March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[MossMan]

ECMWF is definitely more troughy next week... rain looks pretty sparse though.

 

There is a little mountain snow as well... and more to the south.

 

Total snow over the next 10 days...

 

I am no longer in the blue.

[TT-SEA]

00Z EPS brings the trough in to our south next week... but close enough at day 8 and 9 to probably bring some rain.    

 

But overall... its still a mix of ridging and split flow with the action focused mainly on CA.   This would be a great pattern as long as we can get some meaningful rain at times.     Vegetation will really come to life with some rain mixed in between the warm, sunny periods.

 

5-10 mean...

 

 

 

 

 

10-15 day mean...

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Noticeable improvement on the EPS.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Despite a lack of recent precipitation Oregon's snow pack #'s seem to be holding their own. 

[TT-SEA]

Noticeable improvement on the EPS.

Specifically in the 7-10 day period?

 

The next week looks less troughy than it once did... and the 10-15 day period shows split flow and generally warm.

 

Or maybe you like spring now and your definition of improvement is a little different.

[TacomaWaWx]

Was 44 at this time yesterday 50 today at this time. Definitely will be warmer today. Kayaked a few hours yesterday was a beautiful day. What a turn around in the weather seems like El Niño for sure compared to a couple weeks ago

Weather looks pretty normal for PNW standards after this however

[SilverFallsAndrew]

All coming together Tim. This is setting up splendidly for April showers!

[Jesse]

All coming together Tim. This is setting up splendidly for April showers!

He wants rain too!! Another day or two of it would set us up nicely for another record hot and dry summer.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think Jesse slammed his head right on a nail yesterday when he pointed out that at least we are getting this crap out of the way early so we can move back into a cooler wetter pattern.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

He wants rain too!! Another day or two of it would set us up nicely for another record hot and dry summer.

 

True. Another 3-5 days of weak underachieving troughing will set us up for a 3 week run of record highs! 

[TT-SEA]

All coming together Tim. This is setting up splendidly for April showers!

 

Darn... its normal to have no rain at all in April!  

[Omegaraptor]

What is actually the benefit of 50°F rain over 57°F rain in April? Higher chance of mountain snow? Snowpack is normal to above normal right now.

[Jesse]

What is actually the benefit of 50°F rain over 57°F rain in April? Higher chance of mountain snow? Snowpack is normal to above normal right now.

50F rain is just better, feels nicer. 45F rain is better yet.

[Guest Sounder]

50F rain is just better, feels nicer. 45F rain is better yet.

I honestly don't know how anyone can be so deranged. 45F rain does not feel nicer than 50F rain, period.

[Jesse]

I honestly don't know how anyone can be so deranged. 45F rain does not feel nicer than 50F rain, period.

To the camps!

[Jesse]

Wind blew all night here. Never got below a balmy 45.

[ShawniganLake]

34 with some frost here. Pretty chilly after hitting 70 yesterday

[Deweydog]

What happened to the Euro snow maps?

[Jesse]

34 with some frost here. Pretty chilly after hitting 70 yesterday

 

Did your freeze stretch end this morning or yesterday morning?

[ShawniganLake]

Did your freeze stretch end this morning or yesterday morning?

It ended at 40 the other night when it stayed cloudy

[TT-SEA]

What happened to the Euro snow maps?

 

I posted this last night...

 

[Jesse]

What happened to the Euro snow maps?

 

Just 12 to go before you join the 20,000 club!

[ShawniganLake]

I was reading some comments from a snowmobile rider up near our cabin in the cariboo. Apparently the below average snowpack and cold February resulted in nearly 3 feet of ice on the lakes there. Could be a late melt out this year.

[Jesse]

I was reading some comments from a snowmobile rider up near our cabin in the cariboo. Apparently the below average snowpack and cold February resulted in nearly 3 feet of ice on the lakes there. Could be a late melt out this year.

 

Has the snowpack caught up up there, or was the cold period in February-early March drier further north.

[TacomaWaWx]

Might hit 80 today at this rate in Seattle. Was reading that it got to 76 at the airport I believe yesterday. Would be the first 80 degree temp recorded at Sea tac in March ever if it happens. Crazy weather shift. Was 35 for a high temp on 3/6 and 38 on 3/8. then all the way to 66 on 3/17, 75 On 3/18 and maybe 80 on 3/19. (Those are temps in Tacoma not Sea tac)

[Cloud]

SEA is on pace to hit 80F today.

Record is 76F from 1928.

[Omegaraptor]

Taking bets that Portland will hit 69 both today and tomorrow.

 

SEA nears the record while Portland goes yet another 70-less March.

[Jesse]

SEA wasn’t even around in 1928. And I doubt they hit 80 today.

[Blizzard777]

Low of 37* last night

Currently 49* with no wind

I have this urge to setup patio for summer but I know things will change and become wet and soggy once again

 

 

#Holdingmyhorse!

[TT-SEA]

66 at SEA and here before 10 a.m.

 

Quite windy here too.

[Blizzard777]

66 at SEA and here before 10 a.m.

Quite windy here too.

No kite flying here yet but I’m sure later on will get breezy once again

[TacomaWaWx]

Get the feeling it will get real close to 80 but may not cross the threshold. Will be interesting to see wouldn’t suprise me if it crosses 80 also. Temps this morning 10-15 degrees warmer in the mid 60s near the foothills but once you go west its in the mid 50s.

[Cloud]

66 at SEA and here before 10 a.m.

 

Quite windy here too.

10AM readings shows 68F with 20 mph E wind 32 Gust.

[Deweydog]

Just 12 to go before you join the 20,000 club!

How do you know that??? Have you watched me EVERY time??? Gross.

[Blizzard777]

Plus 5* degrees difference from yesterday at 1030am ...80* very possible here

[TacomaWaWx]

Already 60 and it’s still not 11am. Closing in on 70 near the foothills too.High should be something like 78-82 today. Either way it’ll be one of the warmest days on record for March for everyone.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

53 in EUG. Gonna be another beautiful day.

[Omegaraptor]

62°F here.

[bainbridgekid]

SEA already hit 70 degrees at 9:55 AM.

 

Just absolutely ridiculous and 15 degrees warmer than yesterday at that time, which still ended up being the warmest Winter day in recorded history.

 

A 32 mph East wind though, which will cap afternoon heating some.

[Cloud]

SEA wasn’t even around in 1928. And I doubt they hit 80 today.

No, but but to clarify, the all-time high for today is 76 for the city. This record was obviously taken in downtown.

I don't think SEA will hit 80 as well, but it'll be close. Look like 11AM reading is 70F.