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May Winter Continue 2022 PNW


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31 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think we will be a cold mode on average until a Nino emerges now.  We finally managed to flip it.

The future hasn't happened yet. We'll see. A cool la niña spring is pretty common. There's no guarantee it continues throughout the summer.

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36 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

People in many parts of the country would say upper 40s is far from shorts weather.

When your constantly moving and we are little more than two weeks removed from snow on the ground, it felt fine (even ankle deep in 50 degree ocean water.

Meanwhile, 65 in Salem and the weeds are coming out easily, roots and all

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  • Longtimer

Up to 57, mostly cloudy today. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Looking at the ensembles we may have some drier/warmer weather around the 10-15th. Looking further ahead, troughing likely returns the last 10-14 days of the month. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

This is always good to see.

Cascades in Lane County-
Including the cities of McKenzie Pass and Willamette Pass
229 PM PDT Sun May 1 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 5 PM PDT
MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10
  inches above 4500 ft. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Cascades in Lane County.

* WHEN...From 3 AM to 5 PM PDT Monday.
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Sunny and 63 here, pretty nice day. Everything is lush, green and blooming out there. All in all it’s been a lovely spring so far, hoping May picks up where April left off 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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  • Longtimer

April Stats

Avg Max: 49.8 (-7.3)

Avg Min: 34.9 (-0.2)

Mean: 42.2 (-3.8)

Precip: 10.54" (+4.34)

Snow: 18.0"

Days with measurable precip: 24

Days with measurable snowfall: 6

Greatest daily precip: 1.16" (4th and 30th)

Greatest daily snowfall: 5.8" (11th)

Max: 75 (7th)

Min: 28 (15th)

Sub-freezing lows: 9

Sub-40 highs: 5

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Apparently SLE hit 88 on this day in 2014. Don't remember it. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

Nice day.

Going to rain tomorrow.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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18Z GFS stronger with the ridge next week than the 12Z run.   At least it's consistently showing up now.   Might get a short warm spell.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Today is the 4th day since April 8th without precip in North Bend.   Pretty amazing run of wet days that will go for at least another week (to get to a month).   Its usually good to get this out of the way early in the warm season.   It never keeps up this pace.    Even in 2010... 30 days was as long as it could go but that was mid May through mid June. 

Nice thing about this stetch... 3 of the 4 dry days have fallen on Sunday.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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38 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS stronger with the ridge next week than the 12Z run.   At least it's consistently showing up now.   Might get a short warm spell.

It would be nice to have a little bit of variety, right?

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1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Sunny and 63 here, pretty nice day. Everything is lush, green and blooming out there. All in all it’s been a lovely spring so far, hoping May picks up where April left off 

We're still waiting on some of our trees. Maybe we'll have leaves on them by June.😆😂 

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37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Today is the 4th day since April 8th without precip in North Bend.   Pretty amazing run of wet days that will go for at least another week (to get to a month).   Its usually good to get this out of the way early in the warm season.   It never keeps up this pace.    Even in 2010... 30 days was as long as it could go but that was mid May through mid June. 

Nice thing about this stetch... 3 of the 4 dry days have fallen on Sunday.    

It's cloudier today than yesterday. It rained yesterday, but it hasn't rained today.

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Speaking of 2001 (and 2008), they both come up twice as GFS 500mb analogs.

Interesting to see the -ENSO lean despite the pattern. 

CB256DDC-D91F-45ED-8EE5-3DC9E7EFD5A8.gif

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  • Longtimer
24 minutes ago, snow drift said:

We're still waiting on some of our trees. Maybe we'll have leaves on them by June.😆😂 

We were due for a cool spring. It’s been about a decade. 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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62 for a high at SEA.    Looks like it got up to 66 in North Bend.    We still have almost full sun out here but thicker clouds are moving into Seattle now.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

We were due for a cool spring. It’s been about a decade. 

Nobody expects it to be warm and sunny all the time. I think most people want some living things around. It's nice to see flowers and green leaves. Am I crazy or something? We could really use a warm and sunny day every now and then.

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44 minutes ago, snow drift said:

Nobody expects it to be warm and sunny all the time. I think most people want some living things around. It's nice to see flowers and green leaves. Am I crazy or something? We could really use a warm and sunny day every now and then.

The stoicism of last summer is such a distant memory now 😢

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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  • Longtimer

Here is a look at the foliage today. We getting there...

6A20B893-79B6-40DA-BF43-38E4D4465A7D.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Here is a look at the foliage today. We getting there...

6A20B893-79B6-40DA-BF43-38E4D4465A7D.jpeg

Not sure if that pic is representative of your entire area... but the trees are all leafed out up on Rattlesnake Ridge well above us.   The west end of the ridge as viewed from North Bend is mostly deciduous trees which is the result of being clear cut in the 1980s.    Those deciduous trees probably go up to 2K in elevation and I noticed earlier this week that the entire canopy is now green up there.     

