All good, I can take a punch. And I wouldn’t say you’re completely wrong either, as mesoscale meteorology generally is not my forte. My own region is the only exception to that, having lived there 32+ years. Beyond that I’m confined to the basics. There’s a lot of hyperbole on here. Especially in stretches like this.

The latest Euro has shifted the end-of-year system way south.

.29" so far this morning, still lightly drizzling- we were supposed to only get at the most a tenth - an overachever for surer. 4.68" for the the season so far, so not a total disaster here yet, though there isn't anything in the pipeline except a slight chance for Sunday.

Just more rain. A ridge over us would at least give us a break from endless clouds and precip and offer a chance at frost.

I think Phil has done a really god job with the big picture this winter. As well as any long range forecast I’ve seen.