That's the one good thing about the Southern Plains and parts of the lower Midwest, upper South, etc... There just isn't any terrain blocking the CAA. Bartlesville, OK had a 5/-9 day last January and in February 2021 pulled off a three day stretch of 9/0, 5/-9, 11/-18.

That is not my system. Team Cold scores a point for each freezing low. Team Pineapple scores a point for each 50+ high.

I'm wondering if whether or not the MJO subsides when it moves into phase 3 will determine our winter outcome.

Your system is rigged. All of these days happen when the average is 48/38, for it needs to be 5 degrees below average and for it needs to be 2 above. But despite this, 3 days even managed to have highs below the threshold!