February Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Jesse]

Picked up about .5” of snow last night.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Picked up about .5” of snow last night.

 

He returns!

 

Was a nice little surprise. Most places with any elevation at least had a dusting. Good to see.

[Front Ranger]

Kinda funny how the ICON, a model that from what I've heard is easily inferior to the big 3, is now getting all sorts of mentions.

 

New kid on the block!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Kinda funny how the ICON, a model that from what I've heard is easily inferior to the big 3, is now getting all sorts of mentions.

 

New kid on the block!

 

Pretty close to kicking the GEM out of the big 3 for it. I LIKE WHAT IT SHOWS!

[Jesse]

He returns!

 

Was a nice little surprise. Most places with any elevation at least had a dusting. Good to see.

It was a cool setup. Light to moderate rain changed over to a couple hours of light to moderate snow around 3-4am. There were some huge flakes at points.

[Front Ranger]

I don't think we are going to see widespread lowland snow. Maybe some C-zone magic or a localized surprise. Plenty of opportunities the next couple weeks though.

So you don't believe the Euro? It shows a good part of the Puget Sound region getting 2"+ on Sunday.

 

If there really is a decent Arctic front and associated CZ, you can pretty much throw out the exact amounts any model is spitting out. They all struggle in those situations.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

So you don't believe the Euro? It shows a good part of the Puget Sound region getting 2"+ on Sunday.

 

If there really is a decent Arctic front and associated CZ, you can pretty much throw out the exact amounts any model is spitting out. They all struggle in those situations.

 

Widespread means all of W. Washington or most of NW Oregon. Favored C-zone areas could do well. But there will be many places in W. Oregon and W. WA that do not see anything more than a dusting. Seattle Metro area getting snow would be a localized event. Olympia to BLI would qualify as widespread.

[HighlandExperience]

Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through Sunday afternoon... precip is all done north of Chehalis by that time.

 

It has been pretty consistent in showing 1-3 inches for king county. Good to see.

[TT-SEA]

No time to host images right now... but per the 12Z ECMWF these are highs for Seattle:

 

Sunday - 37

Monday - 34

Tuesday - 37

Wednesday - 39

Thursday - 45

 

Coldest low temp is 21 on Tuesday morning.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hey hey hey!

 

[MossMan]

No time to host images right now... but per the 12Z ECMWF these are highs for Seattle:

 

Sunday - 37

Monday - 34

Tuesday - 37

Wednesday - 39

Thursday - 45

 

Coldest low temp is 21 on Tuesday morning.

I will probably be below freezing Monday-Wednesday then I bet. Seems like even when Marysville is upper 30’s my area is still at or below freezing, especially if there is snow cover. Looking forward to it!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I will probably be below freezing Monday-Wednesday then I bet. Seems like even when Marysville is upper 30’s my area is still at or below freezing, especially if there is snow cover. Looking forward to it!

 

Yeah I am thinking sub-freezing highs are very possible here Monday and Tuesday. A low around 15 would be cool too. The coldest records for late February/early March are in the 8-12 range up here. I think there are some "warmer" records early next week that could fall though. 

[Geos]

Total snow per 12Z ECMWF through Sunday afternoon... precip is all done north of Chehalis by that time.  

 

 

Weird that the typical CZ area is so low.

[Geos]

No time to host images right now... but per the 12Z ECMWF these are highs for Seattle:

 

Sunday - 37

Monday - 34

Tuesday - 37

Wednesday - 39

Thursday - 45

 

Coldest low temp is 21 on Tuesday morning.  

 

So if there is snow on the ground then I can probably expect near freezing high for Sunday and Tuesday and near 30 on Monday at my location.

[Jesse]

February will be running cooler than all of January at PDX within a few days.

[MossMan]

Looks lovely!

[seattleweatherguy]

Hey hey hey!

 

Wow cold air all the way it cali!

[Timmy]

February will be running cooler than all of January at PDX within a few days.

well hello there

[ShawniganLake]

Sounds like generally 2-5” of snow fell in the BC lower mainland last night. Mostly inland areas or with a little elevation.

[Deweydog]

Didn't the ICON handle the February 1989 blast better than the #big3?

[Geos]

Looks lovely!

 

About time!

[Jesse]

Didn't the ICON handle the February 1989 blast better than the #big3?

The east ICON and west ICON were too busy reuniting.

[Jesse]

well hello there

Hi

 

How did you end up doing last night? I was honestly shocked to see anything sticking near sea level.

[Front Ranger]

No time to host images right now... but per the 12Z ECMWF these are highs for Seattle:

 

Sunday - 37

Monday - 34

Tuesday - 37

Wednesday - 39

Thursday - 45

 

Coldest low temp is 21 on Tuesday morning.

Would be very 1990ish temps.

 

Records gonna fall!

[jakeinthevalley]

Small hail shower moving across McMinnville. Not sure if it survived the coast range and turned convective.

[ShawniganLake]

18z ICON is running

[Jbolin]

Did I hear someone correctly last night regarding 850's around -12C ?

[seattleweatherguy]

Did I hear someone correctly last night regarding 850's around -12C ?

Probably. That be chilly

[ShawniganLake]

Did I hear someone correctly last night regarding 850's around -12C ?

[Jbolin]

9A039E74-AF90-4E3F-83AA-25F09F80D484.png

Hmmm, might need to break out the Tauntaun's this weekend.

[Deweydog]

18z ICON is running

[Phil]

Is it the flip in the Atlantic that has you so impressed?

 

To me... this looks like a long overdue deep trough over the West. Seems very logical that would have to happen in March after an insanely warm and dry winter in CA. The actual contour lines are sort of meaningless... the anomaly centers are what is important.

That’s a large part of it yes. The entire pattern is pretty amazing looking.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A reminder the 06z an 18z ICON's only run to 120 hours. Through hour 51 so far... Will keep ya'll posted.

[Timmy]

Hi

 

How did you end up doing last night? I was honestly shocked to see anything sticking near sea level.

2”

[Phil]

Rubber band snap.

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao.sprd2.gif

[SilverFallsAndrew]

One of my facebook friends who lives out above Yacolt around 1200' reports he picked up 5" last night. 

[Deweydog]

One of my facebook friends who lives out above Yacolt around 1200' reports he picked up 5" last night.

Had a little over an inch here, but that was at about 6:30.

[Phil]

Shiver me timbers.

 

[Front Ranger]

18z ICON is running

 

Drünkel.

[Deweydog]

The ICON's isobars look as if Michael J. Fox drew them.