October 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MossMan]

As long as it’s raining in western Snohomish county before 11am I will be happy.

Been raining for the last hour. No boat ride for you now.

[Jesse]

What a sight for sore eyes.

 

[TT-SEA]

Good info.

 

 

Warm for us after the next 7 days.

[Jesse]

[TT-SEA]

Been raining for the last hour. No boat ride for you now.

 

 

Do you have time tomorrow?   Should be a beautiful day up there.  

[Jesse]

Warm for us after the next 7 days.

Certainly feels like things could go that way.

 

Then again, just last week much of the first 10 days of October were looking warm and dry with 70s and 80s down here.

[Phil]

[FroYoBro]

46 and raining. 

[Phil]

But it’s also forecasting a warm winter over Greenland and NE-Canada with a -NAO at times.

 

Somehow I don’t think that will happen.

[Jesse]

46 and raining.

**** off.

[TT-SEA]

Very frontloaded but not dull.

 

December is the coldest month relative to average in the Northwest. November is unstable and amplified. Then it flips around the Holidays again. January is warm. February is a .

 

 

Good update... I thought you were saying the ECMWF weeklies were out.   The most recent version of that is warm for us after next week.   Which could set the stage for a colder November and December.    I love front-loaded winters.

 

Going to be a long 8 weeks of winter!   Then maybe daffodils in January and cherry blossoms a couple weeks later.   And maybe no crash in February this time around.        

[Deweydog]

Good update... I thought you were saying the ECMWF weeklies were out. The most recent version of that is warm for us after next week. Which could set the stage for a colder November and December. I love front-loaded winters.

 

Going to be a long 8 weeks of winter! Then maybe daffodils in January and cherry blossoms a couple weeks later. And maybe no crash in February this time around.

Jesse!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

CODE RED.

 

AND OTHER COLORS.

[Guest daniel1]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Mild and dry for Washington, pineapple expresses for Oregon. Sounds like the perfect recipe for a great ski season!

I'm not putting much stock into their forecast. Most of the time these long range forecast turn out being wrong.

[Phil]

The NATL Ferrel Cell/Hadley Cell descending branch has been migrating slowly poleward since 2013. Shows up well on the spatial SSTA charts.

 

[TT-SEA]

Jesse!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

CODE RED.

 

AND OTHER COLORS.

We are just 12 weeks away from the first signs of spring. These trees better lose their leaves soon!

[Deweydog]

The NATL Ferrel Cell/Hadley Cell descending branch has been migrating slowly poleward since 2013. Shows up well on the spatial SSTA charts.

 

Is this why Will Ferrell's movies have become so terrible?

[Geos]

Dipped to 41 before the clouds rolled in, now it's spitting rain drops and 46. 

Might see some flakes flying at Stevens Pass again today. Currently 34 with inbound moisture. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Phil]

[Jesse]

Since when does spring start on on New Years?

 

Why did you have to ask?

 

[Phil]

Why did you have to ask?

What can I say, I have an insatiable curiosity.

 

[TT-SEA]

Since when does spring start on on New Years?

 

And lol, it’s as green as July here still. Minus a few isolated bare trees that have succumbed to fungus, it might as well be summer. Not even the slightest hint of fall color.

 

 

This was last January... 

 

 

 

 

[Jesse]

What can I say, I have an insatiable curiosity.

Seeing how many times we can goad Tim into making the same posts again and again is indeed expanding the frontiers of science.

[Phil]

Is this why Will Ferrell's movies have become so terrible?

It’s a high-pressure business.

[Jesse]

Digging out the spank bank!

[Phil]

How far along is the fall foliage out there, relative to average?

 

I went for a run down the Potomac-C&O canal towpath earlier, and I saw maybe one yellow leaf. Just a wall of green. This is very bizarre.

[TT-SEA]

Watching the Supreme Court protests and the trees look really green in the background.    I was thinking yesterday that it still looks like summer in DC.  

[Jesse]

How far along is the fall foliage out there, relative to average?

 

I went for a run down the Potomac-C&O canal towpath earlier, and I saw maybe one yellow leaf. Just a wall of green. This is very bizarre.

Shaping up to be a decent year. Things seem a little ahead of schedule at the moment. There are a lot of deciduous trees dying from the drought which is throwing things off a bit, though.

[TT-SEA]

How far along is the fall foliage out there, relative to average?

 

I went for a run down the Potomac-C&O canal towpath earlier, and I saw maybe one yellow leaf. Just a wall of green. This is very bizarre.

 

Probably way ahead in Oregon due to drought.

 

Up here... its still pretty green.   Probably on schedule here for a late October peak.  

 

This was from Wednesday here...

 

[Jesse]

A few pics from the Salmon Creek area of Vancouver earlier this week. Colors coming along nicely.

 

 

[Phil]

A few pics from the Salmon Creek area of Vancouver earlier this week. Colors coming along nicely.

 

485D81DB-9442-4269-8E4B-A3B722D36932.jpeg

 

674C0F19-3EE1-4FE1-AE9C-F4C0B89C102D.jpeg

Nice shots. Looks like beautiful weather.

[TT-SEA]

The early spring last year was bittersweet though since the cold in the second half of February through the first few days of April really stopped everything in its tracks and it felt like we actually went backwards.

 

The timing of the full leaf out ended up being about normal or maybe a little late due to the cold and snow in late winter and early spring. 

 

In 2015 and 2016... we had very early signs of spring and then it all progressed quickly from there.     Early April of 2016 looked like mid summer here.     That was probably a record for early spring here... don't expect that again but maybe we will have some muted version of that in 2019.  

[TT-SEA]

A few pics from the Salmon Creek area of Vancouver earlier this week. Colors coming along nicely.

 

485D81DB-9442-4269-8E4B-A3B722D36932.jpeg

 

674C0F19-3EE1-4FE1-AE9C-F4C0B89C102D.jpeg

 

 

Looks like total devastation.   What an ugly scene.   Are there any trees still alive down there??  

[Jesse]

Probably a record number of winky’s on this page so far.

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS and 12Z ICON look even drier on Monday and Tuesday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We are being blessed with light rain today. I will be thankful.

[Timmy]

I’m sick of the rain

[liquidsnow]

Any chilly frosty mornings on the horizon?

[TT-SEA]

Any chilly frosty mornings on the horizon?

 

Next week looks ripe with potential for that.