Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Have you been paying attention the past 30 months? Yes, painfully. :/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Yes, painfully. :/ At this point I have kind of resigned myself to endless torching... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Nice warm low of 40 this morning here. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Maybe December and January both. I like the winters where December delivers a couple of quick hitters and then we get blasted in January. We shall see.That would be ideal but I am not very optimistic about January. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Models seem to keep dragging the torch out longer and longer...I'm more concerned about the endless water than torching. I will be at 9-10" of rain before the 16th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 I'm more concerned about the endless water than torching. I will be at 9-10" of rain before the 16th. Looks like a surprisingly dry week for November down here. This is the wettest time of the year. Any time its not raining its a blessing. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Looks like a surprisingly dry week for November down here. This is the wettest time of the year. Any time its not raining its a blessing. It's not that it's wet in November that I'm talking about it, it's that I would be reaching ~75% of the total monthly average which is over 12" in less than half the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Not worried about drought at the moment...Average October/November rainfall total here is just under 17". So far I am at about 19". 2" in the bank already for November, one wet week toward the end of the month could easily take me up toward average. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Not worried about drought at the moment...Average October/November rainfall total here is just under 17". So far I am at about 19". 2" in the bank already for November, one wet week toward the end of the month could easily take me up toward average. Drought is on very high on my list of concerns. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Ensembles trending warmer in the long range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Ensembles trending warmer in the long range.Yep, pretty uninspiring stuff, even in the long range. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Yep, pretty uninspiring stuff, even in the long range.The Euro is trying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 PDX's November record high could be in jeopardy tomorrow, IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 PDX's November record high could be in jeopardy tomorrow, IMO. You really thinking 73+ tomorrow?? Going to be hard pressed with pretty stale low levels. ECMWF and EPS only going for 66 and 67 respectfully tomorrow. 68. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 You really thinking 73+ tomorrow?? Going to be hard pressed with pretty stale low levels. ECMWF and EPS only going for 66 and 67 respectfully tomorrow. 68.Depends on a lot of factors, but I don't think it's entirely out of the question. Impressive airmass and good mixing ahead of the shortwave. Although the fact that it looks to be an east wind instead of a south wind may mitigate things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 PDX's November record high could be in jeopardy tomorrow, IMO. Yeah.... no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Yeah.... no.No....yeah? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 You really thinking 73+ tomorrow?? Going to be hard pressed with pretty stale low levels. ECMWF and EPS only going for 66 and 67 respectfully tomorrow. 68. 80. And it's gonna be great. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 No....yeah? 74 is exceedingly likely. In Chico. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Models seem to keep dragging the torch out longer and longer... Seems like we've been running remarkably warm since you returned from your spirit quest. Might have to take one for the team... 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 So what if there's no warning shot? Should we panic? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catnip Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 So what if there's no warning shot? Should we panic? No Warning Shot = Winter Cancel! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Have you been paying attention the past 30 months? Two of the past four months have been below normal at PDX. DOES THIS MEAN NOTHING?!? Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 So what if there's no warning shot? Should we panic? No. It just means the big shot will come without warning, leading to many more casualties. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 I'm more concerned about the endless water than torching. I will be at 9-10" of rain before the 16th.Hasn't been too wet down here in PDX...nice change from October. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 No. It just means the big shot will come without warning, leading to many more casualties. I think our unseasonable highs in the mid 70s tomorrow could prove fairly trying for the local elderly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 You really thinking 73+ tomorrow?? Going to be hard pressed with pretty stale low levels. ECMWF and EPS only going for 66 and 67 respectfully tomorrow. 68.Model data is mostly 67-71 on today's 12z runs. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Model data is mostly 67-71 on today's 12z runs.There has also been an overachieving theme lately. No one was calling close to 70 last Thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IbrChris Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 There has also been an overachieving theme lately. No one was calling close to 70 last Thursday.Yeah I'm not arguing that 70 is impossible tomorrow. A few spots might get even warmer...PDX doesn't tend to do great with easterlies in Nov-Feb though. Quote The Pacific Northwest: Where storms go to die. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Yeah I'm not arguing that 70 is impossible tomorrow. A few spots might get even warmer...PDX doesn't tend to do great with easterlies in Nov-Feb though.Very true. Could get pretty ridiculous in locations away from any gap wind though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Very true. Could get pretty ridiculous in locations away from any gap wind though. I feel like taking the afternoon off tomorrow may be a very tempting idea. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 I think our unseasonable highs in the mid 70s tomorrow could prove fairly trying for the local elderly. I fear it will lull some of the rain/snow birds into staying for the winter. Then Snowmageddon 2016-17 hits... 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Very true. Could get pretty ridiculous in locations away from any gap wind though. Hillsboro has hit 78 in November (1959, analog). Oregon City hit 75 in Nov 2010 (analog). Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Hillsboro has hit 78 in November (1959, analog). Oregon City hit 75 in Nov 2010 (analog). That Hillsboro number is definitely bunk. 74 is their warmest reliable number from November. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 If Klamath Falls can get 70+ in November, I don't see an issue with the 78 in Hillsboro. But what do I know.... KLMT List of 70+ days in November 11/01/1949 - 7211/02/1949 - 7211/04/2009 - 7011/05/1980 - 7011/11/1996 - 7211/13/1995 - 71 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Galloping Gertie collapsed on this date in 1940! In other news...it's not raining! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Nice afternoon... partly sunny now and 64. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Nice afternoon... partly sunny now and 64.51F here. We have been missing this September like warmth. Looks like Seatac just broke the daily record from 2008. Things are lining up for December. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 There has also been an overachieving theme lately. No one was calling close to 70 last Thursday. Not really in the short term forecasts. Looks like even today is going to end up 2-4º below modeled forecasts. Doesn't bode well for tomorrows 74º... #itsnovember7th 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 7, 2016 Report Share Posted November 7, 2016 Rich Marriot posted this graph for snowfall at SeaTac. Pretty depressing if you ask me. He thinks this winter will be Good for snowfall though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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