The Ms. Anthrop Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 So took the dog out for a walk and stuck to the grass, which is still quite frozen. Water is just pooling up on the surface as it slooooowly thaws out. The sidewalk was slick as heck, and there is visible slush in the parking lot as well as patches of ice on the margins. It’s raining solidly. Holding steady at 34 degrees, and we dropped right to freezing at 4am for an hour. I’m a block from Lake Washington, so I’m genuinely surprised how long this cold has stuck around for me. What weather stations do folks use? I have a basic La Crosse station but am wanting to get something that gives me more than temps and humidity. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Just now, MossMan said: Ouch. Let kids have a little fun since it’s so rare to have a snow day. So dumb. Schools have gone off the deep end with that crap. My kids school is 2hrs late today and releasing 1hr early. What is even the point? Don't even get me started on their new rules for illness. Then, of course, they have the nerve to chastise parents when your kid misses school due to their illness rules, after they just made them miss 2 freakin years due to covid. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 (edited) 5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: wow it sure dont like the idea of snow here with that. I feel confident for a few here. Upper levels will start out cold enough here and the offshore flow will be deeper. Raging east wind with that warm front tomorrow... but the cold air source is being scoured out today so the Seattle area ends up with temps in the mid to upper 30s. Edited January 17 by TT-SEA Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said: I for sure thought Mossman would wake up with 4-6 inches of snow today. I could hear the gutters running when I went to bed around midnight, woke up at 4am and didn’t hear any gutter action so I got very excited and got up to do a deck check…The letdown was indescribable. 4 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Up to 1.5" out there now with continued heavy snow and a temperature of 32.8F. Definitely quite wet with probably a 7:1 or 5:1 ratio instead of the normal 10:1. Roughly 2 hours left of snowfall and HRRR gives me 2" more Kuchera. That's a good bet based on these rates. I've already surpassed the Euro forecast, but not quite at the 12" the GEM predicted. 7 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: Ouch. Let kids have a little fun since it’s so rare to have a snow day. So dumb. If I had kids they'd have the choice. We lived for snow days growing up. Having online learning on a day you can go out is super lame. I can guarantee a lot of parents are thinking the same thing. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, Phil said: Eh, climo response to phase-7 (WPAC) MJO deteriorates substantially by that point. In tandem with recovering PV, smart odds are against any arctic air into the CONUS (IMO). Climo response to phase-7 MJO Jan 21 & Jan 30, respectively: We'll see. It just seems like a strong wave in 7 almost always delivers here. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ms. Anthrop Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Ouch. Let kids have a little fun since it’s so rare to have a snow day. So dumb. LOL that is some serious snark from the comms person. Time to cue up the Pink Floyd, man... we don't need no education... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Up to 1.5" out there now with continued heavy snow and a temperature of 32.8F. Definitely quite wet with probably a 7:1 or 5:1 ratio instead of the normal 10:1. Roughly 2 hours left of snowfall and HRRR gives me 2" more Kuchera. That's a good bet based on these rates. I've already surpassed the Euro forecast, but not quite at the 12" the GEM predicted. How does the Hrrrrrrrr look for my area? Similar? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Raging east wind with that warm front tomorrow... but the cold air source is being scoured out today so the Seattle area ends up with temps in the mid to upper 30s. Some of the meso models are showing 850 and 925 beow zero during heavy precip and that is a for sure snow profile here even with onshore flow sometimes. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everleigh Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 At a very warm 43* here in Yelm with a nice rain. Snow is almost all gone. Kids said "Eff that" to 20min classes today and stayed home. lol (Jr and Sr in HS) Love seeing the snow pics from those that are scoring today!! Keep em comin! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post bainbridgekid Posted January 17 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: If I had kids they'd have the choice. We lived for snow days growing up. Having online learning on a day you can go out is super lame. I can guarantee a lot of parents are thinking the same thing. As a teacher, I promise you, so are we. I've had many conversations with my coworkers about how dumb that is and how largely worthless a suddenly thrown together singular online day would be. 11 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lynnwoodweather Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: ECMWF also shows SEA back down to 34 or 35 by 4 p.m. but there isn't much precip left by then. Convergence zone signature! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Some of the meso models are showing 850 and 925 beow zero during heavy precip and that is a for sure snow profile here even with onshore flow sometimes. FWIW... here is the ECMWF 925mb temps for early tomorrow afternoon as the precip is starting. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrozenBites Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Jan 30th - Feb 5th We will be back in action with cold. Let's see if I'm onto something or how much crow I can eat in 5 minutes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 11 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: I for sure thought Mossman would wake up with 4-6 inches of snow today. I have to admit seeing Whatcom County get hit like this today hurts a bit. They are on such a roll up there. No doubt it's Seattle's turn now. However, when you consider we just got hit really good in Dec 2021, and did ok last winter it goes to show how great this decade has been so far. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, FrozenBites said: Jan 30th - Feb 5th We will be back in action with cold. Let's see if I'm onto something or how much crow I can eat in 5 minutes. Models are hinting at it. