Jump to content
The Weather Forums

Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22

bud2380

By bud2380
in East of the Rockies

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.8k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

hawkstwelve
hawkstwelve

The storm has begun! Getting some moderate snow here at the moment. Sure would be nice to see the RGEM/Canadian verify with it's 5+ inches but I'm expecting the worst.  Temp at 1 degree.

ToastedRavs
ToastedRavs

Bars closing early tonight in Valley Junction area of West Des Moines sadly. But did manage to get a quick video and a few pics. Roughly 4- to 4.5" on ground. So about 2 to 2.5" already so not a bad s

Hoosier
Hoosier

So how addicting is this stuff? I was at a function much of the day and snuck away to the bathroom to get a quick peek at the 18z GFS. Gonna be losing sleep this week no doubt.

Posted Images

CentralNebWeather Grand Master

CentralNebWeather

Posted
Posted
29 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Are you going to be traveling to KC around Christmas this year?

No. My brother and his family are going to meet us in Lincoln at Embassy Suites for Christmas for a Post Christmas holiday basketball tournament that our varsity team is playing in that includes my son. Lincoln is less than 3 hours from their home in Shawnee KS so it is a good meeting location. Probably will plan a trip to KC in the spring. Thanks for asking. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hoosier Rising Star

Hoosier

Posted
Posted

Quite a 12z GFS run.  At one point the surface low deepens 42 mb in 24 hours, which is high end for this part of the country that doesn't have the ocean as an advantage.  

There are differences in the setups, but the GFS surface map next Saturday morning is almost a dead ringer for the morning of January 26, 1978. 

Gee, what could go wrong?  Lol

  • lol 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
hawkstwelve Grand Master

hawkstwelve

Posted
Posted

I feel like I am a few runs away from being too far north for this which wouldn't be surprising given how the Nov 3rd/4th system tracked. Although, it was still one of our juiciest systems of the cycle (0.28 over two days) and we have the added assistance of an extremely anomalous, cold airmass to help generate some more QPF along the front before it drops by us fairly quickly.

I will say it is really nice seeing the models trend a bit better for Nebraska folks, among others. They seem to really be in a snow funk.

  • Like 4

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Black Hole Community Regular

Black Hole

Posted
Posted

Yeah the 12z GFS was really something, and for a lot of us! Down in my area it was further west again with the really deep cold. 925 mb temps fall to -25C or so with wind chills of -25 to -30F! On top of that it drops a foot of snow. A true blizzard there. 

CMC was solid, just not quite as intense. ICON was ok, UMKET was meh. CMCE looks slightly worse than the 00z run, while the GEFS is slightly better. Still expecting some changes in the days ahead but not sure which way things will lean. 

gfs-deterministic-oklahoma-snow_24hr_kuchera-1775200.png

gfs-deterministic-oklahoma-t925-1796800.png

gfs-deterministic-oklahoma-apparent_temperature_f-1796800.png

  • Like 2
  • scream 1
  • Shivering 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
westMJim Mentor

westMJim

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Stacsh said:
1 hour ago, Stacsh said:

OH My.  I hate this GFS run because it would be the 1st or second best blizzard of my life.  So it won’t happen lol (born in 80)

 

While I have seen the big storms of 1967, 1973 and 1978 I agree with you will NOT believe it will happen until it (if it does) happen

Link to comment
Share on other sites
bainbridgekid Mentor

bainbridgekid

Posted
Posted

I’ll be visiting family near Chicago for this so have been following along closely. I visit almost every year for Christmas and it’s been amazing how few significant snows I’ve experienced there. Hopefully this holds and changes that! Looking solid considering it’s still 6 days out.

  • Like 4

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 85"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hawkeye Grand Master

Hawkeye

Posted
Posted

This storm is missing one thing... deep moisture.  A shortwave moving through the gulf and across Florida is going to keep the deep moisture separated from the strong low up here.

image.thumb.png.e4008161e19951a84df2a045319bb240.png

image.thumb.png.f89b0e620eece89760b2e3e26ff019d0.png

  • Like 2
  • Sad 1

season snowfall: 29.3"

'21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Hoosier Rising Star

Hoosier

Posted
Posted

We really don't even get an ideal Gulf feed into this system.  Notice on this pwat map below how there is a significant westerly component to the vectors.  The leading wave near the east coast is probably affecting that.

If we actually got a better Gulf feed into this system... call your momma.

12Z-20221217_GFSUS_prec_pwat-108-150-100-100.gif.8af028c81145f252bb5a2436390dc7b7.gif

  • Like 3
  • lol 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...