MJO amplitude weakening a bit plus ENSO climo getting more and more favorable for the PNW as the season progresses has me cautiously optimistic we can thread the needle and tap into that airmass up north a bit without needing a full reset. My guess is we'll have a window January 1-15, a mid month reset, and then another window opening up mid-February through the end of winter.

Do they ever not?

It would be funny if we somehow get dumped on Christmas Eve and then the hammer drops new years after all of this pessimism. Things have def been worse here before though lol. December 2019 and Jan 2019 threads were quite miserable but we all know what followed that.

My highs are much colder now for Christmas Day. No 50s at all. As a matter of fact, highs are now forecasted to be in the upper 30s w cloudy skies. Let wait and see if it holds true. Wow. What a change this was.

I think some of this is falling right now!! me. Looking out my window at 42F rain.