October 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MossMan]

Raining hard enough now that we have lost the DirectTV signal. <_>

 

When this happens with snow... we use a modified light bulb changer pole with a towel taped around the end of it to brush off the satellite dish.

 

With rain you just wait it out.

Dumping buckets here now as well. Looking forward to the upcoming break.

[ShawniganLake]

But I wasn’t speeding or driving like an asshat. I was going under the limit, and the left lane is the passing lane. Plus, I know that stretch of highway like the back of my hand. I’ve driven it almost every day for a decade, in all kinds of weather.

 

And lol, that’s why you carry.

I live in Canada, nobody carries.

[TT-SEA]

I live in Canada, nobody carries.

I like some things about Canada.

 

But what percentage of your income goes to pay taxes?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Pleasant 56F. Sitting at .5" since mid-June. Shadowed from the precip for most of this weekend event so we picked up a few hundredths from it.

[ShawniganLake]

I like some things about Canada.

 

But what percentage of your income goes to pay taxes?

It really depends how much you make. For me, self employed, personal income tax is around 30%. But by the time you pay all the other taxes on things you buy it’s closer to 50%. But then because of our income level, and we have a young child, we get almost $500 a month back. And soon likely another $300 a month towards daycare. So it gets pretty muddy trying to figure it out.

 

Tax freedom day in Canada is June 10th and in the USA it’s April 24th.

 

It’s probably worse if you’re higher income. I had a customer that worked in the USA and made a huge salary and he always said he would never work in Canada, primarily due to income tax.

[TT-SEA]

Pleasant 56F. Sitting at .5" since mid-June. Shadowed from the precip for most of this weekend event so we picked up a few hundredths from it.

Getting ridiculous there. 

 

Redding is over .50 just for October.   Stockton is at 1.28 for October.   My sister in San Diego said they had .75 just over the weekend at her house.

 

We have had .80 just since midnight down in the Snoqualmie Valley. Over 3 inches on the month down there and almost 5 inches up here.

 

Even droughty Portland has had 6 times as much as you since June!

[Esquimalt]

No rain up here or anywhere south of here on the 06Z.

[Esquimalt]

The 6Z NAM is now showing Michael making impact at 893 mb on the gulf coast. It would appear that as modelled the hurricane will be extremely organized

[Jesse]

First week was a little rocky. But going forward, my blowtorch October call is looking pretty good.

[ShawniganLake]

Clear skies and 43F this morning

[Omegaraptor]

Cloudy and 54 this morning. Nighttime lows should drop a bit with this streak of sun.

 

I think the first frost will come in late November.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Significant rain falling across E. Oregon this morning.

 

Over 1/2" at Pendleton. 1.65" at Meacham in the past 10 hours.

[Blizzard777]

Although I don’t really do much documentation of weather events anymore I did scribble down in my bill paying budget book a note...last year 10/19 was our first wind storm. We had 1.25 inches of rain and gust up to the standard 45mph. That’s the day my pumps under the house turned on for the season as well.

 

Yard is and ugly muddy mess today with landscapers still going at it.

Some breezy North winds blowing again. Hoping that becomes the trend of the season

[TT-SEA]

Significant rain falling across E. Oregon this morning.

 

Over 1/2" at Pendleton. 1.65" at Meacham in the past 10 hours.

 

 

Redding and San Diego and Pendleton can get significant rain... but somehow it never rains in Eugene and Springfield.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hard to believe we are about to head back into a very dry pattern. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Redding and San Diego and Pendleton can get significant rain... but somehow it never rains in Eugene and Springfield.

Yup, the stretch west of I-5 from about Dallas down to Eugene/Springfield has seen pretty much the least amount of rain in the entire nation over the past 4 months.

[TT-SEA]

Hard to believe we are about to head back into a very dry pattern.

Seems inevitable up here.   It's been very wet over the last month as you know.

 

It seems very unlikely that we would not get a break.

 

Still raining here... well over an inch on the day.   And over 10 inches since the first week of September,    Well above normal.... with rain on 26 out of the last 33 days.  

[seattleweatherguy]

First power outage of the fall/winter season

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Seems inevitable up here.   It's been very wet over the last month as you know.

 

It seems very unlikely that we would not get a break.

 

Still raining here... well over an inch on the day.   And over 10 inches since the first week of September,    Well above normal.    With rain on 27 out of the last 33 days.  

 

I wonder if any station in W. Washington has seen over 5" of rain since September. lol

[James Jones]

Seems inevitable up here.   It's been very wet over the last month as you know.

 

It seems very unlikely that we would not get a break.

 

Still raining here... well over an inch on the day.   And over 10 inches since the first week of September,    Well above normal.... with rain on 26 out of the last 33 days.  

 

Jesus Christ Tim. Do you really have to make a post about the rain in your backyard every single time somebody makes a post about how dry it's been?

[TT-SEA]

Jesus Christ Tim. Do you really have to make a post about the rain in your backyard every single time somebody makes a post about how dry it's been?

 

Its just a fact.     And Andrew was talking about a regional dry period.     It usually takes a regional dry spell for it to be dry here.   

