Pre-Christmas Storm Plains/MW/GL 12/21-12/22

[Money]

Early guess on GFS through hr 84 is we see another bump NW compared to 6z..

[CentralNebWeather]

Looks like 12z GFS is going to be a good hit for Nebraska. 

[winterfreak]

12z GFS coming west some…

[Money]

Through HR 96 it’s definitely stronger than 6z. Think we see a significant jump West this run..

[CentralNebWeather]

Just now, winterfreak said:

12z GFS coming west some…

That’s what I’m seeing too. Nice. 

[winterfreak]

Coming in hot. Looks better for those in the western part of the sub.

[bud2380]

GFS still quite a bit different from the Euro. 

[CentralNebWeather]

Just now, winterfreak said:

Coming in hot. Looks better for those in the western part of the sub.

Where do you live?  Just wondering. 

[Money]

Dropping 10 MB in 6 hours from 108-114

gonna be a monster hit from STL-ORD

[Money]

HR 114

[bud2380]

The euro has the heaviest snow in NW Wisconsin. The GFs has the heaviest snow in Kansas and Missouri. 

[Money]

982 at HR 123

[Money]

20 MB drop in 9 hours is crazy around these parts..

[winterfreak]

2 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Where do you live?  Just wondering. 

Just south of Prairie Village on the MO side of the state line. Near Waldo/Brookside.

[Money]

Insane run 

[Clinton]

4 minutes ago, bud2380 said:

The euro has the heaviest snow in NW Wisconsin. The GFs has the heaviest snow in Kansas and Missouri. 

The GFS gave some ground, the Euro likely will also.

[Bellona]

Wow GFS back to making a lot of us happy again. Sure more surprises are coming.

[winterfreak]

12z GFS. I’ll take this…

[CentralNebWeather]

Just now, winterfreak said:

Just south of Prairie Village on the MO side of the state line. Near Waldo/Brookside.

Awesome. Love KC. My brother lives off K7 in Shawnee Kansas. Been going to KC my whole life. Try to get there several times a year. Have always been a Royals fan. Thanks for responding and good luck. 

[Clinton]

1 minute ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Awesome. Love KC. My brother lives off K7 in Shawnee Kansas. Been going to KC my whole life. Try to get there several times a year. Have always been a Royals fan. Thanks for responding and good luck. 

You've been suffering through drought and the Royals!  Bless your heart, lets hope both head in a better direction!

[CentralNebWeather]

Just now, Clinton said:

You've been suffering through drought and the Royals!  Bless your heart, lets hope both head in a better direction!

I joke with my students that the Royals are good every 30 years like clockwork.

[Money]

GEM came back west and stronger but looks nowhere near the GFS or ICON in terms of low location 

[Money]

That was 0z here’s 12z

 

 

[westMJim]

1 hour ago, Ottawa CO, MI said:

I'm not expecting more than a few inches next week as I have been disappointed too many times...lol.

That sounds like par for the course. Of my past storms the 2011 storm did not have as much wind as the storms in Bay City but then again Bay City is at the SW part of Saginaw Bay and with a NE wind they get not only more wind but also lake enhanced snow as well.

[Money]

GEM gets it down to 971 in E MI

[winterfreak]

5 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Awesome. Love KC. My brother lives off K7 in Shawnee Kansas. Been going to KC my whole life. Try to get there several times a year. Have always been a Royals fan. Thanks for responding and good luck. 

Nice! Shawnee is a really nice area. Johnson County is growing so fast. A Royals fan? Me too sadly. World Series win feels like a lifetime ago…

[CentralNebWeather]

Just now, winterfreak said:

Nice! Shawnee is a really nice area. Johnson County is growing so fast. A Royals fan? Me too sadly. World Series win feels like a lifetime ago…

2015 was one of the most exciting seasons that I could remember. I still go back to YouTube occasionally and watch those playoff games. You’re correct, Johnson County is exploding with population. My 2 nephews went to Mill Valley HS then to KU. Though all family in KC are Husker fans first. 

[Hoosier]

Almost fainted when I saw the 12z GFS.  The 10:1 snow map looks really nice too.

Verbatim on that run, there's a window on Friday with almost dry adiabatic lapse rates to 850 mb where 75 kt flow resides.  

[Stacsh]

Geez.  The drifts from this with my existing snow cover will be tremendous regardless how much snow falls.  

[BMT]

I think we'd all be happy with the Canadian as well 

[jaster220]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

When I posted the GFS this morning I noted that I thought it was going to far east before cutting and but I liked how it was dropping the storm into N. Texas on the western side.  My thoughts on this storm haven't changed much since we first started discussing this storm and we are still along ways from a conclusion.  I hope you do better than you think this morning.

I suppose I could "luck out" via a favorably timed occlusion, or stalling in just the right place. Just prepping myself for the worst, which seems to be a theme in my new locale when it comes to winter events. Also doesn't help that I'm riding a personal low streak for snow the past 3 winters. Still, don't know how I'm going to get anything done at the office this week. My director is off tomorrow but comes in Tue & Wed. 

[winterfreak]

10 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

2015 was one of the most exciting seasons that I could remember. I still go back to YouTube occasionally and watch those playoff games. You’re correct, Johnson County is exploding with population. My 2 nephews went to Mill Valley HS then to KU. Though all family in KC are Husker fans first. 

My favorite game/moment in that two year run was Salvy’s double down the 3rd base line. Incredible. Hopefully Matt Rhule can get the football program headed in the right direction at Nebraska. They haven’t been very good since before I was born. KU? I have plenty of friends and family who went. Rock Chalk!

[jaster220]

1 minute ago, Stacsh said:

Geez.  The drifts from this with my existing snow cover will be tremendous regardless how much snow falls.  

Just realizing that?? Dude, you sit in as favorable place as anybody on this Sub to rake impacts. Batten down the hatches is all I can say for SWMI. Looks like this will be YOUR year to make up for numerous lame ones in a row. 

[Chambana]

See a few familiar faces here, hi everyone! First post here. Champaign is sitting good right now. 12z GFS has 55-65mph winds over central Illinois, whipping a 6-12” snowfall. 
 

 

Should this materialize it might be the best snowstorm of my life, beating out 2-13-2007. 

[Money]

Ukie looks identical to icon…

[FV-Mike]

I cannot ever remember tracking this large of a system so close to Christmas. New territory for me and hoping we all get to enjoy

[Money]

Ukie 102

[Money]

Ukie also goes from 1005 MB to sub 985 MB in 12 hours 

[Clinton]

4 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

I suppose I could "luck out" via a favorably timed occlusion, or stalling in just the right place. Just prepping myself for the worst, which seems to be a theme in my new locale when it comes to winter events. Also doesn't help that I'm riding a personal low streak for snow the past 3 winters. Still, don't know how I'm going to get anything done at the office this week. My director is off tomorrow but comes in Tue & Wed. 

The good news is it's not a question of if you get snow but how much.  I worked my tail off last week hoping I could be off this week off, not going to happen I have to work through Wednesday.  I'll be pretty much worthless at the job this week lol.

[Money]

981 MB at HR 120

 

So that’s ICON, GFS, CMC, and Ukie so far with a NW type track compared to their previous runs and all bomb the low within about 12-18 hours