Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 The Clipper Train continues to flex it's muscles into this weekend. 2 shots at some decent snow events this coming Friday night into Saturday and another Clipper on it's heals poised to hit the region Sunday. Discuss... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 12z GFS taking Sunday Clipper on an ideal track through C IL that hits NE IA/N IL/S WI with .25-.30 qpf totals. I noticed that the 528 line is in a prime location to produce very high snow ratios with this Clipper. This one may even be low end warning snows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 12z GFS Snowfall... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 GGEM 993 over S. WI http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/234_100.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 Significantly furthur north than yesterday. So we have a few days to see this wobble but looks to be another decent snow maker for someone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 12z GGEM... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 12z GFS Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 12z GGEM... Sweet. Ratios probably be around 17:1 and then dropping off. That solid low end warning type snow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 GFS would be ideally the best track for LehS for SE WI/NE IL. Still lots of time to track the Clipper on Sunday. Something tells me we are going to do real well by these Clippers. I think some places may crack 12" if LehS kicks in. This is a wound up potent Clipper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 12z Euro coming in pretty good for Friday's Clipper for E IA/N IL/S WI...maybe 2-3" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 Clipper looking awesome on the EURO for Sunday. 992 in Minny with a widespread .15+ QPF Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2014012212/east/ecmwf_slp_precip_east_17.png Sub 988 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 Wow, Euro has a 988mb SLP in SW WI! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 Wow pretty far north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 I assume EURO though not as potent with QPF as GFS/GGEM. There 2 sep clippers it looking like that come pretty close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 A stronger low, + fresh snow cover would only enhance the cold air for Sunday Night-Tuesday Night as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 The trend for the Clipper to become more juicier on Sunday is on the rise. I think with time, models will come in juicier. Another Saskatchewan Screamer??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 -25 to -30 850 MB Temps at HR 120 for a wide majority of the sub-forum here at HR 120. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 Can we have a clipper deliver 4-6" for once? Just north of Milwaukee had 4"+ with the clipper a couple weeks ago, but it's been awhile locally, unless New Year's Day is considered a clipper. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 That strong PV over southern Hudson Bay will need to be watched as that can push systems farther south, even miss Chicago. Cold air has the tendency to push systems farther south so time will tell. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 That clipper was a bust until like the last few hours here. Ended up with 4-5 though which is about what they expected. EURO is MUCH colder for next week it looks like. Would love to see the 2M temp maps if anyone has them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 too far north for me. im gonna be p*ssed if i barely get missed again by heavy snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 Yeah Sunday went from great to crap for me in just 12 hours. Oh well. Still roughly 96 hours out so lots of time for this to change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 18z NAM coming in pretty good for Saturday Clipper...Sunday Clipper has a 998mb SLP in SW MN @ 06z Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 i am the24weatherman and i am new to this i am thinking that chicago is going to get in on some of the action by this alberta clipper and getting the brunt of the snow totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 i am the24weatherman and i am new to this i am thinking that chicago is going to get in on some of the action by this alberta clipper and getting the brunt of the snow totals. Welcome! I think so. I am not to worried with such a strong PV in place in Hudson to help keep this south. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 18z GFS nice hit for N IL/N IN... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 thans tom that no/il and no/in was going to get it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 Will be curious to see how the DGZ looks. If its anything like our past clippers we could be looking at very favorable accumulations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 If your normally close to the 528 thickness line, that is where you can see 20:1 snow ratios or better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 just now heard from mike caplin abc 7 chicago said sunday clipper could be strong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 could you post a map on that tom Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 If your normally close to the 528 thickness line, that is where you can see 20:1 snow ratios or better.I didn't even take this into consideration but now that you mention it, high snow ratios with an excellent DGZ and we could be in business not to mention the pivot point looks to be around NE IL which would mean a little longer duration snows. Hopefully this all comes together. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 22, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 If it tracks a little more south, it can even produce favorable wind profiles off the lake for a time when it passes to our south to get some LehS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 looking good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 ^Might as well go for the complete package and why not...we deserve it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 hope we get 4" out of this thing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 im moving to chicago. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted January 22, 2014 Report Share Posted January 22, 2014 ^Might as well go for the complete package and why not...we deserve it! Lol, not exactly, but that's ok, if anyone deserves a bone to be thrown their way (a storm), it would be the Omaha and Des Moines peeps right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 23, 2014 Report Share Posted January 23, 2014 18z GFS nice hit for N IL/N IN...Tom...just so I understand what I am reading, does this map represent new snowfall from the dates shown? If so and if I am reading the map correctly , 18z GFS suggests I receive somewhere between 6-8inches of snow within that timeframe? Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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