Seems to like the cold signal continuing in the east and south with marginal chances FOR the northwest. A definite snoozer IMO.

Stevens Pass got 35" January 6th-8th and hasn't had a flake since. If this ended up being right they would go 30 straight days without any snowfall right in the middle of the heart of Winter.

Maybe "Trust the NAM just this once if it keeps moving northwest." It made a big jump. But that's one run. If it could just jump another 50 miles northwest, I'd stay in the snow for at least part of the second wave.

Eh, it's got some competition... like 1933-34 where Portland didn't observe a single freeze, or 1976-77, the "year without a rainy season" where Timberline had a 10" snow base on February 15 and the North Cascades Highway (normally closed from November to late April) stayed open the entire winter.