Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
IMO, the following week looks ripe for "Ridge Riders" as the NW Flow aloft can really blow up storms on the leeward side of the CO Rockies. This pattern is prime for developing monstrous storms.
SEA is .98 now since yesterday morning. ECMWF yesterday morning showed SEA getting about an inch through 5 a.m. this morning so it was right on target.
It also shows about another .45 through tomorrow afternoon so it's likely SEA will be close to normal rainfall for all of June by the 4th day of the month.
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 77/59 there was 0.04” of rainfall. The sun was out 28% of the time. For today the average H/L is 76/55 the record high of 96 was set in 1934 the record low of 38 was set in 1947, 1977 and 1986. The record rainfall of 1.76” fell in 1892. Last year the H//L was 90/62 in the last of a early season heat wave.
The overnight low here in MBY was 55 and at the current time it is clear on 60.
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