Sciascia Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 It's not even snowing at STL let alone Springfield or Decatur.Ouch. Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 radar looks amazing. wish we could get rid of this dry air in iowa. looks like it wants to push north. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Reports of snow have begun around places like St Louis, Springfield. Good news. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChiTownBlizzard11 Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 She is a beauty alright on radar... Hard to believe she's going to just snuff out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Projected total snowfall for northwerst indiana keep going up by the hour Skilling has us around 10" range......suprised we still in a watch Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I think if the 18z runs come in wetter and farther NW we may have to expand some of the WSW farther NW. It does seem south side of KC may get dry slotted in the next few hours, if that happens, it def is trending NW. They weren't poised to get dry slotted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not sure when last updated, but LOT map going with 2-4 in the area. P&C also 2-4". Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 The RAP is doing its usual coming back down to earth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Areas in Central IL starting to saturate. Our donut hole gettin closer to closing up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Snowing heavily in Champaign/Urbana... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I will go bold and say 3:30pmI am sticking with this call for startup time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 18z RAP Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Currently working in Indianapolis, and it just started here. SN 23° calling for 8-12" tonight. Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Hearing NAM went SE, so.....gonna ride my 2-day old guess of 2.5" at ORD. Hope I bust low! Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abhidupage Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not really a big change for us on Nam 18z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Hearing NAM went SE, so.....gonna ride my 2-day old guess of 2.5" at ORD. Hope I bust low!Don't really care about the global models at this point in the game. Just going to ride the radar trends and see what lake effect can develope later tonight into tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abhidupage Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just talked to Caplan though he said the New Microcast run has 4" areawide even to K3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not really a big change for us on Nam 18z I think if the 18z runs come in wetter and farther NW we may have to expand some of the WSW farther NW. It does seem south side of KC may get dry slotted in the next few hours, if that happens, it def is trending NW. They weren't poised to get dry slotted.That's further NW than this morning. Also, places north of me were calling for 1-2" they are now up to 2-4 in their grid. Moderate snow here right now; visibility a half a mile and snow flakes are very grainy. Sitting around an inch, hoping to get up to 5 by the time all is said and done. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 4, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I heard flakes falling in Bollingbrook Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I heard flakes falling in Bollingbrook That would be something given the radar donut around the radar site. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 For what its worth, light flurries just started here in LaSalle. i am 300 yards south of I-80. can see traffice on 80 as I type this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I don't think anything has made it into the Chicago metro proper. Nothing was reported at IKK at 2:35pm. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dubuque473 Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Been snowing here for a bit now. Very light but constant. Quote Dubuque 2007-2008 Winter 78.1" Total snowfall February Snowfall 32.5" City salt usage : 12,211 tons Days of measurable snow : 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just read through LOT's new AFD. They don't seem to believe LES will be much of a player over here. Quote ...The Artist Formerly Known as RJSnowLover... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Been snowing here for a bit now. Very light but constant. That tells me the lake is helping dry the air. Since you're due west of the area and it isn't snowing here yet. Sharp northern fringe Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 4, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just read through LOT's new AFD. They don't seem to believe LES will be much of a player over here. It's always a wild-card. Didn't think it would much but maybe a little bit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Just started to flurry here in Lombard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 4, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd go with 3-5 for Chicago possibly more along lake if enhancement/effect ever does come into play. Addtional 6-8 inches on top of whatever has fallen across N MO/SE IA/C IL/IN. Detroit looks awfully close to warning snows. I'd go with 4-8 inches with highest south along border. NAM much more robust than GFS but outlier with crazy totals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 4, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 0314 PM SNOW SULLIVAN 39.60N 88.61W02/04/2014 M3.0 INCH MOULTRIE IL MESONET MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW FALLING. ROADS ARE SNOW COVERED AND THERE IS BLOWING SNOW. 0310 PM SNOW DECATUR 39.85N 88.93W02/04/2014 M3.0 INCH MACON IL BROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED AT WAND-TV. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Looks like KC never dry-slotted. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Looks like the doughnut hole starting to collapse over Chicagoland...wouldn't be surprised to see some light snow falling within the hour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 @ Geo's, that radar filled right back up but south side may be on the edge, north side has been doing real well. Jim Cantore showed a live shot and snow let up where he was on the south side of KC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not to nit pick but Jim Cantore is not really on the south side of KC. That's more like midtown. Anyway it's still snowing pretty good here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 4, 2014 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Not to nit pick but Jim Cantore is not really on the south side of KC. That's more like midtown. Anyway it's still snowing pretty good here. How much do you have? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Radar showing snow but none of it making it to the ground Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Snowfall expected to start a few hours earlier then forecasted you think it will affect the totals much? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Light Flurries falling right now... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'd go with 3-5 for Chicago possibly more along lake if enhancement/effect ever does come into play. Addtional 6-8 inches on top of whatever has fallen across N MO/SE IA/C IL/IN. Detroit looks awfully close to warning snows. I'd go with 4-8 inches with highest south along border. NAM much more robust than GFS but outlier with crazy totals.I know you mentioned earlier about that dry slot pushing the defo band further north and so far that dry slot continues to push further north. In the end I am wondering what effect, if any, will that have. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 I know you mentioned earlier about that dry slot pushing the defo band further north and so far that dry slot continues to push further north. In the end I am wondering what effect, if any, will that have.I'm just jumping into the storm again after giving up a few days back, but it sounds like the snows would be pushed further north. Wondering if someone else can confirm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2014 Report Share Posted February 4, 2014 Looks like the dry air won't be too much of a problem over here. I think the lake may be helping as I can see NE/SW bands on the high resolution radar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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