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Fun watching it snow in the lowlands, but at the same time weird to have it melting slowly at Longmire (for now). 8 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, Lynnwoodweather said: Convergence zone signature! King County has some potential when the wind shifts to NW a bit later on. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: We'll see. It just seems like a strong wave in 7 almost always delivers here. First half of winter and/or pre-SSW (absorptive vs reflective state) and I’d be with you. But given we have neither of the above, and given the upcoming cycle of momentum deposition in tandem with strong niño…I mean it’s not *impossible*, but there’s no reason to explicitly forecast a cold outcome. No support for it, either statistically or dynamically. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MossMan Posted January 17 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 17 Snow globe!! Heavy snow!! 12 2 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I have to admit seeing Whatcom County get hit like this today hurts a bit. They are on such a roll up there. No doubt it's Seattle's turn now. However, when you consider we just got hit really good in Dec 2021, and did ok last winter it goes to show how great this decade has been so far. If things would of lined up better we could of had better wide spread snow, so close! Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, FrozenBites said: Jan 30th - Feb 5th We will be back in action with cold. Let's see if I'm onto something or how much crow I can eat in 5 minutes. I’ll be in SoCal during that timeframe, so probably. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Snow globe!! Heavy snow!! Told ya! 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 In Shoreline for work today but based off cams looks like still rain at home and around Paine Field. Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: As a teacher, I promise you, so are we. I've had many conversations with my coworkers about how dumb that is and how largely worthless a suddenly thrown together singular online day would be. I totally agree. Trying to teach a kid when they are excited about snow just adds to how dumb it is. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Phil said: First half of winter and/or pre-SSW (absorptive vs reflective state) and I’d be with you. But given we have neither of the above, and given the upcoming cycle of momentum deposition in tandem with strong niño…I mean it’s not *impossible*, but there’s no reason to explicitly forecast a cold outcome. No support for it, either statistically or dynamically. Very interesting points. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Rain changing over to snow here now. Temp is at 34. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ibleedcokezero Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 It looks like it’s trying to switch to snow here in Kingston 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: How does the Hrrrrrrrr look for my area? Similar? Looks like you get 2-3" more. Right now I'm seeing of the heaviest snow I've ever seen here. Probably 1.5-2" an hour. I can't even see across the street. 5 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 9 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: As a teacher, I promise you, so are we. I've had many conversations with my coworkers about how dumb that is and how largely worthless a suddenly thrown together singular online day would be. Yeah completely absurd. If I were a parent I’d pull my kids out of school so they can enjoy it. It’s one fucking day, it won’t alter your life course (save silly chaos theory stuff that is impossible to predict, lol). 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ms. Anthrop Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: As a teacher, I promise you, so are we. I've had many conversations with my coworkers about how dumb that is and how largely worthless a suddenly thrown together singular online day would be. I left education this last June, and yeah, it's ridiculous. I don't know what your district is like as far as pacing freedom, but for us we couldn't pause for a day and teach about snow, or weather, or something that would relate to what was going on. Nope, we'd have to stick to the guide. Half my class would be missing and the other half physically present but mentally absent. It would not be hard to have some really excellent snow day curriculum on tap that would be great enrichment for those who can/want to take part virtually. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrozenBites Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: If things would of lined up better we could of had better wide spread snow, so close! As most winters in W Washington. One day we all are going to be clobbered. February sounds like a start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lynnwoodweather Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Changing to sleet in Lynnwood. it is bouncy 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, MikeInEverett said: In Shoreline for work today but based off cams looks like still rain at home and around Paine Field. But somehow we have very wet snow falling here in Shoreline. That doesn’t make sense 2 Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingstonWX Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Big heavy flakes now. I wonder if we can manage any stickage today. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 Still 33 here. Holding onto this low level cold could end up paying dividends when the mid levels plunge a bit later. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: Snow globe!! Heavy snow!! I think you’ll get more then .5 inches euro had for you? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, FrozenBites said: As most winters in W Washington. One day we all are going to be clobbered. February sounds like a start. February has been the big month since 2016. I suspect that’ll reverse, though given how long the January curse lasted, who knows? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17 Report Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: Looks like you get 2-3" more. Right now I'm seeing of the heaviest snow I've ever seen here. Probably 1.5-2" an hour. I can't even see across the street. Yeah I can barely see across I-5 now at work. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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