Timmy Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Looks like I have 7-8” so far! Just got home. Surprised it’s 33f now, I was expecting a sub freezing high Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 What are your thoughts on precip for later?You think we dry out pretty fast this evening?History tells us the backwash stuff in these bleeds tends to poop out south of Kelso as any frontal dynamics wash out but we could get lucky. I'd consider anything that turns the ground white to be lucky. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 North winds have rolled into Chehalis. Heads up Napavine! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 History tells us the backwash stuff in these bleeds tends to poop out south of Kelso as any frontal dynamics wash out but we could get lucky. I'd consider anything that turns the ground white to be lucky. Yeah when we are to the south of these lows we typically don't see much of anything as moisture wraps up once the cold, dry air arrives. I feel like a lot of our arctic airmasses have this happen. Hopefully the mid-week stuff hits us. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Looks like I have 7-8” so far! Just got home. Surprised it’s 33f now, I was expecting a sub freezing high Wow! Doesn't surprise me as that band has been very persistent up there! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 My son this morning... that is a lava flow from the 1800s. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Looks like I have 7-8” so far! Just got home. Surprised it’s 33f now, I was expecting a sub freezing high You're in North Plains? That's pretty impressive. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 18z is the worst model run in days. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I don't see a really significant longitudinal difference between the GFS and GEM/Euro.Seems to keep things a bit further west with a little more splitting action. It's a pretty delicate set up overall. Hopefully it works out. As discussed in the "Do you like snow?" thread, I like snow.❄ Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Really a nice set up here. The trade winds are cut off with this pattern so its more calm and humid but still sunny on this side of the island. We saw a storm blow up and move towards Maui yesterday but we are so protected here by Mauna Kea that its almost always sunny here even when its raining all over the state. This is as close as it got yesterday... then the sky was all blue again in 15 minutes. Doesn't sound very lush. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I think NWS is way to warm for later this week. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 18z is the worst model run in days.Not our year. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 The snow sure did a number here as well...my poor large Willow is no more.I had been telling my wife we ought to take that tree down since it helps clog the gutters and gets crap all over the yard. This is actually a good thing providing the roof doesn’t leak or something. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 18z is the worst model run in days.Waste of cold air Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Leaving my driveway this morning. Full sun now and 32.9. Still a little drippy out and probably down to 8” of snow. 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Trough's too deep....Trough's not deep enough... One of these days we'll get one that's perfect.. . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 PDX ALREADY BACK UP TO 39. AHHHHHHHHH. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 18z is the worst model run in days.I doubt that pos is on to anything. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 PDX ALREADY BACK UP TO 39. AHHHHHHHHH.John Q. Sunbreak is a real *******. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 18z is the worst model run in days.I’ve been too busy playing in the snow, was the 12z Euro still good? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Leaving my driveway this morning.Full sun now and 32.9. Still a little drippy out and probably down to 8” of snow. Amazing! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Okay one more snow picture... this morning rocked! SNOW!! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 We used up our last trick for getting snow here and ended up with nothing on the ground going into the cold snap. It snowed 4 times...out of those it stuck 3 times, but melted off pretty fast. Pretty bad luck for this setup. I actually think the cold air having to advect into BC before it could get here is what hurt us. If the cold had already been in place it would have really helped our cause. I think the 500mb pattern was good for a lot more than what we saw. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 I’ve been too busy playing in the snow, was the 12z Euro still good?No snow for you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 North winds gusting to 41 at SeaTac seems pretty impressive. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Solar radiation exceeding 225 watts/m^2 here, temp up to 38F. D**n you late February sun. Snow in the grass and on cars got murdered pretty quick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 North winds gusting to 41 at SeaTac seems pretty impressive. It really is impressive... I did not expect it to be that strong. Score one for Jim. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Leaving my driveway this morning.Full sun now and 32.9. Still a little drippy out and probably down to 8” of snow. Jealous. Fabulous time to score big with all of the cold days coming up. You are going to get some fabulous low temps the next couple of nights with that heavy snow cover. Looking at the web cams it's pretty obvious the score zone was very narrow with this. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Solar radiation exceeding 225 watts/m^2 here, temp up to 38F. d**n you late February sun. Snow in the grass and on cars got murdered pretty quick. What is the solar radiation for early January? Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 We used up our last trick for getting snow here and ended up with nothing on the ground going into the cold snap. It snowed 4 times...out of those it stuck 3 times, but melted off pretty fast. Pretty bad luck for this setup. I actually think the cold air having to advect into BC before it could get here is what hurt us. If the cold had already been in place it would have really helped our cause. I think the 500mb pattern was good for a lot more than what we saw.If it wasn’t for 13” of snow I have a feeling this would be just like every snow event of last season where we would get snow but the cold air would take sooo long to filter in that it would all melt before going below freezing. I have lost about 4” due to the slower than a slug cold air today. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2018 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 It really is impressive... I did not expect it to be that strong. Score one for Jim.Definitely. The initial wind shift is staying intact with this pretty well. Even Chehalis was gusting to around 25 mph. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Leaving my driveway this morning.Full sun now and 32.9. Still a little drippy out and probably down to 8” of snow. Hopefully it will be awhile before we have to hear you complain about drizzle again. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Hopefully it will be awhile before we have to hear you complain about drizzle again. This does not excuse the weeks on end of drizzle that Randy and I experienced. We will still complain again when it gets out of hand. One has nothing to do with the other. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Been bouncing between either side of 40 degrees with sun all morning. Now sitting at 39 with a light north wind. Really hoping we can score out of this later this week. What a let down today has been (for my area)...I thought for sure at least an inch would be on the ground. Hope this midweek system can score. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Leaving my driveway this morning.Full sun now and 32.9. Still a little drippy out and probably down to 8” of snow.I can't believe you went 6 years without any significant snowfall.. Just hard to fathom with how well you do in so many situations. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 This is the strongest the winds have blown over here since November 2010. Just had a 41mph gust. From an upper level perspective this is probably the coldest setup since then. Certainly the most north wind prone setup. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 If it wasn’t for 13” of snow I have a feeling this would be just like every snow event of last season where we would get snow but the cold air would take sooo long to filter in that it would all melt before going below freezing. I have lost about 4” due to the slower than a slug cold air today. Once it freezes up you will be set for the week. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2018 Report Share Posted February 18, 2018 This does not excuse the weeks on end of drizzle that Randy and I experienced. We will still complain again when it gets out of hand. One has nothing to do with the other. I honestly never doubted it for a minute. Something tells me this summer might feature more in the way of horrifying normalcy than the last five. Should be good proving grounds. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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