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March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW


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Pretty crazy all our negative anomalies this month will be wiped out by the end of the week. Oh well. Still a throwback cold first half of the month. And Central and NE Oregon will have great negative anomalies to show for it...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Kind of grappling with some heavy topics today. Does the record heat today and tomorrow tarnish the stretch we just went through or make it that much more special? 

 

And in some ways was this complete flip inevitable, just as March 1960 and 1951 saw quite a bit of warm weather later on in the month. 

 

Extremes seem to be more common maybe?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Pretty crazy all our negative anomalies this month will be wiped out by the end of the week. Oh well. Still a throwback cold first half of the month. And Central and NE Oregon will have great negative anomalies to show for it...

The cold earlier this month will be hard to overcome. I think we still squeak out of this week with negative anomalies at most stations.

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It was interesting. Even though it only got down to 40 last night the snow was still hard and crusted over this morning. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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It was interesting. Even though it only got down to 40 last night the snow was still hard and crusted over this morning. 

 

Same here... fascinating to watch its incredible self-sustaining resilience.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Nice days for this time of year! 

 

Other than a day or two of potential overnight snow I'm not sure March is going to continue what I saw first 10 days, not anywhere close.

Statistically I was hoping for a March 2012 (15.20"), that seems like a very distant likelihood now.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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73 at SEA on the hour.  

 

72 here.   And there is still snow in the shaded areas and even some snow banks in the sun.   Amazing.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Salem at 75 as of 2pm! Already a record high and closing in quickly on the all-time March record of 80.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Salem at 75 as of 2pm! Already a record high and closing in quickly on the all-time March record of 80.

 

Well they dropped a degree. Downsloping may have just caused them to peak a little early...Still within striking distance though.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Well they dropped a degree. Downsloping may have just caused them to peak a little early...Still within striking distance though.

PDX holding at 68 with strong east winds. If they hadn’t already hit 700 degrees earlier this morning I would say they have a shot at pulling off another sub-70 high.

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Prineville with an inversiony 39 at the moment.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Awesome afternoon. Even with wind it feels good. In March wind rarely feels all that good.

 

PgTZJhL.jpg

 

UPEUVe0.jpg

 

zbFs6ev.jpg

 

ZFY5U2P.jpg

 

MvWb27o.jpg

 

Unfortunately some of our trees on one of the streets I frequent are all being hacked up... 

That will really ruin the view come next Fall!  :o

 

8Dt6RgC.jpg

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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SEA broke the record high today from 1951.  

 

That year has been discussed many times for its similarities to what happened this winter.    Nothing much happened from November - January and then it turned cold at the beginning of February through the middle of March.   April was incredibly dry that year but there was some rain late in the month and in May and June.  Nice part was that there were no long wet stretches like we can get in the spring.   It followed a regular pattern of a few nice days and then a couple days with rain.   And then it turned dry after the first week of June and there was only few days with rain until the last week of September.    It rained in my area on just 7 days from the first week of June through the last week of September.   Way less than normal and one of the driest summers ever here... but there was almost no extreme heat either.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SEA broke the record high today from 1951.

 

That year has been discussed many times for its similarities to what happened this winter. Nothing much happened from November - January and then it turned cold at the beginning of February through the middle of March. April was incredibly dry that year but there was some rain late in the month and in May and June. Nice part was that there were no long wet stretches like we can get in the spring. It followed a regular pattern of a few nice days and then a couple days with rain. And then it turned dry after the first week of June and there was only few days with rain until the last week of September. It rained in my area on just 7 days from the first week of June through the last week of September. Way less than normal and one of the driest summers ever here... but there was almost no extreme heat either.

Sounds boring, if we get no extreme heat than that will not be awesone...

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68ºF high thanks to the wind tunnel. Hillsboro still disappointed at 69ºF. As much as it sucks to say this, I think Portland might go another 70-less March while everywhere else in Western OR and WA makes it.

 

The only real chance is Wednesday. I don't see it happening tomorrow because again, east winds.

 

Why is it always Portland that gets screwed out of every significant weather event since last summer's heat waves?

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SEA broke the record high today from 1951.  

