gabel23 Posted March 31, 2014 Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 This is the advisory we get to see in our area! Yeah another dust storm! BLOWING DUST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING......WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A BLOWINGDUST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. AWIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING.* WIND...FROM THE NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH...ACCOMPANIED BYGUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.* VISIBILITY...TO AROUND A HALF MILE IN BLOWING DUST...ANDPERHAPS APPROACHING A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES.* TIMING...THE WIND WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THE DAY...FINALLYDIMINISHING IN INTENSITY LATER THIS EVENING. ANY VISIBILITYRESTRICTION IN BLOWING DUST WILL ALSO PERSIST THROUGH THISAFTERNOON AND INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted March 31, 2014 Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 Storm report in Western Nebraska...... PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE1024 AM CDT MON MAR 31 2014..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON.....DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE......REMARKS..1005 AM DUST STORM CAMBRIDGE 40.28N 100.17W03/31/2014 FURNAS NE PUBLICNEAR-ZERO VISIBILITY...DUE TO BLOWING DUST...REPORTEDBETWEEN CAMBRIDGE AND OXFORD IN FURNAS COUNTY. REPORTRELAYED BY MEDIA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
th_snow Posted March 31, 2014 Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 999.1 MB L on the OK/KS border at HR 72. Still north of other guidance at 96 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 31, 2014 Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 I have lived in Central Nebraska my entire life. Have never seen a blowing dust advisory. We are in one now. For anyone who doesn't believe we are in a drought come out here and see for yourself. 0 visibility in blowing dust reported in Furnas County. Unbelievable how dry it is. I wasn't alive during the 1930's but this is what I envision when read reports or watch video from that time. We have had more wind advisories, high wind warnings, red flag warnings than most locations would have in a decade just this winter (or what was supposed to be winter). This is why we are frustrated when he hear of breaking snowfall records when we would beg for 1 inch of rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 31, 2014 Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 I agree 100 percent. It is been so long between storms you wonder if it is still possible.It really has boiled down to that for me and I'm sure everyone else out here. We're within 96 hours of this storm, and it looks solid to say the least, it's just that my confidence in models for this area is zero. I've lost all faith in models to tell ya the truth. It almost doesn't seem possible for it to storm here. I joked about a blowing dust advisory earlier this year, not knowing it even existed. 3 months later, what do you know. It's sick. Iowa and points east setting a record year for snow, and we're setting a record year for dryness?? How in the hell. It's just wrong man! EDIT: Wow, it is really getting worse at a rapid pace. It wasn't long ago when my county was in the clear. Now we're in the moderate stage, as March is usually a month of insane weather here. Counting on April to give me something. http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/pngs/20140325/20140325_ne_none.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 31, 2014 Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 I'm going to start a thread for this storm. 95% of this thread is about it and April hasn't even started yet! http://theweatherforums.com/index.php?/topic/215-april-2nd-4th-storm-system-both-waves/ Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 31, 2014 Author Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 Took a look at the Euro Weeklies...major trough develops Day 10-15... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted March 31, 2014 Report Share Posted March 31, 2014 Took a look at the Euro Weeklies...major trough develops Day 10-15...this could be our last hard freeze after that then we will getting a warmer pattern. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Had a high of 57° about 7 hours ago, but now only 34°. Hopefully it can recover to the upper 40s later. Quite windy out this morning. That trough looks a bit too deep for the time of season. If you can read along the seam of the map it shows a ridge in the central US - GFS. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 this is the current teleconnections forecast.ftp://ftp.cdc.noaa.gov/Public/gbates/reforecast2/teleconn/4panel.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Happy April! ....got down to 24, actually still 24 here, quite a bit below guidance. Wind chill of 8. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 This is from Hastings NWS in Nebraska regarding how dry it has been. Driest stretch of days between Nov. 6-March 31 on record at Grand Island...As anybody knows, much of our local area has seen a VERY dry winter, especially north of the Nebraska-Kansas border area. As a matter of fact, Grand Island has officially only measured 1.02" of precipitation since Nov. 6th. This is the least-amount of precip EVER measured during this particular time frame, out of 119 years of records dating all the way back to 1896.Hopefully April brings some much-needed moisture and this notably dry trend starts to reverse. Driest in 119 years of records. That should make anyone on this forum feel bad for us over here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 This is from Hastings NWS in Nebraska regarding how dry it has been. Driest stretch of days between Nov. 6-March 31 on record at Grand Island...As anybody knows, much of our local area has seen a VERY dry winter, especially north of the Nebraska-Kansas border area. As a matter of fact, Grand Island has officially only measured 1.02" of precipitation since Nov. 6th. This is the least-amount of precip EVER measured during this particular time frame, out of 119 years of records dating all the way back to 1896.Hopefully April brings some much-needed moisture and this notably dry trend starts to reverse. Driest in 119 years of records. That should make anyone on this forum feel bad for us over here. I feel for ya man! From your driest & stormless winter to my coldest & (nearly) snowiest, it surely has been a winter of crazy extremes across the Plains/Midwest! Our snows have shut off, so hopefully you guys will also turn a corner soon! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 What's up with the temps this morning. It is darn cold out there. Don't know how we will hit 50 today let alone 40. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 What's up with the temps this morning. It is darn cold out there. Don't know how we will hit 50 today let alone 40. I guess the forecasters are counting on the CAA evacuating the area as the clouds continue to pull NE. Looks like it's going to be quite wet in the Midwest coming up.Nice Bermuda high forms towards the 10th of the month on the GFS. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 just saw something from the weather centre's blog that between the 9th and the 15th we could be looking at mulitple storm systems that could be strong to severe that can hit anywhere from the plains to the midwest to the ohio valley to the east coast to the southeast too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Pretty unsettled weather for next week with possible LES on this side of the lake. Now that would be pretty wild for this time of the year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 i have a funny feeling that april will be an active month with unsettled and stormy weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 just saw something from the weather centre's blog that between the 9th and the 15th we could be looking at mulitple storm systems that could be strong to severe that can hit anywhere from the plains to the midwest to the ohio valley to the east coast to the southeast too. I saw that too. Looks to be associated with a Bermuda high parking itself off the East Coast and a SW flow ( neutral tilted trough). 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 I saw that too. Looks to be associated with a Bermuda high parking itself off the East Coast and a SW flow ( neutral tilted trough).with a -pna and with a +nao means that the storms will go up towards the great lakes and intensifly and so chicago needs to be aware of this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Let's play guess the month! Go ahead and guess which month my screen shot is from and you can win perpetual winter!!! Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 I'm gonna guess April 1, 2014 at 12:54 PM CDT. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 I am hearing Euro has a pretty big storm next week. 996mb that goes from S. IN to Detroit Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Man alive. The driest year in 119 years. Drier than the years of the dust bowl. Unbelievable. Sounds weird and well over the top, but we need prayers out here folks. People are going to lose their incomes out here, anywhere west of Omaha/Lincoln, it's farmers. They DEPEND on weather. And we haven't gotten any. This is going to skyrocket your prices at the grocery stores. There was a dust storm warning out west, which is the first one I think ever warranted in the state. Hope this storm on the second doesn't dry slot us, it'd be hell, and I'd freak out as well as farmers out here as well if we don't generate some sort of solid precipitation out here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 I am hearing Euro has a pretty big storm next week. 996mb that goes from S. IN to Detroit Yeah big rain storm. Over 0.8"-1.2" of rain for NE IL in the next 10 days. 1-4" rain amounts in downstate IN, OH and IL. --- That's unimpressive not good news Nebraska. Hopefully a SW flow does setup and your state gets hosed this month. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 1, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 CFSv2 says there is no reprieve from the below normal temperature pattern and NO sustained warms up in sight....check out how deep those purple colors are in Canada that are forecasted this far out. As we get closer, those temp departures get colder. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 CFSv2 says there is no reprieve from the below normal temperature pattern and NO sustained warms up in sight....check out how deep those purple colors are in Canada that are forecasted this far out. As we get closer, those temp departures get colder.no way tom that +nao +ao -pna that means a ridge in the east and a trough in the west and with the mjo heading to phase 3 or 4. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 1, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 12z Euro Control concurs...April will surely bring wild swings this month, possibly extreme temperature swings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 12z Euro Control concurs...April will surely bring wild swings this month, possibly extreme temperature swings.you're so wrong tom how you say that we will have extreme temprature swings in april that the +ao +nao and -pna happening that the stratosphere is going thru it.s final warming that the polar vortex is collapsing so that means that we are going thru temprature swings but not that extreme that like geos has stated not to long ago that the reminant piece of the polar vortex is going north to russia within the nextweek. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 1, 2014 Report Share Posted April 1, 2014 Yeah if the PV is dead in the next 1-2 weeks than everything will start to go zonal and the jet stream will weaken into summer mode. I really don't see the support for what the CFS or EURO shows now. Models are in struggle mode imo. Actually now it looks like +AO, +NAO, and +PNA. That = zonal. GFS shows a central US ridge Day 9-14. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Yeah big rain storm. Over 0.8"-1.2" of rain for NE IL in the next 10 days. 1-4" rain amounts in downstate IN, OH and IL. --- That's unimpressive not good news Nebraska. Hopefully a SW flow does setup and your state gets hosed this month. you gotta find out where the 32 degree line is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Yeah if the PV is dead in the next 1-2 weeks than everything will start to go zonal and the jet stream will weaken into summer mode. I really don't see the support for what the CFS or EURO shows now. Models are in struggle mode imo. Actually now it looks like +AO, +NAO, and +PNA. That = zonal. GFS shows a central US ridge Day 9-14. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/blocking/real_time_nh/forecast_2_nh.gif http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/blocking/real_time_nh/forecast_3_nh.gifafter our last hard freeze then we will have warmer weather(tom is right on that one that we not had our hard freeze yet but not extreme). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 you gotta find out where the 32 degree line is. Basically during the entire time span of the storm it stays above 35° south of the Canadian border. - on the EURO. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 2, 2014 Author Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Chicago record the coldest December - March period on record dating back to 1872! www.wattsupwiththat.com/2014/04/01/its-official-chicago-experienced-the-coldest-four-months-ever/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Chicago record the coldest December - March period on record dating back to 1872! www.wattsupwiththat.com/2014/04/01/its-official-chicago-experienced-the-coldest-four-months-ever/ Glad it set some all time record - after all of that! ---Still decent out tonight with temps hovering around 40°. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Glad it set some all time record - after all of that! ---Still decent out tonight with temps hovering around 40°.Yeah a little chilly tonight still, but at least there isn't that crazy wind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 Dipped to 27° here this morning. I was surprised by the bright sunshine this morning. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 I'm gonna guess April 1, 2014 at 12:54 PM CDT.You get the point Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted April 2, 2014 Report Share Posted April 2, 2014 You get the pointJust messing around with you buddy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted April 3, 2014 Report Share Posted April 3, 2014 fondout on facebook that 8 to 14 day forecast shows a zonal flow so that means we will have a +ao that will take the jetstrean northward. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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