BLIZZARD09 Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 I will take that. 2-4 inches from LOT.You are pretty easy to please Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 Well guys, I am going to be off for a majority of the night tonight. I have a regional championship game tonight for basketball, only two ever won in the history of our school. We're 22-4 this year and looking to make a run, but got another wall to knock down tonight. Hope the runs come in great tonight and we see some good snow and I get a big victory!! Until later, see ya guys! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 You are pretty easy to please Oh believe me not when it's been a few days We gotten enough snow. A mod one to close it then I am ready for summer! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 I am pretty awed. GFS has trended wetter at least over here for 2nd wave more closer to NAM but EURO is dried up. GFS also weaker with 2nd wave and furthur south so we can kiss our chances with that goodbye. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 It be interesting if GFS/NAM continues to trend wetter and expand more with 2nd wave...2nd wave becoming more noticable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim the weatherman Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 this is the what jim cantore just said on facebook Latest 72 hour probabilities for GREATER THAN 8" of snow include and are highest around chicago toledo and buffalo so that means that a northward shift has happend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 Here is the probability forecast that Jim Cantore was eluding to. I'm still just scratching my head what they are basing their forecasts off of. Nonetheless, this would be the craziest storm all season long if this forecast comes into fruition. However, it would be a BIG win for the LRC. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 Here is the probability forecast that Jim Cantore was eluding to. I'm still just scratching my head what they are basing their forecasts off of. Nonetheless, this would be the craziest storm all season long if this forecast comes into fruition. However, it would be a BIG win for the LRC.I don't really trust the weather channel lol. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 Here is the probability forecast that Jim Cantore was eluding to. I'm still just scratching my head what they are basing their forecasts off of. Nonetheless, this would be the craziest storm all season long if this forecast comes into fruition. However, it would be a BIG win for the LRC.I don't know if he hasn't refreshed his computer's cache, or if it's real, but that's really odd. I'm more than OK with such a forecast, but it isn't anything like recent forecasts. Guess we'll see what happens. OT, anyone heading to Soldier Field tomorrow? Looks to be not only a great game, but maybe some solid snow to add to the atmosphere. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 I don't really trust the weather channel lol.Significant difference between the guys like Cantore, Forbes and the mets and TWC. I find Forbes and friends to excel where TWC doesn't, like posting that HPC graphic, interacting with fans, the little things. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
6789 Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 Significant difference between the guys like Cantore, Forbes and the mets and TWC. I find Forbes and friends to excel where TWC doesn't, like posting that HPC graphic, interacting with fans, the little things.True, Forbes is one of my favorite forecasters, Cantore is great as well, I was referring more to the Weather Channel mets who aren't as great at forecasting. That prediction does seem a little off, from the other runs we have seen today, but it would be fine by me. Maybe the Northern trend we are seeing is actually going to happen? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 I have Direct Tv so The Weather Channel is no more LOL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 00z NAM only 2 hours away... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 28, 2014 Report Share Posted February 28, 2014 Dominick, you may be right about the 2nd wave developing into the primary wave. Let's see what the GFS has in store. James, you were worried about suppression a few days back and look now, your in the sweet spot! That's why you can't model watch each model run and say that is what will happen. Things are turning the corner for your area and a lot of IA. Here is the 18z 4KM NAM...I wouldn't be surprised to see some heavy snow fall rates where ever the heavy snow band sets up. Looks like there will be adequate DGZ growth zone and bigger flake sizes if the wind doesn't break them apart.Well i was talking about the main event which was supposed to the 3rd one. But now this 2nd one is looking to be quite healthy as well. WWA one county south of me. I think nam is overdoing things quite a bit. The WWA is for 2-5". But we'll see. It's interesting to see this model getting wetter close to the event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 what was 18z gfs snow map? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 looking pretty healthy out in western ia right now just not sure if that gets here. Still have no idea what to think. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meichel Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 OT, anyone heading to Soldier Field tomorrow? Looks to be not only a great game, but maybe some solid snow to add to the atmosphere. Not going, but as much as I'd love to be there, I'll take the warmth of my couch. NHL already discussing it's contingency plan in case the wind chills are too low. (Not sure what their threshold is.) But to be there, under the lights, while it's snowing.....would totally rock! Quote On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 Hearing the NAM is different in its new 0z run... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 Hearing the NAM is different in its new 0z run... Not really up here. 6+ band is more narrow but looks more filled in far N IL north of I-88. Primary wave not much in cold sector. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 00z NAM... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 18gfs way south for that last wave.http://meteocentre.com/models/gfs_amer_18/P1_GZ_D5_PN_060_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 2nd wave looks better on the nam than on the gfs..nam shows about 12 hours of snow here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 1.1% chance of that nam verifying and me being happy...lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 18gfs way south for that last wave. Good lord, that's way down there! Skilling going with 0.5" tonight and 3-6" tomorrow night. Should be a nice event to get over the 70" hump for seasonal snowfall tally. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott26 Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 2nd wave looks like a solid 3-6 inches for N IL and S WI. Will be very interesting to see snow flakes in the air during the Hawks game at soldier field tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 Nam cotinues to be perfect for my area. right in the bullseye. snowing good all evening. i will get a measurement in a while Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 this keeps going up for my area. nice!http://www.crh.noaa.gov/images/dmx/fxc/48hourforecastsnowfall.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 not to bad i guess.http://meteocentre.com/models/nam_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_030_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 does show snow showers off the lake through 54hhttp://meteocentre.com/models/nam_amer_00/P1_GZ_D5_PN_054_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 0z GFS through 72 hours. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 ill take that 1% chance. lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 ill take that 1% chance. lol Haha! The difference between the NAM and GFS is night and day. - Don't know what really to believe. All I know nothing is falling yet. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 Haha! The difference between the NAM and GFS is night and day. - Don't know what really to believe. All I know nothing is falling yet.i dont think any of the models show the same thing happening, thats why im holding onto my 1% chance of 18".. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 Haha! The difference between the NAM and GFS is night and day. - Don't know what really to believe. All I know nothing is falling yet. They are pretty close if not in the 6+ over here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 I'm speechless to see how the models are handling this storm and we are 24 hours out. At this point, who knows where the heaviest band of snow sets up. There is so much contradictory information out there, especially NOAA's probability forecast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 00z GGEM...it's showing no snow at all from STL/Springfield/Indy/Cincinnati and they are under a WSW.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midwest buildit Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 00z GGEM...it's showing no snow at all from STL/Springfield/Indy/Cincinnati and they are under a WSW....wsw for snow or for ice potential? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 00z GGEM...it's showing no snow at all from STL/Springfield/Indy/Cincinnati and they are under a WSW....Taking that forecast verbatim, would we be fluffing that up in N. IL to roughly 5-7"? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted March 1, 2014 Author Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 We might be getting more snow in N. IL and S. WI then C. IL/IN/OH etc lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abhidupage Posted March 1, 2014 Report Share Posted March 1, 2014 Taking that forecast verbatim, would we be fluffing that up in N. IL to roughly 5-7"?Looks like it and keep in mind that's with 10:1 ratio if that came to reality would be awesome but at this point who knows anymore with all the struggle of models. General range of 5-8" is there but the band of heaviest is all over the place Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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