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March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW


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I figured Tim would be familiar with calculus. Maybe not.

I thought he was a software engineer. When he said that I thought I messed up my post or something.

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Looking at the 1000 foot temperature and snow mixing ratios on the WRF it hints at possible very low snow levels around 11pm to 2am Monday night.  I wouldn't hold my breath either way.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I thought he was a software engineer?

 

When he said that, I thought I’d messed up my post or something, haha.

 

 

Not a software engineer.    A software consultant.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Anti-American? Dude, 99% of liberals love this country and want what’s best. The right wing David Duke fringe is just as “anti-American” as the left wing Antifa fringe.

 

That doesn't line up with what I've been seeing.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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People seem to think having a liberal political stance means you despise everything this country stands for.

 

It seems to be true for some of the loudest talkers on that side. I think we all understand not all liberals hate this country and what it stands for, but many do. And of course people like David Duke are total rascals and are just as bad. But he is a total pariah, he has absolutely no following and is an extreme anomaly. The only reason anyone even knows who he is anymore is because the media continues to indulge him and parade him around so they can paint everyone on the right with that brush. On the other hand on the left characters like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders are paraded as mainstream figures. They even elect openly anti-Semitic members of Congress, then say Trump, whose daughter is a convert to Judaism and whose husband is a close confident is the real anti-Semite. It really defies logic. I think Trump is mildly deranged and has acted selfishly and largely disappointed. On the other hand I know he believes in our national sovereignty. I would love to vote for someone else in 2020, but the left is going to have to do better than they have done.   

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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True. My brother went to undergrad and Law School at University of Oregon and he's not as conservative as I am, but he is still fairly conservative. He never was as conservative as I am, so that aspect didn't really change during those 7 years. 

 

I've heard of many cases of professors doing a lot of white bashing.  It's gotten so bad that a lot of white boys are struggling with self loathing.  I'll never forget the video I saw of a Millennial protestor in Portland berating a man for being white while the man doing the berating was also white.  They are total lunatics.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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It seems to be true for some of the loudest talkers on that side. I think we all understand not all liberals hate this country and what it stands for, but many do. And of course people like David Duke are total rascals and are just as bad. But he is a total pariah, he has absolutely no following and is an extreme anomaly. The only reason anyone even knows who he is anymore is because the media continues to indulge him and parade him around so they can paint everyone on the right with that brush. On the other hand on the left characters like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders are paraded as mainstream figures. They even elect openly anti-Semitic members of Congress, then say Trump, whose daughter is a convert to Judaism and whose husband is a close confident is the real anti-Semite. It really defies logic. I think Trump is mildly deranged and has acted selfishly and largely disappointed. On the other hand I know he believes in our national sovereignty. I would love to vote for someone else in 2020, but the left is going to have to do better than they have done.   

 

 

I feel like I am in the same boat.  

 

Just put up someone who is moderate and reasonable and who can speak in coherent sentences and they have my vote.   But this radical left wing crap is just stupid.    They are going to force people to vote for Trump again.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I've heard of many cases of professors doing a lot of white bashing.  It's gotten so bad that a lot of white boys are struggling with self loathing.  I'll never forget the video I saw of a Millennial protestor in Portland berating a man for being white while the man doing the berating was also white.  They are total lunatics.

 

I do think some of that is overblown on campuses. I mean it exists in many of the humanities departments, but it probably isn't to terrible in gen ed classes and many math and science related majors. 

 

As for self loathers. I definitely know some people who suffer crippling white guilt. To me that's more of a personal problem, if it wasn't that it'd be the other self flagellating flavor of the month. I think most people understand they need not feel guilty for what they had no part of. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I've heard of many cases of professors doing a lot of white bashing.  It's gotten so bad that a lot of white boys are struggling with self loathing.  I'll never forget the video I saw of a Millennial protestor in Portland berating a man for being white while the man doing the berating was also white.  They are total lunatics.

The anti-white indoctrination starts at a very young age nowadays. https://www.patheos.com/blogs/frenchrevolution/2016/07/18/how-an-elite-nyc-school-re-segregates-kids-gives-black-students-cupcakes-and-shame-white-students/

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Oh my god, are we actually arguing that anti-white discrimination is an active and widespread issue? Maybe in Zimbabwe....

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Too long ago. My son was studying this week and asked me to look at his work and I said it looked completely foreign to me... but I got an A in AP Calculus. My son said he will never forget it. But unless you use it... you will lose it.

Maybe some of the details, but the concepts are interesting enough where I don’t see myself forgetting them.

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Oh my god, are we actually arguing that anti-white discrimination is an active and widespread issue? Maybe in Zimbabwe....

 

Maybe in Zimbabwe? Pretty astute of you to know about that though. If you have any interest in the topic I would encourage you to read. When a Crocodile Eats the Sun and The Fear by Peter Godwin. Mugabe will cast a long shadow over that land for quite a time. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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If David f**king Duke is rallying to support you, and you claim to be a Democrat, then you’ve seriously f**ked up.

 

My gf is Jewish and is legitimately disturbed by what went down the other night. I’m agnostic, but I can certainly understand why.

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Phil has said many times that there is a lag... and that is why he is predicting a multi-year Nina after next winter.

