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May 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather


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17 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

GFS way cooler. And GEM has the middle ground.

The Rex block pattern really beefs things up toward the end of this particular Euro run. Hopefully the EPS, and future runs, are a little different.

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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The rain is washing away this morning’s accumulations. 😞

IMG_4733.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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12Z EPS looks flatter/cooler around day 10 the operational. 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-5752800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I spied 191,000 miles there.   Our Expedition has the exact same mileage.    We have 5 cars between 4 drivers (my wife and I and two sons) and all of them have 100,000+ miles.   We never buy new.   I am a disappointment to the real 1%ers like @Deweydogand @MossMan!

Our old Expedition is only used for hauling the boat now so we have to keep it around.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I spied 191,000 miles there.   Our Expedition has the exact same mileage.    We have 5 cars between 4 drivers (my wife and I and two sons) and all of them have 100,000+ miles.   We never buy new.   I am a disappointment to the real 1%ers like @Deweydogand @MossMan!

Our old Expedition is only used for hauling the boat now so we have to keep it around.

We always buy new and then hang onto our cars. Down to two cars these days since the kids are old enough and employed enough to buy their own vehicles. 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

I spied 191,000 miles there.   Our Expedition has the exact same mileage.    We have 5 cars between 4 drivers (my wife and I and two sons) and all of them have 100,000+ miles.   We never buy new.   I am a disappointment to the real 1%ers like @Deweydogand @MossMan!

Our old Expedition is only used for hauling the boat now so we have to keep it around.

A true man of the people. Only 5 cars! 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A true man of the people. Only 5 cars! 

1 per adult person!   All pieces of sh*t.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

1 per adult person!   All pieces of sh*t.

Yikes. Please don't disown your own family. 

But if the kids pay for their own cars they don't count as yours, even if they live with you. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yikes. Please don't disown your own family. 

But if the kids pay for their own cars they don't count as yours, even if they live with you. 

My sons don't live here any longer.   And they do pay for their own cars.   But the titles and insurance are in my name.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12z GEFS. I like where the control goes in the long range. A bout of ridging followed by more normal conditions would be a lot more typical for May than ridging the rest of the month.

IMG_3340.png

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I spied 191,000 miles there.   Our Expedition has the exact same mileage.    We have 5 cars between 4 drivers (my wife and I and two sons) and all of them have 100,000+ miles.   We never buy new.   I am a disappointment to the real 1%ers like @Deweydogand @MossMan!

Our old Expedition is only used for hauling the boat now so we have to keep it around.

My wife's Subaru is up to 125,000 miles now, she intends on driving it until our 10yr old turns 16 and then handing it down to her and getting something different. My truck that I bought new right at the start of the pandemic shut down now has 47k on it, and I plan on keeping it for several more years. It tows our 30yr old boat very nicely! Rest stop side shot this week while towing it home! 

IMG_4651.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

My sons don't live here any longer.   And they do pay for their own cars.   But the titles and insurance are in my name.

Nice leverage you have over them. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12z GEFS. I like where the control goes in the long range. A bout of ridging followed by more normal conditions would be a lot more typical for May than ridging the rest of the month.

IMG_3340.png

Looks good. 

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I had lovely thunderstorms on this day 4yrs ago according to my FB memories! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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While we are on the topic, my Subaru has about 217K miles on it now. I bought it in 2018 with 70K miles on it. Planned on buying a new/used vehicle this year, but IDK... Probably save up to buy something with cash to avoid being raped by interest rates. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

While we are on the topic, my Subaru has about 217K miles on it now. I bought it in 2018 with 70K miles on it. Planned on buying a new/used vehicle this year, but IDK... Probably save up to buy something with cash to avoid being raped by interest rates. 

Yeah it would be hard to swallow financing a vehicle right now, I’m still paying on my truck but at 0% financing that GM had going at the start of the pandemic, I’m definitely good with what I have for quite a while! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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16 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That’s a daily record at SLE. 

Final standings for the Saturday Pacific Northwest Derby. It was a photo finish and Salem holds off Tillamook by a tongue. Congrats to Salem 🏆! 3rd place was also a photo finish and Troutdale beats Hillsboro by a nose! Congratulations to all the winners! 🎉  🎊 👏 

🥇SALEM 1.08

🥈TILLAMOOK 1.06

🥉TROUTDALE 0.92

IMG_3353.jpeg.f06208c11a1ce9da76994c69202a53a7.jpeg

IMG_3352.jpeg.ddc6710505d653b4926c3d1f083e891f.jpeg

 

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5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hottest EPS maps will be quoted in 3….2….

Do you like cold/wet maps??   I didn't know that.  You only talk about it being cold and wet forever.

12Z EPS was noticeably cooler than its 00Z run.   I usually post the entire loop of the EPS.   I just posted the white hot ECMWF map this morning to needle Andrew.  

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-1714910400-1714910400-1716206400-10.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nice leverage you have over them. 

I would love to transfer it all to them.   As you will learn... its a slow process with young adults. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

I would love to transfer it all to them.   As you will learn... its a slow process with young adults. 

Yeah, I don't care if my kids live with me after high school as long as they are in school or working. They'll have to contribute though. I'll probably still be up here or in an even more rural/isolated area by then, so they might not want to hang around too long. Once they are out of high school, they are on their own financially though. 

But, I see my wife and her parents haven't fully cut the cord and she's 35. Her car was in their name as recently as a couple years ago. I brought it up and they transferred the title to me... lol

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

I would love to transfer it all to them.   As you will learn... its a slow process with young adults. 

