

[bud2380]

I could be in a situation that where I work gets 8" but at my house 2-3" and it's only 15-20 miles to work as the crow flies.  

[james1976]

E IA posters: Schnack has 5-8 for all of us and iso 9-10 for CR, Monticello and just north of IC.

[shakjen]

Nice steady snow coming down now. Decent size flakes

[FV-Mike]

CPS cancelled school. Anyone that lives in this area knows how rare that is

[Tony]

CPS cancelled school. Anyone that lives in this area knows how rare that is

Very rare indeed. They never cancelled when I attended.

[Minny_Weather]

I remember when Lincoln got 3 feet of snow while I got none

Considering our record high storm total is 19" in the 60s, and it hasn't even come close to being matched, no.

[FarmerRick]

Money just likes to get under our skin. There is no way a storm has ever dumped 3 feet all at once anywhere in Nebraska. 

 

 

We need to dam up the Platte river so we can get some LES around here!!

[Craig-OmahaWX]

Something interesting is going on...some of the ensembles are pulling Saturdays wave north into Nebraska

 

[Minny_Weather]

RPM has 2" for here with the first wave. Doesn't go out to the second wave yet.

[james1976]

DMX said that the heavy snow band would transition from NW-SE to more a E-W and I can see that happening on radar right now. Heavy band setting up right along highway 20 in W IA moving straight east.

[Jaycee]

Money just likes to get under our skin. There is no way a storm has ever dumped 3 feet all at once anywhere in Nebraska. 

 

I mean it could be, no one knows a thing about Money. He could be 70 for all I know, and maybe he remembers that blizzard from the 50's or whenever it was.

 

 

We need to dam up the Platte river so we can get some LES around here!!

 

Remember when the state was considering that? I heard about it from a few people that worked in the state. They were going to flood everywhere along I-80 from Lincoln to Omaha, and build resorts and such all around it. Would've been amazing honestly, but the small town people didn't want their houses flooded, jerks . Honestly a lake that size though, probably could've got lake effect from that too!

[Minny_Weather]

Dark orange reflectivities are going strong West of Rapid City..

[james1976]

HRRR also has a 12" lolipop in central Iowa. Now if it would come back south. I'm still on the winning side of that cutoff, but BARELY. Literally by less than 5 miles. Airport is heading to the losing side. My range is realistically 3-10" anything could happen. Although this snow so far definitely seems south of the HRRR/NAM. But gosaints was saying that may not matter for later.

 

Any chance you can post that map? Thanks!

[hlcater]

 

I've got about an inch already, been pretty steady moderate snow for about 2 hours or so now. Doesn't stop my nail biting though. That southern edge is still way too close for comfort.

[hlcater]

Any chance you can post that map? Thanks!

I'll post the 21z and 22z since they're both out now.

 

22z(most recent)

 

http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/hrrr/2018020822/015/snku_acc.us_mw.png

 

21z(12" lollipop)

 

http://maps2.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/hrrr/2018020821/016/snku_acc.us_mw.png