8 is terrible for us. Need it to get to 1 and 2.

That’s not terrible as long as we can get the STJ to die while being in the null phase. In fact, 7-8 is a good progression as long as the MJO is not too strong

Pacific being active is fine for our location. Problem is where the storm systems are coming from. Lately of course it's the pineapple express systems that are so warm. We need storms from the Gulf of Alaska to come down and are colder. Not needing arctic air, just normal temps. Bitter cold is interesting, but often bone dry for us.

Looks like the MJO wants to strengthen again and take another ride through 7-8. Consequence of the -ENSO and -IDO base state still being in place in my opinion.

Meh, step back on the OPs, but still a chance for this to get better.