Jesse Posted May 8, 2017 Report Share Posted May 8, 2017 Meant for nino thread.I figured as much. Funny. Without context it just seemed incredibly racist. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted May 8, 2017 Author Report Share Posted May 8, 2017 I figured as much. Funny. Without context it just seemed incredibly racist.Best things in life have no context. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 8, 2017 Report Share Posted May 8, 2017 I figured as much. Funny. Without context it just seemed incredibly racist.Incredibly. Indescribably. Iridescently. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 8, 2017 Report Share Posted May 8, 2017 Best things in life have no context.Life has no context. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 8, 2017 Report Share Posted May 8, 2017 Life has no context.I was posting this exact response when I saw yours. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 This has been going on for weeks with him. Its trolling. There is a 3 square mile area near his house that is in crippling drought while the rest of Vancouver Island and the Pacific Northwest has been experiencing epic wetness and setting rainfall records. Sorry for being a minority, this area needs rain! Sunny and 63F this evening, feels eerily like a summer evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Sorry for being a minority, this area needs rain! Sunny and 63F this evening, feels eerily like a summer evening.Yeah, the sunset is pushing 8:30 now. Seems a lot later than usual, especially compared to the last few years. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Sorry for being a minority, this area needs rain! Sunny and 63F this evening, feels eerily like a summer evening. Scary! Feeling sort of like a summer evening as we approach mid-May. More prayers coming your way. We are taking a huge risk at our house and having a fire and smores knowing that we could burn up the entire forest if one ember gets away from us. We are all very sad that we finally get to enjoy an evening outside. That should only happen for 10 days in late July. Making the best of the situation though... and tolerating the temporarily pleasant weather. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Yeah, the sunset is pushing 8:30 now. Seems a lot later than usual, especially compared to the last few years. Last year was a leap year, our perspective is off. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Scary! Feeling sort of like a summer evening as we approach mid-May. More prayers coming your way. We are taking a huge risk at our house and having a fire and smores knowing that we could burn up the entire forest if one ember gets away from us. We are all very sad that we finally get to enjoy an evening outside. That should only happen for 10 days in late July. Making the best of the situation though... and tolerating the temporarily pleasant weather. It's all fun and games until somebody loses a house: http://bcfireinfo.for.gov.bc.ca/Weather/Maps/pcp.png Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 It's all fun and games until somebody loses a house: http://bcfireinfo.for.gov.bc.ca/Weather/Maps/pcp.png Some areas did not see rain today. It was actually the first dry day of the month at my house. And only the 10th day since January without rain here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 FWIW, the EPS weeklies cycle out the MJO and return to the default pattern during late May. In other words, we return to the Hudson/Baffin Bay vortex, SE-ridge, west coast/GOA low pattern to open the heart of the warm season. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 FWIW, the EPS weeklies cycle out the MJO and return to the default pattern during late May. In other words, we return to the Hudson/Baffin Bay vortex, SE-ridge, west coast/GOA low pattern to open the heart of the warm season. Yeah... but its actually pretty benign. Here is June 1st on the latest ECMWF weeklies: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Yeah... but its actually pretty benign. Here is June 1st on the latest ECMWF weeklies: Looks like a marine layer pattern. But no blue make me happy boy! Blue bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Probably gonna be our more typical July 5th type of start to summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Looks like a marine layer pattern. But no blue make me happy boy! Blue bad. Troll. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Probably gonna be our more typical July 5th type of start to summer. Maybe for consistent warm and sunny... but there will be plenty of summery days between now and then. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Yeah... but its actually pretty benign. Here is June 1st on the latest ECMWF weeklies: Try running the weeklies averaged over 7 days. Higher skill scores..also remember that ensemble means will wash out with time. This isn't "benign" at all. It's just ensemble variance dampening the mean: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/BCA38392-62ED-4F44-9F78-453F24389AAB_zpsqkaxpbwz.png http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/ECC2F83D-C019-4B0F-B519-DE1AB2F0A5F8_zpshhqu4jtq.png http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/AFFB5EDE-64BA-4F45-A509-DDB1CBB135D2_zpsl8bput9t.png http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/F0CF0A41-D7A5-4F4A-B703-9E271A65D7F5_zpsvtvouxrl.png Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Maybe for consistent warm and sunny... but there will be plenty of summery days between now and then.Yea. Probably. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Sometimes you have to mentally extract the pattern from the ensemble mean. Everything will look "benign" once out several weeks in advance, so that's an incorrect interpretation of the solution depicted. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Other than the first trough... it looks very benign for us. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Sometimes you have to mentally extract the pattern from the ensemble mean. Everything will look "benign" once out several weeks in advance, so that's an incorrect interpretation of the solution depicted. Either way it will likely be rather benign for our area. We saw that last July. Troughing and cooler air aloft is sometimes sunnier and more enjoyable here in the warm season. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 850mb temperatures..this out to late June: http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/C646A52A-8490-4657-96D8-A649786BEBEA_zpsce9o52si.png http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/93FDF690-5C78-4531-9DA8-4DDB35272AFB_zpszgqlowlo.png http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/64291F14-152F-4F66-AA2A-5E0E8B9084B8_zpsb6swxhhk.png http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/5DDB72A2-63DF-43B7-A69C-4C133F195809_zpsbeajauaw.png http://i724.photobucket.com/albums/ww243/phillywillie/Mobile%20Uploads/699F51DF-B8C6-4DAE-8937-0428247DDF03_zpshj5l22wu.png Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 850mb temperatures..this out to late June: Looks very nice overall. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Apparently this summer might be benign in the PNW. Well now I've heard everything! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Either way it will likely be rather benign for our area. We saw that last July. Troughing and cooler air aloft is sometimes sunnier and more enjoyable here in the warm season.Not the same pattern, but it depends what your definition of "benign" is. You'll have more GOA/BC troughing this go around, rather than a -PNA/GOA ridge. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Apparently this summer might be benign in the PNW. Well now I've heard everything! Usually is benign. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Usually is benign. No blue on map mean super benign! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 No blue on map mean super benign! Troll. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Other than the first trough... it looks very benign for us. Troll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Some areas did not see rain today. It was actually the first dry day of the month at my house. And only the 10th day since January without rain here. Troll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Looks very nice overall.Sure, I guess. A few degrees colder than average with more zonal/onshore flow in the mid/upper levels vs last year. Probably will be a similar pattern (aloft) to 1980, 1993, 2010, or 2011. FWIW, 2010 has been running at the top of the EPS analog set, though I personally don't like that year as an analog. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Troll. No... that was just a factual post. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 No... that was just a factual post. Troll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 No... that was just a factual post.Whoosh. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Anyhow, Tim's constant trolling aside, it has been a great last few days. If we can get a break in early May without a ridiculous warm airmass overhead it can make for some of the most picturesque weather around here, IMO. The still snowy mountains and freshly green plants add to the scene. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 [troll] Gonna be a wet, drippy, drizzly summer at Tim's house. Muahahahaha. [/troll] 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 Anyhow, Tim's constant trolling aside, it has been a great last few days. If we can get a break in early May without a ridiculous warm airmass overhead it can make for some of the most picturesque weather around here, IMO. The still snowy mountains and freshly green plants add to the scene. You are the only one trolling. And it has been visually gorgeous. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 You are the only one trolling. And it has been visually gorgeous. Troll. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 9, 2017 Report Share Posted May 9, 2017 [troll] Gonna be a wet, drippy, drizzly summer at Tim's house. Muahahahaha. [/troll] I really hope so! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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