Money Posted March 22, 2016 Report Share Posted March 22, 2016 18z GEFS: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016032218/gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_8.png 48 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016032218/gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_9.png QPF: http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2016032218/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_11.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 22, 2016 Report Share Posted March 22, 2016 If I had to guess, I'll go out and say Winona/Lacrosse will be the real winners. Bullseyed for days with hardly any changes. Hoping for the best! If this thing amps up at all and shifts NW even 25 miles were in business Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlp Posted March 22, 2016 Report Share Posted March 22, 2016 Looking like the Euro may have been on to something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted March 22, 2016 Report Share Posted March 22, 2016 From Green Bay NWS .UPDATE...ISSUED AT 606 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016 HAVE NOTICED THE LATEST RAP AND HRRR RUNS ARE SLOWER TO DEVELOPPCPN...AND SHOW INITIAL DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING S OF THE FCST AREA.WL NEED TO TAKE A CLOSER LOOK BEFORE DETERMINING WHETHER OR NOTTHAT IDEA HAS MERIT AND NEEDS TO BE INCORPORATED INTO THE FCST. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 From Green Bay NWS.UPDATE...ISSUED AT 606 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016 HAVE NOTICED THE LATEST RAP AND HRRR RUNS ARE SLOWER TO DEVELOPPCPN...AND SHOW INITIAL DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING S OF THE FCST AREA.WL NEED TO TAKE A CLOSER LOOK BEFORE DETERMINING WHETHER OR NOTTHAT IDEA HAS MERIT AND NEEDS TO BE INCORPORATED INTO THE FCST. This and the GEFS track is something to keep in mind definitely. Wind started to shift onshore here now, although it's not the main front. Down to 39° in Sheboygan now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Doesn't the euro develop the initial precip farther south? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Can't move too far south. Put stable in the snow blower today and got her ready for the summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Doesn't the euro develop the initial precip farther south? Yep. Initially along US 20 in Iowa and then it centers from Ozaukee County to Decorah, Iowa. Based off the EURO 0z hour, the temperatures in Washington County are running 5-8° colder. What's your temp right now? Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Still a balmy 53 here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 52 here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yep. Initially along US 20 in Iowa and then it centers from Ozaukee County to Decorah, Iowa. Based off the EURO 0z hour, the temperatures in Washington County are running 5-8° colder. What's your temp right now?39 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlp Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 51 in MIlwaukee Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 39 Looks on target with the HRRR.Few degrees colder than the EURO. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Honest ?. Dont know climatology along the lake well. What impact will this.front that is being talked about have on the sensible weather? 850mb temps seem to be step for step with the nam and the hrrr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 43 here and still under a WSW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Honest ?. Dont know climatology along the lake well. What impact will this.front that is being talked about have on the sensible weather? 850mb temps seem to be step for step with the nam and the hrrr What it would do is hamper the progression of the warm north tomorrow. It might be enough to move the 850 mb freezing line south a little. Right now it is 34° in Green Bay, the EURO doesn't have them getting to that temperature until about midnight. Speaking of precipitation south, this is the HRRR in the morning. EURO had IL dry at this time. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeah hrrr, and rap really light up n. IL in the late morning Nam is more towards GB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeahhh this south trend is the death of meach getting anything huge. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Gauging the speed of the front currently, the EURO will be about an hour and a half slow with the front. About to hit Madison now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeahhh this south trend is the death of meach getting anything huge.Lol at least stay the course man... 21z srefshttp://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fsref%2F21%2Fsref_namer_045_precip_p24.gif&model=sref&area=namer&storm=&cycle=21¶m=precip_p24&fhr=045&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20160322+21+UTC&ps=area&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Gosaints getting nervous Geos the magnet going to reel this one in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Gosaints getting nervous Geos the magnet going to reel this one inLol nervous ya ok very nervous. I could care less. Fun to watch unfold. U r way better off trying to troll someone else Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Gosaints getting nervous Geos the magnet going to reel this one in Yeah I don't think so. Maybe Madtown turned on his magnet though.I just want to see which model handled this system and front the best. So now the skies clear out. Radiational cooling is doing its job right now. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Lol nervous ya ok very nervous. I could care less. Fun to watch unfold. U r way better off trying to troll someone elseLol dude I'm just kidding Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 The magnet of putting the snowblower away for the year...not gonna lie. As I was putting her away I was hoping it might just work. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Lol dude I'm just kiddingNo doubt.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Lol dude I'm just kiddingYou can troll me rn Money. I'll be your Snowlover76 for the next 24 hours. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Making a call that the front will stall from Pontiac to Watseka. This will be GoSaints yard Thursday evening. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaycee Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Agreed, Gosaints is absolutely in the jackpot zone. I really hope you get 2' out of this! Just might have to hwad down to Rochester Friday and see the aftermath. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Down to 36 here btw HRRR running 2-3 degrees too warm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 49 here 43 on the north side of Madison. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 NAM explodes the precip farther south tomorrow afternoon:0z HR 18:http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160323/00Z/f18/refmw.png 18z HR 24: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160322/18Z/f24/refmw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWisconsinWeather Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 NAM explodes the precip farther south tomorrow afternoon:0z HR 18:http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160323/00Z/f18/refmw.png 18z HR 24: http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/20160322/18Z/f24/refmw.png It doesn't look further south, it's just slower. Notice the heavier echoes from the 18z are due east of the 0z over the lake. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Front swung through about 8:45. Hard to tell, because the skies cleared and it cooled off ahead of time. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Dropped to 40. Really nice afternoon, really hard to think about what tomorrow might hold. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Totals will be less impressive on the NAM Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Nice band of sleet there. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Totals will be less impressive on the NAM It's slower than 18z but a little bit. Will still see widespread 12+ amounts this run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Hey hey two sleet storms in one year...could it be! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Report Share Posted March 23, 2016 Low is much further southwest at this time. 100 miles about. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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