Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 How much is it showing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 How much is it showing? For what town? Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 For what town?OSH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 OSH Euro has about 0.50" for Oshkosh, 0.83" for Green Bay. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Euro has about 0.50" for Oshkosh, 0.83" for Green Bay.Not bad Thanks. I wonder if this thing could shift south once snowcover occurs. Might not affect that much but should be a solid snowcover across IA/IL/WI by next week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 A day or two ago, the Euro had one focused band of heaviest snow from southern Iowa eastward along the I-80 corridor through MI/OH. Much of it has now split north and south. It's hard to fault Nebraskans for complaining about this. 7 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 A day or two ago, the Euro had one focused band of heaviest snow from southern Iowa eastward along the I-80 corridor through MI/OH. Much of it has now split north and south. It's hard to fault Nebraskans for complaining about this. euro_12zFeb03.pngHappens so often it is almost comical. Spring can arrive at anytime for most Nebraskans imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEJeremy Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 52 wonderful degrees. Can it just stay like this for the rest of February? Better than 20 degrees and brown ground. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 Its been snowing here on and off all day. Lots of slicks spots. Heavier snow develops later tanite. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 52 wonderful degrees. Can it just stay like this for the rest of February? Better than 20 degrees and brown ground.We might be in for a warm-up late February briefly, then, it turns colder in March. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 18z GFS keeps the significant storm next weekend. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018020318/156/snku_024h.us_mw.png Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 3, 2018 Report Share Posted February 3, 2018 18z GFS keeps the significant storm next weekend. http://maps1.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2018020318/156/snku_024h.us_mw.pngI know snowcover doesn’t matter much but a lot of areas should have 5+ or so by middle of the week. Wouldn’t be surprised if things trended farther south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 I know snowcover doesn’t matter much but a lot of areas should have 5+ or so by middle of the week. Wouldn’t be surprised if things trended farther southI was thinking that, but the fact that that's the only thing to keep the bczone south in that time frame would encourage a MN/WI special. However, if cold air is more potent than expected I could see this sliding south some. There's decent arguments for a shift either direction. Time will tell. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 I was thinking that, but the fact that that's the only thing to keep the bczone south in that time frame would encourage a MN/WI special. However, if cold air is more potent than expected I could see this sliding south some. There's decent arguments for a shift either direction. Time will tell.Yeah that’s what I was thinking. Deeper snowcover which means it will be colder than models think right now and might push the bzone south some. Doesn’t look like it’s a super strong system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Feels nice outside. Temp @ 30F and a little breezy. Snow on the way after midnight w WWA posted for my area. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Gfs coming in farther south and weaker with the Sat system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/conussfc.php?run=2018020400&time=48&var=ASNOWI&hour=147 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 GEM also shifted south from 12z but more north than gfs https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=asnow24&runtime=2018020400&fh=144 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Gfs coming in farther south and weaker with the Sat systemYep, south and weak is my call, and matches trends at mid-range. Then, when it's decided who to hit, the last minute ramp-up happens in some random location that wasn't expecting it at d3+ Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Southern Wisconsin is getting some solid snow tonight, and tonight's models are hitting the same area pretty hard late in the week. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 We just had a surprise heavy snow band move through. Probably close to a half inch here. Lots of wind too, really blowing it around. A nice surprise i'll say since I wasn't expecting anything today. Its the little things that count sometimes! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 52 wonderful degrees. Can it just stay like this for the rest of February? Better than 20 degrees and brown ground.I have said it once and will say it again, I am waving the white flag to winter here... I am done with it. Chalk up 3 lame winter seasons in a row here, just waiting on the torch here to get us back to warmer weather. I was surprised to wake up this morning to a dusting of snow on the ground though, like Craig said if you love snow around here you have to take a few pennies when you don’t have much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 At this time getting light snow and blowing snow here with a temperature of 21° had 4” of new snow and a total of 6.5” on the ground. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Climatology for today February 4th At Grand Rapids, MI The average H/L is 31/18The record high is 53° in 1962 the coldest maximum is 0° set in 1918The record low is -17° set in 1996 the warmest minimum is 37° set in 1991The record snow fall is 10.0” in 1900The most snow on the ground is 20” in 1959Last year the H/L was 30/4 a trace of snow was reported and 3” was reported on the ground. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Interesting trends on the models with the Tue/Wed system as there may be better upstream ridging allowing the storm to slow a bit and phase with the northern branch. For instance, the 12z NAM is now expanding the precip shield much farther NW and is starting to latch onto an idea of widespread 1-4"??? I'm not putting much stock into the NAM, but the Euro is showing this possibility also. Notice the last 4 runs showing better ridging upstream.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Snow currently w couple of inches on the ground and temp @ 30F. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Now, the late week system is trending back south on some models. The 06z GFS has the snow down as far as CR and the ICON shows a huge change, bringing the whole thing down into Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 12z GFS trending the same way for the mid week system and advertising a tad better phasing along with moisture transport northward instead of a sheared out suppressed wave. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Winter has made it back to Chicago...you have been missed...#Ol'ManWinter Meantime, 12z GFS keeping the baroclinic zone farther south compared to previous runs. I expect to see various solutions going forward as these type of set ups are impossible to nail down this far out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Gem has the system come out in one piece and is stronger/north https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2018020412&fh=126 Seems like gfs has several waves Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 February is looking like a cold, snowy month for some. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Actually looks like gfs is trying to form a strong LP down in OK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Boy, big changes going on with the late-week system. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Boy, big changes going on with the late-week system.That’s a spread the wealth system lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 This thing has YUGEEE potential.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Gfs http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/conussfc.php?run=2018020412&time=72&var=ASNOWI&hour=171 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 This thing has YUGEEE potential....That bzone is nice 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 The energy that cuts off in the SW prevented this system from phasing into a big storm... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 4, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 After the Fri/Sat weekend system, there is another brewing on my calendar for the 13th/14th period which lines up with the Dec 28th/29th multiple wave system that sparked WSW's in E IA/W IL. Pattern is loaded with opp's going forward. Boy, is this going to be a special Feb? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted February 4, 2018 Report Share Posted February 4, 2018 Ukie looks like the gfs sort of HR 120 http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNM&hh2=144&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=120 1003 L down in CO/OK Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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