Pacific Northwest Weather -June 2023

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Gorgeous day. 

[TT-SEA]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Gorgeous day. 

Sky looks almost identical here... currently 73 degrees.    

And we agree that this is a gorgeous day!   Some common ground to build on.  

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sky looks almost identical here... currently 73 degrees.    

And we agree that this is a gorgeous day!   Some common ground to build on.  

Does Jesse agree?

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Does Jesse agree?

I am sure he also thinks this is a beautiful day.    Most people agree that temps in the 70s is lovely summer weather.   I can also say that I would much prefer 70s over 90s.   We also agree on that.    Lots of strawman building on here pretending that other people have extreme preferences.   But that is usually not the reality.  

[TT-SEA]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF for the 4th.

Unusual situation when the GFS is cooler than the ECMWF... 

[Anti Marine Layer]

23 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am sure he also thinks this is a beautiful day.    Most people agree that temps in the 70s is lovely summer weather.   I can also say that I would much prefer 70s over 90s.   We also agree on that.    Lots of strawman building on here pretending that other people have extreme preferences.   But that is usually not the reality.  

I think if the ONLY 2 options are cold and rainy all the time vs. hot and sunny all the time, most people would choose the one that is least uncomfortable to them. It's kind of like choosing between Trump and Biden.

[LowerGarfield]

4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Wanted to let y’all know this because I feel that it’s important.

People shined a light into our property and jumped the fence into our yard from the back alley last night. Turned on our pool pump. Then today 2 cars slowly driving by back there. One backed up to make sure I saw it. Then they both drove away right after that.

We called the cops and the police never showed up.

Just want y’all to be aware of the situation here. I get scared easily a lot so this harassment has been really unnerving. I can’t afford a camera for the back but I really need one.

I feel like my family isn’t safe here

For them making sure they were seen, what do police think their end goal was? Scary!

[Eugene-5SW]

Eugene's been killin' it lately with over-achieving on high temperatures. Every day for the last week has been 5º-7º warmer than the NWS forecast. Today's high of 85º was a +7º.

June 2023 average high to date of 79.3 is +5.2 above normal, but isn't in the ballpark of 2015 (83.6) or 2021 (82.4).

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Eugene's been killin' it lately with over-achieving on high temperatures. Every day for the last week has been 5º-7º warmer than the NWS forecast. Today's high of 85º was a +7º.

June 2023 average high to date of 79.3 is +5.2 above normal, but isn't in the ballpark of 2015 (83.6) or 2021 (82.4).

2015 and 2021 are in a league of their own for June. 

[Eugene-5SW]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

2015 and 2021 are in a league of their own for June. 

Yes they were. Only 1951 comes close.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Yes they were. Only 1951 comes close.

Looks like this could be a top ten month?

[Eugene-5SW]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like this could be a top ten month?

Could come in #4 for June average high since 1939, if the next 3 days don't magically under-achieve.

[Phil]

28 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Yes they were. Only 1951 comes close.

That step change in 2013 is something to behold. Both Atlantic/Pacific meridional modes flipped along with NAM/SAM bimodal covariance.

A whole decade later the meridional modes have finally flipped back, but during a developing niño. Couldn’t have scripted it any better.

[BLI snowman]

4CH or not, we find a way to be hawt.

[Phil]

18 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Could come in #4 for June average high since 1939, if the next 3 days don't magically under-achieve.

Is there something about the pattern that would favor such warmth at the surface? Because 850mb temps haven’t been noteworthy at all.

[Eugene-5SW]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

That step change in 2013 is something to behold. Both Atlantic/Pacific meridional modes flipped along with NAM/SAM bimodal covariance.

A whole decade later the meridional modes have finally flipped back, but during a developing niño. Couldn’t have scripted it any better.

Oh you and your acronyms. The real explanation is a lot simpler.