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The stoicism of last summer is such a distant memory now 😢

You are welcome to love cool and showery weather in the spring and the summer. I never want you to ever change. I respect your preferences, but not everyone agrees with you. Please respect mine, ok? Do we have a deal?

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3 hours ago, snow drift said:

The future hasn't happened yet. We'll see. A cool la niña spring is pretty common. There's no guarantee it continues throughout the summer.

I should have stipulated the summer is indeed uncertain given recent trends.  I was pretty much thinking overall for the next year.  Usually when cool weather gets locked in with a Nina it takes a Nino to stop it.  I think this year will be our best shot at a cool summer for the next few years.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Here is a look at the foliage today. We getting there...

6A20B893-79B6-40DA-BF43-38E4D4465A7D.jpeg

It's way behind schedule.  Normally at this time of year it's hopeless for me to keep up with the growth of our lawn.  This year...no problem so far.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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52 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

62/47 today. 

I thought last night would get colder.  The clouds reformed too quickly.  At any rate last month had 20 or 21 lows below 40 here.  Pretty high standard for April.  I expect there will be some more and maybe a frost or two this month as well.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 5.7"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 24

Lows 32 or below = 24

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure if that pic is representative of your entire area... but the trees are all leafed out up on Rattlesnake Ridge well above us.   The west end of the ridge as viewed from North Bend is mostly deciduous trees which is the result of being clear cut in the 1980s.    Those deciduous trees probably go up to 2K in elevation and I noticed earlier this week that the entire canopy is now green up there.     

I went to the state park and we are a bit ahead of where they are it seems. More direct sunlight here. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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22 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It's way behind schedule.  Normally at this time of year it's hopeless for me to keep up with the growth of our lawn.  This year...no problem so far.

Based on my Facebook memories the vegetation is just about exactly where we were at in 2013 at this time.    We are ahead of 2008 and 2011.   Close to 2017 and 2018 as well.   And way behind 2015 and 2016 of course. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I finally checked my gauge from and I had .82 just from yesterday. It doesn't seem like much but for my semi-arid county that's a fair amount.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 3.5 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 1.70 inches (12/4/22 & 12/5/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: 1.5 on 12/5/22

Days with any snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 13F (11/29/2022)

Last sub freezing high: 12/5/22

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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Based on my Facebook memories the vegetation is just about exactly where we were at in 2013 at this time.    We are ahead of 2008 and 2011.   Close to 2017 and 2018 as well.   And way behind 2015 and 2016 of course. 

Heard on the news there was some guy in the Covington area picking newly formed leaves and buds off the trees. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, LowerGarfield said:

I finally checked my gauge from and I had .82 just from yesterday. It doesn't seem like much but for my semi-arid county that's a fair amount.

That’s a pretty decent soaking over there. Haven’t had more than 0.77” in a single day since 2/28 here. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

65/47 spread today, cloudy in the morning then mostly sunny in the afternoon before high clouds started moving in this evening. Really pleasant one 

You win. I don't want conflict or trolling. I wish everyone on this board the best. I won't post anymore.

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Just now, snow drift said:

You win. I don't want conflict or trolling. I wish everyone on this board the best. I won't post anymore.

Oh come on man he wasn’t even trolling you hard. Why let someone drive you from the forum if you want to be here? Just put him on ignore if you don’t like him. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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10 minutes ago, snow drift said:

You win. I don't want conflict or trolling. I wish everyone on this board the best. I won't post anymore.

Neither do I. And given the degree that this will likely be taken out of context I’m probably the one who should be saying goodbye.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Neither do I. And given the degree that this will likely be taken out of context I’m probably the one who should be saying goodbye.

Banned. Fired out of a cannon. Sailed away on a ship without a steer. Thrown into a pit. Gone. Into the wind. Burnt to a crisp. Disseminated into the wind. Kicked out of a plane. Defenestrated. Demolished. Destroyed. Blasted.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Banned. Fired out of a cannon. Sailed away on a ship without a steer. Thrown into a pit. Gone. Into the wind. Burnt to a crisp. Disseminated into the wind. Kicked out of a plane. Defenestrated. Demolished. Destroyed. Blasted.

This post was brought to you by Monster Energy drinks 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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35 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

That’s a pretty decent soaking over there. Haven’t had more than 0.77” in a single day since 2/28 here. 

It's nice because I was expected .25-.5 per NWS a few days prior and ended up with only .08 that day.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 3.5 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 1.70 inches (12/4/22 & 12/5/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: 1.5 on 12/5/22

Days with any snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 13F (11/29/2022)

Last sub freezing high: 12/5/22

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37 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Neither do I. And given the degree that this will likely be taken out of context I’m probably the one who should be saying goodbye.

You better not leave. 

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Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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