 

Its been so anomalously wet up here for the last month that anything other than a dry spell would be surprising.    Just providing context.    Nature has been delivering unusually wet weather to parts of the PNW for over a month now.    

[TT-SEA]

I wonder if any station in W. Washington has seen over 5" of rain since September. lol

 

 

The station down in the valley here is well over 6 inches now in that time period.

 

Monroe (at only 128 feet) had 6.42 inches just for September... and is probably over 9 inches since the beginning of September.   

[Jesse]

Jesus Christ Tim. Do you really have to make a post about the rain in your backyard every single time somebody makes a post about how dry it's been?

Careful. You may get called a boob for calling out a boob for being a boob.

[TT-SEA]

Will have to wait for the precip anomaly maps to update through today... but they will show some really impressive wet anomalies for October and over the last month up here.

 

Here is the map for the last month through Sunday and it has rained plenty since then... almost 200% of normal in my normally wet area and over 2 inches since Sunday night here.    

 

Some areas might be over 300% of normal after it updates through today.    

 

 

[Jesse]

Just one butt ugly model run after another now. Reminds me of summer.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The station down in the valley here is well over 6 inches now in that time period.

 

Monroe (at only 128 feet) had 6.42 inches just for September... and is probably over 9 inches since the beginning of September.   

 

I would definitely question the legitimacy of that Monroe total. That would have been their 2nd wettest September on record dating back to 1929. 

[Jesse]

It's not easy getting to 30,000 posts.

 

I did a study. Here's how it breaks out:

 

This is gold.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Snoqualmie Falls posted a more believable 3.45", and that location averages significantly more precip than Monroe..

[TT-SEA]

I would definitely question the legitimacy of that Monroe total. That would have been their 2nd wettest September on record dating back to 1929. 

 

 

Its very real.   Jake lives up in that area and he reported as much or more rain in September.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Will have to wait for the precip anomaly maps to update through today... but they will show some really impressive wet anomalies for October and over the last month up here.

 

Here is the map for the last month through Sunday and it has rained plenty since then... almost 200% of normal in my normally wet area and over 2 inches since Sunday night here.

 

Some areas might be over 300% of normal after it updates through today.

 

 

Can we see Oregon's map? Out of posterity?

[TT-SEA]

Snoqualmie Falls posted a more believable 3.45", and that location averages significantly more precip than Monroe..

 

Monroe amount is 100% accurate.   That area was pounded even more than down here with the c-zone in September.   

 

I guarantee that Jake can back it up and he lives west of Monroe.  

 

Snoqualmie Falls also has 2 days missing from September... and has not updated for the inch of rain today.    So they are at about 6 inches for sure and probably more.    So yes... there are lowland stations over 5 inches since September.   

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Monroe amount is 100% accurate.   That area was pounded even more than down here with the c-zone in September.   

 

I guarantee that Jake can back it up and he lives west of Monroe.  

 

Snoqualmie Falls also has 2 days missing from September... and has not updated for the inch of rain today.    So they are at about 6 inches for sure and probably more.    So yes... there are lowland stations over 5 inches since September.   

 

Yes, I noticed the missing days, but they appear to be days not much rain fell on, at least not at the dubious Monroe station. 

 

Monroe looks like a nice area. 

[TT-SEA]

Yes, I noticed the missing days, but they appear to be days not much rain fell on, at least not at the dubious Monroe station. 

 

Monroe looks like a nice area. 

 

 

Trust me on this... we were tracking this in real time with Jake.    The Monroe amount for September is real.    And I think Jake had even more.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Trust me on this... we were tracking this in real time with Jake.    The Monroe amount for September is real.    And I think Jake had even more.  

 

Okay. 

[seattleweatherguy]

Power now back on.

[TT-SEA]

Here is a PNW-wide map for the last 120 days.  You can see how extremely sopping drenching dripping wet it has been everywhere west of the Cascades:

 

 

 

Yeah... did anyone say it was wetter than normal up here in June, July, and August?     Show me where that was stated?

 

June was around normal... July and August were way below normal (like everywhere else in the PNW)

 

September and October are running way above normal.

 

And the point about May and June was not that it was wetter than normal... but there was rain on 14 days each month up here and lots of cloudy days (this is normal of course) so we went into July about as lush green as it can be here.    Then we had 2 months of real summer... and its been raining since.    

[Jesse]

Does this really need to happen every day?

[Jesse]

Fortunately, we all know who to blame....

 

Everyone but Tim.

[TT-SEA]

My point is that a dry spell is very likely up here now since has been so wet for the last month. Maybe a week? Maybe 10 days? Its the normal ebb and flow of wet and dry periods up here.

 

For the millionth time... I am not saying its been wetter than normal since June. And I am not saying it has not been much worse in Oregon. It has been.

 

I am saying that if you lived here and watched it rain on the twice the normal number of days over the last month... and 200% of the normal rain in that time... it would be obvious that a dry spell is coming. Its makes sense.

 

And guess what... it is coming. Sorry that is so surprising down there. But to those of us living up here... it seems perfectly normal that we would now get a break.