buzzman289 Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 its ugly for CR Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Nothing is set in stone so don't lose hope. I have seen too many storms this year that looked like sure things hit someplace else. Still a couple of days away. I was supposed to be hit by the massive blizzard in January (1 day out) that was a dud here. I assume nothing, hoping for the best and expecting less. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 its ugly for CRWe weren't ever really in the game with this one. As soon as it got within 6 days, models were consistently showing NW of here, which is more than typical of these sort of systems. 2 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 If Norfolk gets one more thing that we don't I'll need to be admitted to an asylum. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Lol i have no sympathy for anyone in Minnesota and South Dakota that posts here. You guys have already had a couple major snow storms, its time to spread the wealth further south. Im all for getting one last big one to get us to average winter amounts then have spring come rolling in. 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Nothing is set in stone so don't lose hope. I have seen too many storms this year that looked like sure things hit someplace else. Still a couple of days away. I was supposed to be hit by the massive blizzard in January (1 day out) that was a dud here. I assume nothing, hoping for the best and expecting less. This one is going to be a hard cutter with nothing to stop it. Onto next week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Lol i have no sympathy for anyone in Minnesota and South Dakota that posts here. Tell me something I don't know... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 If Norfolk gets one more thing that we don't I'll need to be admitted to an asylum. I hope your Obamacare will cover it; psych wards are pretty expensive... Moreover; once you check in...it is not so easy to check out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 its time to spread the wealth further south. And I thought you were against socialism... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tabitha Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Nothing is set in stone so don't lose hope. "Hope is a dangerous thing"___Ellis Boyd Redding Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Lol i have no sympathy for anyone in Minnesota and South Dakota that posts here. You guys have already had a couple major snow storms, its time to spread the wealth further south. Im all for getting one last big one to get us to average winter amounts then have spring come rolling in.Give me a break. What do we need your sympathy for anyway? 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Give me a break. What do we need your sympathy for anyway?I mean it’s not like you’ve guys got nailed this year so no idea why he’s bitching Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 http://www.weather.gov/images/oax/wxstory/Tab3FileL.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Looks like MSP has pulled the trigger on a WWA. Calling for 2-4 with isolated 5 in the central part of the state. Let the games begin! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Looks like MSP has pulled the trigger on a WWA. Calling for 2-4 with isolated 5 in the central part of the state. Let the games begin!That’s for tomorrow’s smaller event. The potential storm on Saturday looking good still! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 GFS came south a tad. NAM hits eastern Nebraska more so now and the ICON model does the same as well. Improvement folks! 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormgeek Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 That’s for tomorrow’s smaller event. The potential storm on Saturday looking good still!I should have specified, my bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 21, 2018 Report Share Posted February 21, 2018 Combined with tomorrow’s snow. Quite the expansive snow band. No real threats of nasty gradients...at this point. 18z low pressure change is even greater than the 12z run although it ends up a tick weaker. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 0z NAM. The entire state is socked pretty good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 0z NAM. The entire state is socked pretty good.00z NAM onboard the GFS bombogenesis train...choo choo! Might be the storm of the season thus far that actually hits some members directly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 NWS Hastings not thinking much snow for this system. 1-2 inches for my area. Euro had around 8”. I know they are usually conservative on amounts but that is more than a slight disparity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 0z GFS looks like a better hit for Nebraska. Will NWS Hastings change their tune? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 GFS clocks Omaha pretty good but still meh for Lincoln. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Sweet mother of mercy. This would be epic if it verified. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Sweet mother of mercy. This would be epic if it verified.Bomb-digiddy! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Can’t get much better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 I hope this system smashes a daily snow record in MSP...getting close to one hellova hit St Paul. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Looking much better for Omaha on the GFS. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 I hope this system smashes a daily snow record in MSP...getting close to one hellova hit St Paul.Consistency between and within the models is pretty remarkable. But still a ways to go. I’m prepared for a bad run coming up on one of these models. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Consistency between and within the models is pretty remarkable. But still a ways to go. I’m prepared for a bad run coming up on one of these models.GFS has lead the way and I’m pretty darn certain your in good shape. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 GFS has lead the way and I’m pretty darn certain your in good shape.And the jinx is coming sponsored by Tom! Lol 1 Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Gem https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2018022200&fh=78 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 And the jinx is coming sponsored by Tom! LolYou’re on a roll today. Don’t stop now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 You’re on a roll today. Don’t stop now.Um its a joke lol. Storm tracking is stressful, have some fun! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 GEM feels like its worlds apart once again lol. Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 NWS Hastings not thinking much snow for this system. 1-2 inches for my area. Euro had around 8”. I know they are usually conservative on amounts but that is more than a slight disparity.They have .30-.40" of precip falling, mostly as frozen precip. I would think they change their tune come tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 I’m more interested in the severe aspect down in Dixie and the southern OV than I am snowfall with this storm. In which case I hope this thing bombs out. Already have a 50-70kt LLJ over spreading a warm sector with southerly winds and about 1000-1500 J/kg SBCAPE. If we can destabilize more, we might see a decent event transpire. I mean, the shear is excellent with many areas at 300-400+ 0-1km SRH and a nice enlarged hodo aided by that LLJ. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 I’m more interested in the severe aspect down in Dixie and the southern OV than I am snowfall with this storm. In which case I hope this thing bombs out. Already have a 50-70kt LLJ over spreading a warm sector with southerly winds and about 1000-1500 J/kg SBCAPE. If we can destabilize more, we might see a decent event transpire. I mean, the shear is excellent with many areas at 300-400+ 0-1km SRH and a nice enlarged hodo aided by that LLJ.It appears this storm is going to take on a classic, mature winter storm look with a neg tilted trough and a trowal-like feature. This will look very pretty on radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 22, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 00z EPS/Control...As for some of the IA members, folks on the NW side of DSM look good, SE side not so much...James may be in the game... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 22, 2018 Report Share Posted February 22, 2018 Thanks for posting the Euro maps, Tom. Always appreciated. 3-5” in the grids for tonight into tomorrow morning 6-11” in the grids for Saturday/Sunday morning. Winds look to be quite strong as well around 30mph. MPX says whiteout conditions very possible. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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