2022 Election Results

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Walker and Warnock now separated by 1000 votes. This one may go back and forth for a bit. Vance up by about 7% now, Budd leads by 3.5% in NC, feel fairly confident in that one, but won't call it yet. 

[SnarkyGoblin]

14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Polls definitely understated Republican support in FL, but I am not seeing clear signs of the polls being way off in other races. 

IMO, it's the desantis effect. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, roadtonowhere08 said:

For those fired up about DeSantis, I have an honest question for you.  Suppose Trump was the nominee in 2024. Would you vote for the Democrat provided they were not a far left loon?  Or would you grit your teeth and give him another 4?

I’d rather vote for an independent lol

[snow_wizard]

Walker is almost up to 50% now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Walker is almost up to 50% now.

You know they have a lot of ballots in Atlanta they won't dump until tomorrow...

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said:

Agree 1000%.

With DeSantis we get all of Trump's really solid policies but without the baggage and vitriol that Trump brings. It's really become a best case scenario and I think tonight's resounding win will give him a huge boost. I hope. Especially if Trump's candidates don't do as well as some thought they might.

Well said. Yes. I can easily see many Trump supporters like myself heading over to the DeSantis camp.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Noem and Thune win re-election in SD. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Dems hold VA-7.

[roadtonowhere08]

11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’d rather vote for an independent lol

If enough people acted on those instincts, there would be a viable third party that might break the far left/right bullcrap we have now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looking good still for Johnson in WI, if I were Evers I would be nervous. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ready to call NC for Budd. R-Hold.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Vance up by 8% in Ohio now, and where the outstanding vote is I think that may grow to double digits. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Republicans have flipped VA-2 per CNN projection.

[SnarkyGoblin]

Boebert lagging behind trump in 2020 by almost 7%.

Id be happy to see her go.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Boebert lagging behind trump in 2020 by almost 7%.

Id be happy to see her go.

Yeah, I just noticed that, she may be toast.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Walker up about 23,000 votes now. There are a lot of outstanding votes in ATL, I repeat!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think Leavitt is in good shape to flip NH2.

[roadtonowhere08]

13 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Boebert lagging behind trump in 2020 by almost 7%.

Id be happy to see her go.

Good.  One less doofus.

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Walker up about 23,000 votes now. There are a lot of outstanding votes in ATL, I repeat!

They need to figure out the difference and then bring in truckloads of fake ballots.    That is the only reason the larger counties with major population centers which lean blue are slower to report.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

They need to figure out the difference and then bring in truckloads of fake ballots.    That is the only reason the larger counties with major population centers which lean blue are slower to report.    

That's what my Dad always told me. LOL

[SilverFallsAndrew]

In case anyone is wondering I am monitoring RCP, CNN.com, and watching PBS.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like the lefties on PBS are feeling pretty grand.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Johnson up in WI now. Two dem incumbents now in trouble in NJ.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

ABC projecting Hassan will win in NH. D-Hold. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Abbott up 12% now in Texas. Beto is toast.

[snow_wizard]

Net gain of 7 for Republicans on the latest update.

[SnarkyGoblin]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like the lefties on PBS are feeling pretty grand.

Lol.  Doesnt David Brooks do commentary with them?

I personally was preparing for a schlepping tonight.  It's clear the House will still flip

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Kotek is going to win. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Rural Oregon sure hates Tina Kotek, Drazan winning by HUGE margins in the rural part of the state, probably not enough to overcome Multnomah County. 73% in Klamath County. 

Edited November 9, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[snow_wizard]

OR 4 is going to be a close one.  That is the race I've contributed money to.  It would be awesome to flip that seat!

[snow_wizard]

They called OH for Vance.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, hawkstwelve said:

Murray will probably win WA as she's up 16 points with 47% in and only 45% reported from King County. But Smiley is a rockstar and I hope to see more of her.

For good people in the bullpen we are in way better shape than the Democrats IMO.

[snow_wizard]

These results really make me wonder just how bad the Dems would have to F things up to get people to stop voting for them.  Astonishing they're doing as well as they are.

[SnarkyGoblin]

@umadbro

ATLANTA — Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, Mr. Kemp’s campaign said late Tuesday, ending a bitter, high-profile rematch of their 2018 contest.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah they are throwing a party on PBS. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Whitmer was always expected to win, but in a wave year, she would have probably lost. Also worth mentioning the top challengers were disqualified on a technicality.

Dems pick up a seat in OH. This is going to be close...

[SnarkyGoblin]

I'm glad to see even the reddest of states (Kentucky) push back on statewide abortion bans.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Very possible now the Dems keep the house. Dobbs did matter I think. 

Also the fact Republicans picked off a lot of low hanging fruit in 2020 by gaining 13 seats even though Trump lost. 

Edited November 9, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[snow_wizard]

9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Whitmer was always expected to win, but in a wave year, she would have probably lost. Also worth mentioning the top challengers were disqualified on a technicality.

Dems pick up a seat in OH. This is going to be close...

Why would they re-elect her?  She's a freaking disaster.  This is really kind of mind blowing.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Very possible now the Dems keep the house. Dobbs did matter I think. 

Also the fact Republicans picked off a lot of low hanging fruit in 2020 by gaining 13 seats even though Trump lost. 

I highly doubt it.  We'll see.

[TacomaWx]

Purple wave 

[snow_wizard]

The count is stuck on OR 4.  That one is going to be important.

[snow_wizard]

12 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

I'm glad to see even the reddest of states (Kentucky) push back on statewide abortion bans.

I just don't get why this issue is THAT important to people.  It is literally killing babies.  Not sure how people ignore that.

This is an issue I rarely discuss because it is too upsetting.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

 

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The count is stuck on OR 4.  That one is going to be important.

The Republican has a better shot in District 5 IMO.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Purple wave 

Incredibly disappointing, but we could still take both Houses.  Chances better than not we will take the Congress.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Bad candidates matter: WA District 3

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

 

The Republican has a better shot in District 5 IMO.

4 is the one I have kind of a vested interest in even going back to 2020.  In this one the incumbent has retired so the chances are fair of a flip.

On the other hand we just need to flip a few....any few.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just a bad night for Republicans, bad candidates and every lever of institutional power against them. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Honestly I think Republicans may lose seats. Maybe the upshot of this is Trump is toast. 

[TacomaWx]

I’m more of an moderate myself…but my brother is hardcore Republican and he’s really upset. He’s been talking about how excited he was for tonight and how big the red wave was gonna be but reality has started to slowly sink in the last 2 hours