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11/23 - 11/24 Potential Major Storm System


Tom

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Aweful disco by Milwaukee.

 

Foolish of them not to at least mention the possibility of a higher snowfall with blowing and drifting. In addition to rapidly deteriorating road conditions on Monday most likely.  

 

LSE said the euro has been. "consistent" even though the 0z last night showed quite a bit of snow

 

 

They must be blind if they didn't notice the difference between the 12z and 0z. Only similarity is the strength of the low.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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18Z RGEM... looks like it corrected to the north a bit with the snowfall from the last run which is obviously not surprising. Still well south of the NAM with the snow placement, but looks pretty similar to the GFS.

 

It's not a very compact low on that model. Delays the CAA, thus it doesn't put down any snow in the eastern 2/3rds of WI.

 

Like the looks of the Parallel GFS.

 

Yeah putting Christmas lights and watching wx models today has been fun!  :D  Hopefully it won't rain all day tomorrow, need a couple hours to finish.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Something goofy happened with the low placement on the NAM. I think you saw it Money! lol

 

I don't think it initialized correctly. Very odd looking.

 

post-7-0-17655800-1416710338_thumb.png

 

post-7-0-22998100-1416710347_thumb.png

 

post-7-0-21933900-1416710356_thumb.png

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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It almost looks like the low moved backwards a bit from 36 hours to 39 hours lol

 

That's exactly what it did! lol

I'd toss that run out. At this point in time, it should be closer to its counterpart, the 4km.

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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RGEM further east this run and strong. ...well maybe slightly further east. The low cuts over NW lower MI.

 

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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