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PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)


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Big uptick for the Hood Canal on Friday night and Saturday on the 18Z GFS compared to its 12Z run.

gfs-deterministic-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-7974400 (1).png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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That hood canal snow event is a pretty cool looking setup.  Dumping snow there and nearly dry on the opposite side of the sound. 
 

18z upped the snow chances quite a bit for my area over the next few days. 

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28 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Wow. I wish.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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11 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

That hood canal snow event is a pretty cool looking setup.  Dumping snow there and nearly dry on the opposite side of the sound. 
 

18z upped the snow chances quite a bit for my area over the next few days. 

The set up doesn't happen to often but when it does and just right it can be some of our biggest events,

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

What is your depth in the shade? 25 inches?

Not much shade up there! 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Lol wow someone took that post down. This place is stupid sometimes. 

Love him or hate him, nobody is more accommodating when it comes to posting weatherbell maps on request. 

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Not much shade up there! 

Most of the property is on north facing slopes so it gets really hard to get any meaningful sun between November and February. But about now it just gets spectacular and really hard for any snow or ice to stick around. On the most shaded parts near the house it’s at least two feet. 

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7 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Love him or hate him, nobody is more accommodating when it comes to posting weatherbell maps on request. 

Helps to basically be logged in and posting 24/7. Not doable for many.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Love him or hate him, nobody is more accommodating when it comes to posting weatherbell maps on request. 

Its the same two people.   Always.   I am just going to respond with love now.     🥰

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its the same two people.   Always.   I am just going to respond with love now.     🥰

Oh it is way more than 2, there's only 2 of us that aren't afraid to say something.  Be blessed Timothy.

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13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

North wind is whipping!! 

That must be enhancing the c-zone to my north over northern King County.   Eventually the SW wind pushes it up to you tonight.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, GHweatherChris said:

Oh it is way more than 2, there's only 2 of us that aren't afraid to say something.  Be blessed Timothy.

🤣

Love ya Chris.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its the same two people.   Always.   I am just going to respond with love now.     🥰

Not sure what is going on but that sounds like a good plan! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Crazy weather in Kelowna, went indoors to talk to a friend around 12:45 it was Sunny and 45F, came outside at 1:30 and the skies were dark felt like 35F, as I began walking this crazy gust of wind came and everyone ran into the library and then it started hailing. It was so heavy and only lasted less than a minute. I then continued my walk to my dorm and it started snowing. At this point I was fascinated by what was going on so I called my mom lol. Another large gust of wind and then thunder. You could see to the East it was clear skies and straight above it was dark. The clouds were moving very fast and behind them to the West I could see a clearing again. I'm not sure exactly what it was but it got everyone taking photos and calling friends. It is now sunny again.

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Hood canal through the sw interior should have a winter storm watch posted. This might be the biggest event for snow totals the canal has had this winter. This type of pattern can dump 1-2 feet of snow if the moisture is available and the upslope is strong. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

What ratio is this map? Water to snow 

Here you go... time for some math.

gfs-deterministic-washington-precip_24hr_inch-7974400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Next Tuesday night looking interesting for foothills snow. We ll have to wait and see. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Next Tuesday night looking interesting for foothills snow. We ll have to wait and see. 

Be nice to see you get at least a little something out of this progression.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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5 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Getting some positive splats!

ECMWF actually showed some accumulating snow in your area and westward back to Lynnwood through 6 p.m. this evening.    And that same area eventually migrates up to Randy later tonight. 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_6hr-7808800 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF actually showed some accumulating snow in your area and westward back to Lynnwood through 6 p.m. this evening.    And that same area eventually migrates up to Randy later tonight. 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_6hr-7808800 (1).png

Don’t think it’s going to snow but I’m getting. A nice hailstorm right now!

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2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 4

Number of 85+ days - 3

Number of 90+ days - 1

Number of 95+ days - 0

 

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Nws forecast for hood canal Friday night. Lows in the 30's, southeast wind to 30mph, snow level 1000ft and no accumulations.  WRONG AGAIN!!!! I would bet there lead forecaster  there will be moderate to heavy snow accumulations out there down to near sea level. I'm thinking there will be snow falling a bunch of other areas as well in the lowlands.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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