March 2017 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[snow_wizard]

Now that I have moderate precip rates...it's all rain! Story of this winter!

 

 

I'm amazed it isn't snow.

[HighlandExperience]

This whole thing has been pretty lame so far. Less moisture than was expected overall for the most part. At least the air mass will be colder over the next couple of days so any good showers should be snow.

Clear skies here at the moment. 850 temps at -6 and 925 -1 over King County.

 

Looks like some decent showers coming in towards us in the next couple hours from the SW. Hopefully we can get a dusting !

[MossMan]

I'm amazed it isn't snow.

Back to snow now and 34, deck attempting to turn white again.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wouldn't be surprised if I get 2-3" here the next few hours. Moderate snow right now with fairly light returns. 

[TT-SEA]

There look to be some showers moving in over SW WA now. Some of those may be able to make it to this area a bit later.

ECMWF showed that those showers stay south of King County overnight. Strong Olympic shadowing maybe?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Eugene down to 34 with light snow. 

[MossMan]

Ground is finally white!

[MikeInEverett]

Have been getting ice pellets/slushy rain for the last 3 hours here. Frustrating.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It seems as if NWS should have issued a WWA for the foothills and Coast Range tonight. 

[Kayla]

It's been a 70"+ winter for Kalispell.

Bozeman gets chinook winds. I am guessing this is somewhat of an unusual winter for Bozeman too. While Bozeman gets higher snow #'s, it's drier snow so the SWE's aren't as good as they for Kalispell which really matters for longevity of the snow through February. December is obviously luck of the draw. I'm guessing Bozeman might have more snow cover in March just because it gets a lot more snow in March(snowy month) unlike Kalispell which gets the troughy showery pattern instead of the ULL's bozeman gets.

 

Yeah the snowfall totals have been abut average this year in Bozeman but the longevity of the snowpack was quite impressive as it was in many areas in the PNW this past season. 

 

It definitely wouldn't surprise me to see the region put up some big snow numbers over the next couple of months as the jet stream shifts north after a prolonged season of a very suppressed jet while still having an above average cold source.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yep GFS looks to be trending toward the GEM/EURO.

[ShawniganLake]

ECMWF showed that those showers stay south of King County overnight. Strong Olympic shadowing maybe?

Well the 12Z Euro failed miserably up here this afternoon and evening. It showed close to 1/4" of precip and it's been totally dry, mostly clear here now.

[MossMan]

Yep GFS looks to be trending toward the GEM/EURO.

Time for spring!

[FroYoBro]

Just chubby rain here. 

 

[TT-SEA]

Well the 12Z Euro failed miserably up here this afternoon and evening. It showed close to 1/4" of precip and it's been totally dry, mostly clear here now.IMG_0617.PNG

 

Maybe the low tracked a little further east?   

[TT-SEA]

Yep GFS looks to be trending toward the GEM/EURO.

 

Wow... 00Z GFS is WAY warmer for next weekend compared to its 12Z run.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow... 00Z GFS is WAY warmer for next weekend compared to its 12Z run.

Yep oh well.

[ShawniganLake]

Maybe the low tracked a little further east?

Yea, south and east. The euro isn't perfect with those surface maps either.

[ShawniganLake]

Yep GFS looks to be trending toward the GEM/EURO.

Wow, that's a lot of snow on the GFS up here next Saturday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wow, that's a lot of snow on the GFS up here next Saturday.

 

Yeah it was down here on yesterday's runs lol

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not going to lie I am a little bummed next weekend is gone, but the models could bring it back who knows. 

[FroYoBro]

Not going to lie I am a little bummed next weekend is gone, but the models could bring it back who knows. 

 

Live in the moment! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Live in the moment! 

 

Its snowing!

[HighlandExperience]

[epiceast]

GFS 25 miles too far north for me. I still get a few decent accumulations out of this, but Kalispell would be the big winner if this verified.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My Dad says it has transitioned over to snow down in the valley near Silverton. He said it is just sticking on the grass and bushes, not the roads. 

[seattleweatherguy]

[FroYoBro]

My Dad says it has transitioned over to snow down in the valley near Silverton. He said it is just sticking on the grass and bushes, not the roads. 

 

Yeah, I saw on twitter that it is snowing in Salem. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Long range GFS sticking to its guns.

[epiceast]

Long range GFS sticking to its guns.

Not the consolation prize we're looking for. I'd much rather take a good trend by Euro & GEM in the mid range.

[luvssnow_spokane]

I am so ready to get these marginal cold rain/slopfests events overwith. Meaningless crap and am so ready for spring!! Let it end... the sooner the better.

[ShawniganLake]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3" now today, over 40" on the winter

[ShawniganLake]

Dumping snow in parts of Vancouver again. Hearing reports of 2"/hr rates

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Yea, south and east. The euro isn't perfect with those surface maps either.

 

Yep, a pretty disappointing event so far, there was some really heavy stuff falling for several hours within sight to the south of here but nothing made it north then it all shifted east. I still suspect we will wake up to a bit of snow cover tomorrow, there will be some trailing showers working their way down the Juan de Fuca that could bring brief heavy snow.

[Winterdog]

I got my half inch to put me in double digits and it looks like the moisture is moving to the east of me now. I knew you would all be very happy for me.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I got my half inch to put me in double digits and it looks like the moisture is moving to the east of me now. I knew you would all be very happy for me.

Location?

[MossMan]

Location?

He is in Arlington as well. East of I-5, I am west of I-5.

[Brennan]

Lower BC can't lose this winter

[luvssnow_spokane]