Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Keeps getting extended. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Well, I violated my own rule about engaging with trolls, and have suffered the consequences. Maybe if no one engaged with the troll, the troll would go away? I am not trolling. Everything stated is just a fact. Andrew said its hard to believe a dry spell is coming... I said that I would be surprised if a dry spell did not come about now considering how wet its been. Nature seems to agree with me... so there is that. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Well, I violated my own rule about engaging with trolls, and have suffered the consequences. Maybe if no one engaged with the troll, the troll would go away?He’s not going anywhere, but there would probably be less in the way of pointless debates. Of course, there is still Flatiron. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 He’s not going anywhere, but there would probably be less in the way of pointless debates. Of course, there is still Flatiron. Flatiron gets a bad rap. He is nothing like Tim. Tim has always been one of my favorite posters on here. But the past few months he has been stuck on repeat. Posting variations of the same paragraph about 100X per day. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Flatiron gets a bad rap. He is nothing like Tim. Tim has always been one of my favorite posters on here. But the past few months he has been stuck on repeat. Posting variations of the same paragraph about 100X per day. I think his point was that Jared likes to challenge data presented by anyone. And he challenges me as well which is fine. I am just providing some perspective today about why a dry spell has become very likely for much of western WA. Unfortunately... a dry spell for western WA usually means a dry spell for OR as well. I am not sure how to reconcile that reality.... because we are due for a break now. 2018 continues to plug along just about normal or wetter than normal in some places up here (even SEA is only about 1 inch below normal for the year) and the wet and dry spells seem to be following a typical pattern. For some reason... OR is not included this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Ridge is another notch west for the weekend on the 12Z ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Flatiron gets a bad rap. He is nothing like Tim. Tim has always been one of my favorite posters on here. But the past few months he has been stuck on repeat. Posting variations of the same paragraph about 100X per day.Sure, very different posters but often the same net result. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I have this silly hope that maybe the slight westward trend of the ridge in the mid range will eventually spell some big changes in the long range, and we can avoid a 10-14 day death ridge. Probably won’t get that lucky , though. We have seen that play out recently... could still happen. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Ridge is notch westward even on Tuesday per the 12Z ECMWF. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Ridge is notch westward even on Tuesday per the 12Z ECMWF.Will it make it warmer or more foggy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Been very wet here since the second week of September. Picked up another half inch or so just last night. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Will it make it warmer or more foggy A little cooler... probably more ventilation and offshore flow so less fog. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 OMG! Tim! Am I right? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Nice day. Sunny skies and a north wind. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Ridge moves over us in earnest by next Wednesday. I do like seeing this getting postponed a bit, but really it’s probably just postponing the inevitable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Nice day. Sunny skies and a north wind. Jealous! Still drizzling here but its getting brighter. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 It's not easy getting to 30,000 posts. I did a study. Here's how it breaks out: Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Pleasant 65F with a few clouds and maybe a light shower occurring in the coast range (Laurel Mtn & Mary's Peak) but that's taking all the moisture left. Should be cloudless in the next 24 hours. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Ridge moves over us in earnest by next Wednesday. I do like seeing this getting postponed a bit, but really it’s probably just postponing the inevitable. The ridge moving off to the east (as opposed to retrogression) is likely a much wetter scenario. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I suspect this episode of ridging will break down just in time to see our typical January +PNA rebound. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Keeps getting extended. FC0D0A24-FAB2-4513-856E-F7AA8CAFA7BD.pngWelcome to my life since May 1st. The weather has been stuck on repeat, much like Tim. It’s about time things change..whatever that means. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I suspect this episode of ridging will break down just in time to see our typical January +PNA rebound.I always imagine someone from the Red Green Show narrating your posts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Yeah, hard to say at this point. Will be close.Few things are more dangerous than a hurricane rapidly developing over the Gulf of Mexico. Michael could end up being a very big deal.The 12z EURO has Michael making a direct landfall at Panama City right around sunset tomorrow. The time of day couldn't be any worse. Gonna be a long night until the sun rises on Thursday. This is going to be one for the ages. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Pleasant 65F with a few clouds and maybe a light shower occurring in the coast range (Laurel Mtn & Mary's Peak) but that's taking all the moisture left. Should be cloudless in the next 24 hours. Sunny trying to poke through the low clouds here now... only 54. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Welcome to my life since May 1st. The weather has been stuck on repeat, much like Tim. It’s about time things change..whatever that means.Probably more ridging for us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 The 12z EURO has Michael making a direct landfall at Panama City right around sunset tomorrow. The time of day couldn't be any worse. Gonna be a long night until the sun rises on Thursday. This is going to be one for the ages. "Michael" will likely be retired. Amazing how fast this evolved. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I suspect this episode of ridging will break down just in time to see our typical January +PNA rebound.Cold in early November. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Cold in early November.Classic for warm ENSO. Of course we also had cold in early November last year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 The best (worst) part of it is that the news outlets aren't fear-mongering it this time, so people will assume it's no big deal. This is going to be very bad, and Panama City Strong will become a thing. Gonna be surreal to see one of the biggest party towns in the USA get ripped to shreds. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 I always imagine someone from the Red Green Show narrating your posts.Classic. Great duct tape sales resulted from that show. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Classic for warm ENSO. Of course we also had cold in early November last year. Meh, Eugene/Springfield was cool but nothing interesting. So when you say we, it must refer to areas north of PDX? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Meh, Eugene/Springfield was cool but nothing interesting. So when you say we, it must refer to areas north of PDX? We need to switch locations! We had lots of snow up here in early November last year. Bellingham had like 5 inches. This was on 11/6/17 here: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 The great above freezing snowstorm of 2017. ️ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 We need to switch locations! We had lots of snow up here in early November last year. Bellingham had like 5 inches. This was on 11/6/17 here: Not a surprise. Nov. event's are usually Washington-based. Dec 2013 is the opposite sort of thing. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 The great above freezing snowstorm of 2017. ️ To his defense, it does happen. Just happened here last week with similar snowfall amounts and temps mainly in the 32.6F-33.6F range. Just need high enough precip rates. 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 To his defense, it does happen. Just happened here last week with similar snowfall amounts and temps mainly in the 32.6F-33.6F range. Just need high enough precip rates.But does it stick around for a week afterwards? We have a hard time maintaining snowcover with temps in the single digits, let alone 35*F. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Monroe, the Golden GOD of W. Wa stations hit 26 during that cold snap, and they are 1000' lower than Tim. Conveniently Snoqualmie falls just keeps precip and snowfall data. https://climate.usu.edu/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USC00455525&year=2017&month=11&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 The 12z EPS is insistent on keeping the ridge over us through day 10. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 9, 2018 Report Share Posted October 9, 2018 Taking advantage of this nice weather to catch some fish on my lunch break! 7 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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