Close but no cigar (at least within 10 days). Perhaps a classic Jim "warning shot" that tends to p*ss most people off.

12z CMC also holding way too much energy back compared to its previous run. In fact, it almost completely cuts it off underneath the GOA ridge instead of bringing it sweeping across the CONUS. Bleh.

39 degrees and raining pretty hard right now. WINTER IS HERE!

Yeah, pre-Thanksgiving storm still provides a little fun for some folks but much weaker with the system overall vs 06z.

So far this run may be a step back. The ensembles will be TELLING.