 

That year has been discussed many times for its similarities to what happened this winter.    Nothing much happened from November - January and then it turned cold at the beginning of February through the middle of March.   April was incredibly dry that year but there was some rain late in the month and in May and June.  Nice part was that there were no long wet stretches like we can get in the spring.   It followed a regular pattern of a few nice days and then a couple days with rain.   And then it turned dry after the first week of June and there was only few days with rain until the last week of September.    It rained in my area on just 7 days from the first week of June through the last week of September.   Way less than normal and one of the driest summers ever here... but there was almost no extreme heat either.

 

If there is still at least a few decent t'storm patterns, count me in.  :P

And I love the mild mid-Spring showery days in Klamath Falls. I thirst for those.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 16
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 

Severe storms: 2

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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68ºF high thanks to the wind tunnel. Hillsboro still disappointed at 69ºF. As much as it sucks to say this, I think Portland might go another 70-less March while everywhere else in Western OR and WA makes it.

 

The only real chance is Wednesday. I don't see it happening tomorrow because again, east winds.

 

Why is it always Portland that gets screwed out of every significant weather event since last summer's heat waves?

This pattern definitely favors areas towards the coast.

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72 in EUG. Gorgeous day. Kiddos all at the park.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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SEA broke the record high today from 1951.  

 

That year has been discussed many times for its similarities to what happened this winter.    Nothing much happened from November - January and then it turned cold at the beginning of February through the middle of March.   April was incredibly dry that year but there was some rain late in the month and in May and June.  Nice part was that there were no long wet stretches like we can get in the spring.   It followed a regular pattern of a few nice days and then a couple days with rain.   And then it turned dry after the first week of June and there was only few days with rain until the last week of September.    It rained in my area on just 7 days from the first week of June through the last week of September.   Way less than normal and one of the driest summers ever here... but there was almost no extreme heat either.

 

As a rain lover, that sounds boring. Virtually nothing offered besides a couple of half-inchers in late April and May.

 

I'm hoping for a late season AR in April like Seattle saw last year... but it sure ain't likely.

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As a rain lover, that sounds boring. Virtually nothing offered besides a couple of half-inchers in late April and May.

 

I'm hoping for a late season AR in April like Seattle saw last year... but it sure ain't likely.

 

 

Anything is possible... that is just one year.   I bring it up because its pretty much my dream summer.   :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Anything is possible... that is just one year.   I bring it up because its pretty much my dream summer.   :)

 

My dream summer is average to slightly above average temps with lots of sun and no smoke. Combine that with a good June thunderstorm like we had last year and I'll be very satisfied.

 

Fun fact: The 5-minute Portland rainfall record was set in June.

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SEA broke the record high today from 1951.

 

That year has been discussed many times for its similarities to what happened this winter. Nothing much happened from November - January and then it turned cold at the beginning of February through the middle of March. April was incredibly dry that year but there was some rain late in the month and in May and June. Nice part was that there were no long wet stretches like we can get in the spring. It followed a regular pattern of a few nice days and then a couple days with rain. And then it turned dry after the first week of June and there was only few days with rain until the last week of September. It rained in my area on just 7 days from the first week of June through the last week of September. Way less than normal and one of the driest summers ever here... but there was almost no extreme heat either.

FWIW, I don’t think that’s a good summer analog at all.

 

Solar maximum, neutral ENSO/weak jet, -PDO, +AMO. Sort of diametrically opposed to the current state of affairs.

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FWIW, I don’t think that’s a good summer analog at all.

 

Solar maximum, neutral ENSO/weak jet, -PDO, +AMO. Sort of diametrically opposed to the current state of affairs.

Too bad.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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FWIW, I don’t think that’s a good summer analog at all.

 

Solar maximum, neutral ENSO/weak jet, -PDO, +AMO. Sort of diametrically opposed to the current state of affairs.

 

If we're going to go by analogs, what is the best analog for this summer? You brought up 1997 in the summer prediction thread, which had average temperatures (save a cool June) and no smoke. Are you still sticking by 1997?

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Anything is possible... that is just one year. I bring it up because its pretty much my dream summer. :)

Have you heard about the historic flooding in the Plains and Midwest?

 

I forget, what was that other year that featured similarly cataclysmic flooding out there? I think Clinton was President at the time..

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