2013 is the year I started spending my summers up here, and the weather gods know how much I hate hot weather.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

These overperforming temps and drier years are going to create huge problems down the road. The fire will rain into the city from Pisgah or other foothill locations. There won’t be any way to stop it.

[Eugene-5SW]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Is there something about the pattern that would favor such warmth at the surface? Because 850mb temps haven’t been noteworthy at all.

Weather god curses aside, it really is a mystery. The pattern of the last few days would suggest highs in the upper 70s, which is what the NWS forecast. No idea why it keeps overachieving by such a large margin.

Not a sensor issue at EUG because other local stations (including my PWS) concur.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Eugene-5SW said:

Weather god curses aside, it really is a mystery. The pattern of the last few days would suggest highs in the upper 70s, which is what the NWS forecast. No idea why it keeps overachieving by such a large margin.

Not a sensor issue at EUG because other local stations (including my PWS) concur.

We are slowly becoming a desert.

[Eugene-5SW]

16 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

We are slowly becoming a desert.

#Fresnification

From I-5 near Cottage Grove:

[Omegaraptor]

36 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

#Fresnification

From I-5 near Cottage Grove:

 

Umpqua River at Elkton

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Big brush fire by the South Santiam River here in Lebanon, sounds like it may have started at a homeless encampment. 

[Omegaraptor]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Big brush fire by the South Santiam River here in Lebanon, sounds like it may have started at a homeless encampment. 

I had to clean up an abandoned encampment at work today. Not fun but someone's gotta do it.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

From I 5 at Tangent 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

I was reading the above interesting political discussion, and I just broke a tooth on a popcorn kernel.   What is up with these ugly forum colors?

[Timmy Supercell]

1 hour ago, Eugene-5SW said:

#Fresnification

From I-5 near Cottage Grove:

How I-5 looks in a few more years..

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Timmy Supercell said:

How I-5 looks in a few more years..

Looks like a nicely-maintained freeway. Need them thru Willamette Pass and Santiam Pass so we don't get stuck behind trucks and have our view obscured.

[Deweydog]

14 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

I was reading the above interesting political discussion, and I just broke a tooth on a popcorn kernel.   What is up with these ugly forum colors?

The cost of dental care has SKYROCKETED.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

The cost of dental care has SKYROCKETED.

That's true.  But after reading this forum for the last hour, I'm going to need some glasses.

[MossMan]

19 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

How I-5 looks in a few more years..

 

[MossMan]

6 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Unless they live in the highest cost of living enclaves, this is hard to imagine.

Those Enclaves are not cheap anymore…

[High Desert Mat?]

Crazy that Prineville recorded 2.2” of rain yesterday with thunderstorms while here in Redmond I didn’t even see a sprinkle. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

39 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Crazy that Prineville recorded 2.2” of rain yesterday with thunderstorms while here in Redmond I didn’t even see a sprinkle. 

That’s wild and a huge blessing for them. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

78/54 yesterday and 79/55 today. Morning clouds both days with burn off around noon.

A shame PDX couldn’t stay below 80 either day, they will have a clean sweep through the end of the month now it appears. They way things have been overachieving lately it wouldn’t surprise me too much to see them make a run at 90 on Thursday.

[MossMan]

Not as spectacular as the sunsets I’m seeing all over FB tonight but still a cool sky. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

46 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

78/54 yesterday and 79/55 today. Morning clouds both days with burn off around noon.

A shame PDX couldn’t stay below 80 either day, they will have a clean sweep through the end of the month now it appears. They way things have been overachieving lately it wouldn’t surprise me too much to see them make a run at 90 on Thursday.

At least Lebanon didn’t burn down. 

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF ups the heat a little more for the 4th.    Going in the wrong direction.     

[TT-SEA]

And Wednesday is about the same... the 12Z run cooled us down significantly that day.

[TT-SEA]

Still going all the way out to Friday with no end in sight.    Honestly hope this run doesn't verify.    If it does... I blame Phil for asking this morning why we weren't all celebrating the troughing for next week.