Niko Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 My totals range from 6-8" on all weather stations. Not too shabby. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Sleet/freezing rain cutting back on totals on this run. Not totaly sure I agree with the freezing line getting that far north so will have to keep an eye on the higher resoultion models to see how far north this actually gets. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lutzowgl14 Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Thank you, I am looking forward to this! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Heavier snow starting to come back south into IA! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 hope to see the defo keep juicing. remember that models tend struggle with placement of these features Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 I am still not sure whether I will have any mixing going on in my area. If I don't, then, my totals should be higher then predicted. Hopefully, I stay all snow. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 12z GFS.... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016121512/090/snku_acc.us_mw.png 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 KC area keeps looking better but placement and development of the defo band is going to be critical as the band is only about 100 miles wide... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Hey, even folks in E NE score a couple inches... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 12z GFS.... http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016121512/090/snku_acc.us_mw.pngTom, we keep inching our way up on these runs. Keep the hope alive! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 For as large as the sub forum is, can't get much more spread the wealth as is being depicted with this system. Good and bad surprises ahead undoubtedly, but looking like many of us get at least something. That doesn't happen too often. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 No offense, but I'll believe it when I see it! I'm guessing 1" tops for here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Gfs has been in the 12-16 range here for awhile now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 The GFS is the only model showing that kind of snow. I want to believe it but I'm super skeptical. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Gfs has been in the 12-16 range here for awhile nowYeah and the 12z NAM took a step towards the GFS. Good 10-14". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Wow a little over 24 hours away and the only "for sure thing" we have is that Wisconsin will get snow, everyone else is in a wait and see pattern. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Wow a little over 24 hours away and the only "for sure thing" we have is that Wisconsin will get snow, everyone else is in a wait and see pattern.I don't know about that. Only WI for sure?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Wow a little over 24 hours away and the only "for sure thing" we have is that Wisconsin will get snow, everyone else is in a wait and see pattern.Not me...I am in for 6-8inches. The only question with my area is whether I get mixing or not. If not, then, my totals increase. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 12z GGEM still coming in with a snowy solution and a wound up storm...995mb near KC... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 12z GGEM also showing the defo band... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 12z GGEM... http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121512/072/snku_acc.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Might be another I-80 north warning snow for N IL and IA...cutting it very close... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 I take it warnings will be issued soon Ggem 15"NAM 14"GFS 16" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Both GFS/GGEM are indicating some sort of meso scale feature over LM on the tail end that can push a lake plume inland... http://maps3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ggem/2016121512/060/sfcwind_mslp.us_mw.png http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2016121512/060/sfcwind_mslp.us_mw.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Looks like 10" here off today's runs? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 I don't know about that. Only WI for sure??Sorry about that forgot about the MN peeps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Looks like 10" here off today's runs?On average, looks good with possible lolipop totals if meso scale features set up just right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterfreak Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Canadian not biting on that defo band down here. Lezak saying a dusting to two inches if everything goes right. The GFS has little support for its solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shakjen Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Might be another I-80 north warning snow for N IL and IA...cutting it very close...Yep, and last week i was in that warning and got 2.5". I am right on the edge again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Yep, and last week i was in that warning and got 2.5". I am right on the edge again.It'll be another nowcast event for those on the southern fringe... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 What do ensembles look like?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Warnings are up for 7-11". MKX also included the counties bordering Illinois. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 The country of canada should invest a couple million dollars to upgrade there data output software I heard they are planning an entirely new model at approx $4.6 million? Up to 18k views! We are going to blow past the previous storm thread. Nice to see all the action and I'm sure many will enjoy another weekend snowstorm. I've been following and/or posting less with this one since it looks more tame than last week's, and I just had two commutes in bliz conditions from LES and there's places I drive through that have a beautiful 15+ OTG, so y'all can get on this one and enjoy it! I already have what would be an amazing snow pack for this time of year, so trying not to be too greedy. 12z GFS showing a healthy defo band...bullseye E/C Wisco...model is picking up on a back-end lake plume... Would like to see that fill in a bit southward to include u-n-me 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 The country of canada should invest a couple million dollars to upgrade there data output software I heard they are planning an entirely new model at approx $4.6 million? Really? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Another component that will add to the higher accumulations is that the winds won't be terribly strong when the snow fly's which can tear apart a snow flake. 5-15 mph winds aren't too bad. You guys up north are going to have fun with this storm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Another component that will add to the higher accumulations is that the winds won't be terribly strong when the snow fly's which can tear apart a snow flake. 5-15 mph winds aren't too bad. You guys up north are going to have fun with this storm.Ya things are lining up pretty good for some places to fluff up nice totals. Obviously east central sconny looks to jack on moisture Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Will be interesting to see when things start to get going tomorrow. GFS seems to be the slowest of the models with starting the snow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Sorry about that forgot about the MN peeps Gopher-Badger-Wolverine storm! Darn critters anyways.. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshoe Posted December 15, 2016 Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 Green Bay going warning soon. .UPDATE... Issued at 1127 AM CST Thu Dec 15 2016 We will be upgrading the winter storm watch to a warning before the noon hour. The updated WSW will be out shortly. Details to follow in the afternoon AFD. Quote WISCONSIN RAPIDS Wisconsin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 15, 2016 Author Report Share Posted December 15, 2016 12z Euro a touch weaker with a 998mb SLP in C IL...850's colder than the GFS around these parts... http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf/2016121512/ecmwf_T850_ncus_3.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.