 

And I seriously doubt a Nino means what it normally means in this extended low solar period... its not a kiss of death. We can do just fine with a Nino next winter.

 

Unfortunately, the opposite can be true as well. The long-term Nina from 1998-2001 was in the upswing period of a solar cycle and it did not really deliver like a normal Nina period in lowlands of the PNW.

Agreed.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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Maybe some of the details, but the concepts are interesting enough where I don’t see myself forgetting them.

 

I think it develops problem solving skills and general concepts stick... but I would completely fail a calculus test now.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Maybe in Zimbabwe? Pretty astute of you to know about that though. If you have any interest in the topic I would encourage you to read. When a Crocodile Eats the Sun and The Fear by Peter Godwin. Mugabe will cast a long shadow over that land for quite a time.

Truly a madman, I’ve been interested in the oppression that that country has endured for so long. I’ll definitely check those out, thank you. Apparently he had villages in regions which did not vote for him bulldozed.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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I think it builds problem solving skills and general concepts stick... but I would completely fail a calculus test now.

Well if you don’t know what a derivative is I would argue that the general concepts haven’t stuck either.

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Truly a madman, I’ve been interested in the oppression that that country has endured for so long. I’ll definitely check those out, thank you. Apparently he had villages in regions which did not vote for him bulldozed.

I hear that’s one of Trump’s campaign promises for 2020.

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Well if you don’t know what a derivative is I would argue that the general concepts haven’t stuck either.

 

 

Thankfully we have Google now!  

 

When you are in school it seems like you will never forget the stuff you are learning... but time is b*tch.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Truly a madman, I’ve been interested in the oppression that that country has endured for so long. I’ll definitely check those out, thank you. Apparently he had villages in regions which did not vote for him bulldozed.

 

Yes, he had a long history of that. Peter Godwin also writes about that in Mukiwa: A White Boy in Africa. He was essentially exiled in the 80s for reporting on ethnic cleansing carried out by Mugabe's forces trained by North Korean special ops in order to punish his political enemies. 

 

In When A Crocodile Eats the Sun he writes about his father's shocking admission to the family that he was not actually British, but a Holocaust survivor from Poland who immigrated to England as much of the rest of his family was sent to the death camps. After the war he moved the family to Africa in order to put that chapter of his life behind him (His wife knew his secret), towards the end of his life he reveals this secret to Godwin, who then explores these roots and helps his father find solace under the backdrop of Zimbabwe descending into chaos under Mugabe's madness. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The ECMWF at day 10 looks like the ridge will crash... but I bet the EPS will show that energy offshore breaking off through CA again.   There is lots of energy diving southward again from the Bering Sea at that time.    Blocking theme continues.  

 

ecmwf_z500a_namer_11.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Thankfully we have Google now!

 

When you are in school it seems like you will never forget the stuff you are learning... but time is b*tch.

Then why didn’t you google it? Probably would have taken you as much time as it did to make the confused emoji.

 

That last part seems subjective. Of course you won’t remember everything, I don’t think anyone actually sits there believing they will. But it doesn’t mean you should expect to forget absolutely everything down to the basics either. Especially if you plan to be a lifelong learner, and not just turn your brain off to everything new once you graduate from college.

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This snow band appears to be strengthening, but moving off to the south as it does. Looks like it will hit the Santiam Canyon and Sweet Home foothills pretty hard.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Going way out to day 9... the highs are still below freezing in the basin.   I just think it must have something wrong.

 

ecmwf-t2max-washington-37.png

 

A little warmer over there on day 10... but I also don't think it will be that much cooler in Portland.

 

ecmwf-t2max-washington-41.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It seems to be true for some of the loudest talkers on that side. I think we all understand not all liberals hate this country and what it stands for, but many do. And of course people like David Duke are total rascals and are just as bad. But he is a total pariah, he has absolutely no following and is an extreme anomaly. The only reason anyone even knows who he is anymore is because the media continues to indulge him and parade him around so they can paint everyone on the right with that brush. On the other hand on the left characters like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders are paraded as mainstream figures. They even elect openly anti-Semitic members of Congress, then say Trump, whose daughter is a convert to Judaism and whose husband is a close confident is the real anti-Semite. It really defies logic. I think Trump is mildly deranged and has acted selfishly and largely disappointed. On the other hand I know he believes in our national sovereignty. I would love to vote for someone else in 2020, but the left is going to have to do better than they have done.   

I have plenty of reasons to dislike Omar but her alleged 'anti-Semitism' is not one of them. If she were talking about the influence of Russia or Saudi Arabia rather than Israel there would have been no controversy whatsoever. As someone who's neutral on the whole Israel-Palestine issue it's actually amusing to watch members of both parties absolutely lose their f***** minds over this.

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Then why didn’t you google it? Probably would have taken you as much time as it did to make the confused emoji.

 

That last part seems subjective. Of course you won’t remember everything, I don’t think anyone actually sits there believing they will. But it doesn’t mean you should expect to forget absolutely everything down to the basics either. Especially if you plan to be a lifelong learner, and not just turn your brain off of everything new once you graduate from college.

 

 

I love learning about things... like different cultures and places and the wonders of the universe.

 

But I am not learning calculus now.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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