Also, I wasn't implying your kids are freeloading. I know they are not. One of them works at Boeing I understand, probably makes more than me. The world is tough to navigate as a young person, some people never figure it out. Sometimes it seems like things are intentionally confusing. In many ways technological advancement has made our lives much more stressful and unsatisfying. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Also, I wasn't implying your kids are freeloading. I know they are not. One of them works at Boeing I understand, probably makes more than me. The world is tough to navigate as a young person, some people never figure it out. Sometimes it seems like things are intentionally confusing. In many ways technological advancement has made our lives much more stressful and unsatisfying. 

Both have good jobs now but they are also still paying off debt they accumulated with us over the last few years.   I would probably just let it slide but my wife is very insistent on holding them to their word.    My son who works at Boeing is also investing at least half his salary into IRAs because he did the calculations and knows its best to build up investments early and let time work for you over the next 40 years.   I wish we had done more of that in our early 20s.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Both have good jobs now but they are also still paying off debt they accumulated with us over the last few years.   I would probably just let it slide but my wife is very insistent on holding them to their word.    My son who works at Boeing is also investing at least half his salary into IRAs because he did the calculations and knows its best to build up investments early and let time work for you over the next 40 years.   I wish we had done more of that in our early 20s.  

That's good. I started really packing away for retirement about 2 years ago. Later than I should have, but better late than never. I don't really care if I ever retire, I know at some level I will always be doing something, but my hope is to be in a position in 10-15 years where I can do something I really enjoy. I took a new job about two years ago, it was a big pay increase (Yay, barely keeping up with inflation!), but it's just turned into a job job. But I can't really complain. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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4 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

One more note... Quillayute (KUIL) on the Olympic Peninsula is at 45.81 inches of rain for the year.   Normal is 45.90 inches.    Doesn't get much more normal than that.  

They have been hammered by every storm. Pretty much the only area above normal for last 2 years

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Striking. Though as Tim has pointed out in many different ways, there are some issues with some of the Seattle area numbers.

YearPNormWRCC-NW.png

Yup, sure looks like normal for upper peninsula 🙄

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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2 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

They have been hammered by every storm. Pretty much the only area above normal for last 2 years

And yet Sequim is perfectly normal and BLI is wetter than normal for the year as well.   Right in line with UIL.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Yup, sure looks like normal for upper peninsula 🙄

Not reality as shown earlier.   But good for inducing drought anxiety here.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not reality as shown earlier.   But good for inducing drought anxiety here.   

It shows me in red, as it has since June 2022. Pretty much in line with my rain gauge readings about 50-60% of normal. 
 

Sequim is a desert and has a really low annual rainfall. They had two decent storms this spring that missed my area. All they need is a few storms to hit normal as normal is only a few inches by this time of year.

PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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19 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

All this mileage talk reminds me of the opening scene of the movie Used Cars. Classic.

Oh my God such a classic!! My dad and I would watch it every so often. And that odometer roll back scene was kind of real life for me! I traded in my 1999 Tahoe back in 2010 to a local GMC dealership. It had nearly 180,000 miles on it, I see it at a little crappy used car dealer in Marysville a few weeks later (I’m sure it was auctioned) on their lot and it had the big numbers on the windshield that said SALE $15,000 dollars! I laughed at that as it was not worth anywhere close to that! It was definitely my Tahoe as it had unique exterior aftermarket accessories (and missing passenger side vent visor) and exhaust system. Anyway I stop and look at it, the dealer was closed at the time and something told me to peer inside at the dash…My 170k+ mile Tahoe suddenly had 107k on it! (Those still had the analog roller type odometer) 

Long story short is that I sent an email to DOL and suddenly a few weeks later that shady dealer was no more lol. 
image.gif

IMG_4734.jpeg

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not reality as shown earlier.   But good for inducing drought anxiety here.   

Elwha watershed numbers also in line with these maps over the last two years. It’s been bad here. 

PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Elwha watershed numbers also in line with these maps over the last two years. It’s been bad here. 

Snowpack is an issue this spring.   Rainfall has been around normal.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

It shows me in red, as it has since June 2022. Pretty much in line with my rain gauge readings about 50-60% of normal. 
 

Sequim is a desert and has a really low annual rainfall. They had two decent storms this spring that missed my area. All they need is a few storms to hit normal as normal is only a few inches by this time of year.

Must be very localized.  All around the Olympics there is no sign of dryness.  HQM, UIL, Sequim, BLI.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A true man of the people. Only 5 cars! 

my wife and I purposely have just one car.  we like to limit our carbon footprint.  its a paid off 2012 Outback.  thinking about a 2nd car, but it will be an EV

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Just now, Phishy Wx said:

my wife and I purposely have just one car.  we like to limit our carbon footprint.  its a paid off 2012 Outback

Car culture is definitely still a huge thing in the US, but it is fading. I hire a lot of young people, and it would shock you how many don't drive or even have a license. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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33 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That's good. I started really packing away for retirement about 2 years ago. Later than I should have, but better late than never. I don't really care if I ever retire, I know at some level I will always be doing something, but my hope is to be in a position in 10-15 years where I can do something I really enjoy. I took a new job about two years ago, it was a big pay increase (Yay, barely keeping up with inflation!), but it's just turned into a job job. But I can't really complain. 

I'm fortunate my current company offers RSUs. so I have a bunch of equity with them.  Our parent company is a Canadian holding company and the stock is worth about 3600CAD/share. 

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