Phil Posted September 5, 2017 Report Share Posted September 5, 2017 Wow..226mph wind measured at 915mb. Irma is going to make a run at 200mph sustained surface winds tonight. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 5, 2017 Report Share Posted September 5, 2017 Remember..915mb is just 16mb above the surface in this case. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 5, 2017 Report Share Posted September 5, 2017 "Category 6? If Hurricane Irma Becomes The Strongest Hurricane In History, It Could Wipe Entire Cities Off The Map" http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/category-6-if-hurricane-irma-becomes-the-strongest-hurricane-in-history-it-could-wipe-entire-cities-off-the-map Quality reporting from a Republican congressional candidate from Idaho...who runs a blog called "The Economic Collapse." You can't make this stuff up... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 5, 2017 Report Share Posted September 5, 2017 8pm advisory holds at 185mph, pressure down to 916mb. I think we reach or surpass 190mph by the 11pm advisory. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tenochtitlan Posted September 5, 2017 Report Share Posted September 5, 2017 Today feels like a summer day in a polluted Eastern China metropolis up here. 81/64 at BLI and the smoke is maybe the worst of the whole summer. The sun is a creepy pale orange. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Slowly improving by TTSEA. Down to 274 AQ index.https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.local_city&mapcenter=0&cityid=641 Only topped 86 here. So traded the heat for the smoke today. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Hard to tell for sure... but watching the visible satellite loop it appears that the smoke from the Jolly Mountain fire has shifted from blowing from east to west (which has been pumping smoke into the Seattle area) to now blowing from the SW to NE in the last couple hours. This should help the situation here in the foothills. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=northwest-02-48-0-100 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Hard to tell for sure... but watching the visible satellite loop it appears that the smoke from the Jolly Mountain fire has shifted from blowing from east to west (which has been pumping smoke into the Seattle area) to now blowing from the SW to NE in the last couple hours. This should help the situation here in the foothills. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=northwest-02-48-0-100 Good for this area.Can't help but notice all the smoke heading towards Salem and Portland from down south. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Good for this area.Can't help but notice all the smoke heading towards Salem and Portland from down south. Which will also be rotating up through us eventually. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 "Category 6? If Hurricane Irma Becomes The Strongest Hurricane In History, It Could Wipe Entire Cities Off The Map" http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/category-6-if-hurricane-irma-becomes-the-strongest-hurricane-in-history-it-could-wipe-entire-cities-off-the-map Quality reporting from a Republican congressional candidate from Idaho...who runs a blog called "The Economic Collapse." You can't make this stuff up... Let's be honest here... someone's political stance has absolutely nothing to do with their opinion on the storm. The whole cat 6 thing wasn't thought up by some republican or democrat or any other politician. As a matter of fact, according to what I've read on this forum, the cat 6 thing was drummed up by amateur meteorologists posting to social media.... Little discussion on the cat 6 deal in another part of the forum I lurk around... http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1620-september-2017-observations-and-discussion/page-6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Which will also be rotating up through us eventually. True. Into the unhealthy category for you now.https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.local_city&mapcenter=0&cityid=641 Sun is looking more red as it gets lower in the sky. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 True. Into the unhealthy category for you now.https://airnow.gov/index.cfm?action=airnow.local_city&mapcenter=0&cityid=641 Sun is looking more red as it gets lower in the sky. Always happy when the air quality improves dramatically to just "Unhealthy". Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Definitely improving here. It no longer smells like a campfire outside. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Looks like we'll get replacement smoke from down south. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Let's be honest here... someone's political stance has absolutely nothing to do with their opinion on the storm. The whole cat 6 thing wasn't thought up by some republican or democrat or any other politician. As a matter of fact, according to what I've read on this forum, the cat 6 thing was drummed up by amateur meteorologists posting to social media.... Little discussion on the cat 6 deal in another part of the forum I lurk around... http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1620-september-2017-observations-and-discussion/page-6 You're right, I shouldn't have brought politics into it. But you gotta admit it's pretty funny when a politician in Idaho writes up sensational headlines about a hurricane on the East Coast. It's not about to become a Category 6, and it's not about to wipe cities off the map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Pretty impressive that PDX hit 90 today considering the circumstances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Looks like we'll get replacement smoke from down south. Sort of reminds me of last winter. Every card we flipped over was snow or ice...now it's smoke. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 This weather station is directly in the path of the eye wall. Let's see how high winds get before the station (most likely) blows away. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=BARA9 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Pretty impressive that PDX hit 90 today considering the circumstances.The last couple days seem more anomalous to me than if we had bright sunshine, downslope winds and triple digits. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Pretty impressive that PDX hit 90 today considering the circumstances. Salvaged a 5 day streak of 90+ as well. Joined 1944 and 1974 in that September club. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 SW winds made it to McMinnville! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Definitely improving here. It no longer smells like a campfire outside. Yeah I can't smell smoke anymore. Sun disappeared a bit ago behind some clouds - I think. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 West winds now down here. Air quality is much better now, but we have a ways to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Pretty good write up from Marky mark. https://fox12weather.wordpress.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Only hit 78F here today when the forecast was about 88F. The smoke was strong enough that there weren't any shadows and at times the sun wasn't visible at all. Glad it wasn't so hot today! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 You're right, I shouldn't have brought politics into it. But you gotta admit it's pretty funny when a politician in Idaho writes up sensational headlines about a hurricane on the East Coast. It's not about to become a Category 6, and it's not about to wipe cities off the map.Indeed. I agree. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 SW winds made it to McMinnville!What has been up with the consistently high dew points the last couple days? Is that related to the smoke inversion at all? Because at face value we should be in a fairly dry airmass. At least for yesterday and today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 What has been up with the consistently high dew points the last couple days? Is that related to the smoke inversion at all? Because at face value we should be in a fairly dry airmass. At least for yesterday and today. I was going to ask the same thing. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 What has been up with the consistently high dew points the last couple days? Is that related to the smoke inversion at all? Because at face value we should be in a fairly dry airmass. At least for yesterday and today.I'm sure it's a product of the inversion that set in yesterday. Air mass never even came close to mixing out dry adiabatic in the valleys. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 I was going to ask the same thing. Very hot airmass + calm winds at the lower levels= High dewpoints as things decouple (that's always the case). This time around our smoke has helped trap that air, too, hence the lack of midday drying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 This weather station is directly in the path of the eye wall. Let's see how high winds get before the station (most likely) blows away. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=BARA9 Yeah that station will end up going down. Anguilla looks like it will be next. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Dew point of 67. Not too shabby. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 PDX bumped to 91. 91/66 and the visibility never topped 3 miles after late morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Yeah that station will end up going down. Anguilla looks like it will be next.Sustained winds just jumped to near 40kts. Should be gusting over 100kts within 45mins: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=BARA9 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Sustained winds just jumped to near 40kts. Should be gusting over 100kts within 45mins: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=BARA9 Jumped to 52 kts now. Very scary situation there... Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Jumped to 52 kts now. Very scary situation there...Irma's eyewall is only about 20 miles away looking at radar. Once that big rainband moves in, there's gonna be a huge spike in wind. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Down to 72 here... feels chilly. Fall is here! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 00Z GFS basically washes out the front on Saturday before it arrives... unlike the 12Z run and now in agreement with the 12Z ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 00Z GFS is not good for Miami... Irma does not travel over land in Cuba and heads right for South Florida. It has trended a little east of the 12Z run though. Update... looking dicey for Charleston again on this run. Running right up the east coast of Florida. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 6, 2017 Report Share Posted September 6, 2017 Not only is there no rain and not even really a trough this weekend on the 00Z GFS... its actually quite warm on Sunday. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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