January 2016 in the PNW

[Timmy]

Not PNW related, except for myself being from there, but Im giddy and borderline manic, so who cares.

 

I dont think I have ever been this excited for any weather event in my life.

Where do you live? You have 3 locations listed

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ensembles continue to trend cooler for the 1st week of February.

[stuffradio]

New crayon update.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/long-range-forecast-clues-through-february-1/54948263

[Timmy]

Sorry, I live and work in Philly and work in DC and NYC occasionally.

In that case, looks like you might get some snow today.

[Jesse]

New crayon update.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/anderson/long-range-forecast-clues-through-february-1/54948263

 

Colder out west the first week of February transitioning to a drier regime. Sounds right.

[TT-SEA]

Not PNW related, except for myself being from there, but Im giddy and borderline manic, so who cares.

 

I dont think I have ever been this excited for any weather event in my life.

 

 

I want updates and pics!   We can live vicariously though you.  

[stuffradio]

This is in Nashville right now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah one of my friends is in Nashville right now and he's loving it. 

[TT-SEA]

Yeah one of my friends is in Nashville right now and he's loving it.

You have people reporting weather to you from all over the country.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

You have people reporting weather to you from all over the country.

 

Yes I do.

He just sent me this pic.

 

[HighlandExperience]

This is in Nashville right now.

So jealous

[Jesse]

Other places are seeing snow. But here isn't. I like snow. This climate sucks. Except when its snowing here and other places aren't seeing snow. Then it's ok. 

 

<_>

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Other places are seeing snow. But here isn't. I like snow. This climate sucks. Except when its snowing here and other places aren't seeing snow. Then it's ok.

 

<_>

It like it best when I get snow and everyone else gets rain.

[TT-SEA]

Point forecast for Fred shows 11-21 inches.

 

3-7 inches tonight... 5-9 inches tomorrow... and 3-5 inches tomorrow night.

[stuffradio]

Other places are seeing snow. But here isn't. I like snow. This climate sucks. Except when its snowing here and other places aren't seeing snow. Then it's ok. 

 

<_>

I like it when it's sunny here too, and it's raining below WA state.

[Timmy]

I dont hate this.http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016012212/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_10.png

[luvssnow_spokane]

Imagine if Seattle, Portland, and Vancouver BC were on the verge of a storm this big. This forum would be hoppin.

 

One can dream!

So true!! 97.152738% sure it will NOT happen in our lifetimes.

[Jesse]

So true!! 97.152738% sure it will NOT happen in our lifetimes.

Great post!

[Timmy]

So true!! 97.152738% sure it will NOT happen in our lifetimes.

would be near impossible for the westside lowlands in most locations,  the gorges and higher elevations could achieve it relatively easy in the right setup.  hard to get that much cold air with that much moisture without the continental influence wrapping around the NW side of a low on this side of the US.

[Jesse]

It like it best when I get snow and everyone else gets rain.

 

I made a graph for you.

 

[Timmy]

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016012212/ecmwf_z500_mslp_namer_11.png

[Timmy]

Euro looks great towards the end! 850's

[Jesse]

Euro looks great towards the end! 850's

 

Sun angle's going to ruin everything. Keep in mind right now it is the highest on record for this time of year.

[Timmy]

speaking of warm rain, this winter has caused all sorts of mud flows and landslides near my house, and they keep getting worse.  The county has been up my road nearly once a week to clear something in a 3 mile stretch from the highway to my house.  early this week they scooped a bunch of dirt out from slides and drainage ditches near the road, and threw a bunch of straw on the exposed mud.  almost all of it has since flowed into the drainage ditch already, and there was another small tree blocking a lane this morning coming into town.  it has been commonplace here this winter.

[Timmy]

Sun angle's going to ruin everything. Keep in mind right now it is the highest on record for this time of year.

wait, so global warming isn't man-caused?

[luvssnow_spokane]

Great post!

Well, honestly I will not take credit for that post. I got all my information from Cliff Mass... Glad you liked it. 

[TT-SEA]

Euro looks great towards the end! 850's

 

 

Yes... colder rain!    Back to the 60s for Fred though.  

 

http://old.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2016012212!!chart.gif

[luvssnow_spokane]

I made a graph for you.

 

image.jpeg

THAT must have been a lot of work!!! nice hand writing!!!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Euro looks great towards the end! 850's

Maybe some more snow for us at least.

[Jesse]

Well, honestly I will not take credit for that post. I got all my information from Cliff Mass... Glad you liked it. 

 

Everyone gets that you aren't feeling good about our chances for anything ever.

 

Probably best not to be a broken record about it.

[Deweydog]

wait, so global warming isn't man-caused?

Warming will be consistently intense for about the next six or seven months. Stand by.

[Timmy]

Yes... colder rain!    Back to the 60s for Fred though.  

 

http://old.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/getchart/catalog/products/forecasts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%20and%20Temperature%20at%20850%20hPa!240!North%20America!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2016012212!!chart.gif

he can have his 60s to help melt his feet of snow.  it would get annoying after awhile.  The pattern looks goof and agrees with the gfs, not a longshot, and things could be even better than advertised (or worse of course)  but for now, ill take it.  The pattern around christmas didn't really start looking great until just a few days before and it my far and away overachieved here.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Everyone gets that you aren't feeling good about our chances for anything ever.

 

Probably best not to be a broken record about it.

Most inaccurate post of the year... I will feel good about our chances when the chances are more likely... DID you see my post yesterday showing potential or did you just blow off those.... As far as our chances of 2 to 3 ft of snow with blizzard conditions?  Well, Not likely!  Dang you're sensitive.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

he can have his 60s to help melt his feet of snow. it would get annoying after awhile. The pattern looks goof and agrees with the gfs, not a longshot, and things could be even better than advertised (or worse of course) but for now, ill take it. The pattern around christmas didn't really start looking great until just a few days before and it my far and away overachieved here.

It is a fairly similar pattern.

[Jesse]

Most inaccurate post of the year... I will feel good about our chances when the chances are more likely... DID you see my post yesterday showing potential or did you just blow off those.... As far as our chances of 2 to 3 ft of snow with blizzard conditions?  Well, Not likely!  Dang you're sensitive.

 

Glad you were here to clear that up!

[luvssnow_spokane]

he can have his 60s to help melt his feet of snow.  it would get annoying after awhile.  The pattern looks goof and agrees with the gfs, not a longshot, and things could be even better than advertised (or worse of course)  but for now, ill take it.  The pattern around christmas didn't really start looking great until just a few days before and it my far and away overachieved here.

Accurate and true... keeping it real, the pattern never looked great for lowlanders over here but had carrots of hope... We shall see how this little whimper turns out. Something to watch at least.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Glad you were here to clear that up!

It was a conversation... Not clearing anything up. lol... really weird...

[stuffradio]

First 10 days of Feb are normal or below normal on the Euro 850mb anomaly. After that, it warms up just in time for me to plant my peas!

[Timmy]

First 10 days of Feb are normal or below normal on the Euro 850mb anomaly. After that, it warms up just in time for me to plant my peas!

what plant does a poutin grow on?

[stuffradio]

what plant does a poutin grow on?

What's a poutin?