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PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)


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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Also shows decent snowfall for the South Sound Friday night into Saturday morning.  

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-7952800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Picked up about 0.5" yesterday out near the water which bumped me to exactly 10" on the winter. Looks like I may have one last realistic chance for snow Thursday into Friday. The elevation/inland gradient looks pretty steep so I'm not expecting much. Kind of sad that the Euro which was predicting upwards of 20" here as recently as yesterday probably won't verify with more than an inch. So so happy we had the 6" dump in December otherwise this winter would have been a winter of missed opportunities.

I ended up having 9 freezes in February which isn't too shabby, but was surprisingly fewer than SEA which picked up 12! It's not too frequently that SEA has more than me. Only dropped to 28F last night (30F this morning) which was warmer than I expected.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 7.3"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75"

2022-23: 10" (12/18: 0.75", 12/19: 2.5", 12/20: 6", 1/31: 0.25", 2/28: 0.5"; Trace: 11/7, 12/2, 12/21; Flakes: 11/29, 11/30, 12/1, 2/26)

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Welcome to March! It’s currently 29.5 degrees and snowing. 

C27546D8-36A6-4D9E-BE11-87026BC33E54.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Welcome to March! It’s currently 29.5 degrees and snowing. 

C27546D8-36A6-4D9E-BE11-87026BC33E54.jpeg

OK... that is ridiculous.    Its crystal clear here and I assumed it was clear everywhere this morning.   But somehow its snowing at your house.    🤣

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Watching the radar loop it appears the snow up there is essentially a weak warm front ahead of the incoming system.    The flow was briefly from the north yesterday afternoon and evening and is now in the process of switching to southerly.    The ECMWF shows it actually gets quite windy this afternoon.    I was thinking today was still northerly flow... but the next front is coming in fast.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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29 and cloudy. Never cleared last night. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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SLE finished February with a -3.8 departure. Solid.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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19 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I was a bit surprised myself lol! Not sure if I have ever seen pure 20’s powder in March before! It’s coming down pretty good here at work as well! 

5F33790C-4287-4B8D-BFDE-58283902FE82.jpeg

8A897686-8BBA-4680-9C5B-0AFCB1E13DEF.jpeg

That top pic looks like it's straight out of rural Minnesota with that lightly drifting snow on the road and existing snow cover on the ground and what looks like a barn in the distance.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Skies have cleared now, temp taking a bit of a dip as a result, which will be nice for the stat book. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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My daughter is now on her 6th straight snow day at school. 

7E78EF95-932C-4947-95BD-ABBC94876406.jpeg

77B5A994-E9CA-4B62-9A0C-A81CC0B22F41.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I’m not buying these snowy south sound runs. It either won’t happen at all and rubus and randy score instead 😂

 in other news…got a 2 for 1 freeze last night. Finished yesterday 44/30 and a low of 27 this morning. 

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2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-5

+85s-3

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My daughter is now on her 6th straight snow day at school. 

7E78EF95-932C-4947-95BD-ABBC94876406.jpeg

77B5A994-E9CA-4B62-9A0C-A81CC0B22F41.jpeg

Man I'm jelly. That is perfect.  I just didn't stay cold enough for my snow to keep adding up. Still have a few inches though with more on the way. I'd love to find some land near me at around 1000ft. I missed out on a chunk up on green mountain that was for sale right on the edge of the state forest.  It was 1200 ft and would of been a snow paradise. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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48 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Yeah. Sure. 

6489C733-CCAF-4205-91A3-4C6918DF7EFC.jpeg

It has been really nice to detach this year from the model runs and not putting a lot of stock in them.  The emotional battle is real when you live by these maps….lol!  Sounds like most of us South Sounders understand the difficulties of us getting snow events here as well. It’s been pretty exciting though being stuck in this prolonged cold pattern where possibilities of the white stuff is achievable ❄️ 

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Totally sunny here this morning.   

I have noticed that the GFS and GEM keep most of the precip to the south and west of the Seattle area on Friday night and Saturday morning.    The ECMWF has been trending a little drier for King County as well.    It would make sense since the flow is offshore at that time.  

gfs-deterministic-washington-precip_12hr_inch-7960000.png

gfs-deterministic-washington-snow_12hr-7942000.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

Second member of the South Sound flaring off with the F-word 😂 

Lol, I’m just joking…it’s not like I was totally skunked either this week. I guess there’s a chance on Friday night potentially. Temps around 33-35 so it could happen based on what’s shown on the euro but then again the models were on board yesterday morning…

2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-5

+85s-3

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Lol, I’m just joking…it’s not like I was totally skunked either this week. I guess there’s a chance on Friday night potentially. Temps around 33-35 so it could happen based on what’s shown on the euro but then again the models were on board yesterday morning…

Lol, I know you were….you made me spit coffee

I’m heading up north this weekend to Ferndale Wa. We shall see what happens.  The ex wife scored big time with this last event and had to rub it in…how sad for me 🤣

E27599B0-D203-4ED1-BBD3-BD3596BA3CA3.jpeg

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Just now, Doinko said:

Icy roads, looks like many school districts are on a 2 hr delay

Had some freezing fog here this morning as well. It is March right?

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2023 warm season stats

Max temp-89

+80s-5

+85s-3

+90s-0

monthly rainfall-0.00”

warm season rainfall-4.42”

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Well we cleared out around 7a and ended up hitting a respectable 26.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

Huge moment for me today as we are 7 hours into the March thread  “I’m a top poster!”.  Just wanted to boast for a moment before I fade away 😊

32*

722316CD-1B26-45FB-938D-1CB5AC21DAB2.jpeg

I tried to give you an Excited react but apparently my thumb is too fat. So I got you a medal instead. 

14CE368C-4343-421F-B64D-6459D546C27D.jpeg

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33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Totally sunny here this morning.   

I have noticed that the GFS and GEM keep most of the precip to the south and west of the Seattle area on Friday night and Saturday morning.    The ECMWF has been trending a little drier for King County as well.    It would make sense since the flow is offshore at that time.  

gfs-deterministic-washington-precip_12hr_inch-7960000.png

gfs-deterministic-washington-snow_12hr-7942000.png

Really backing off on totals right now but that can change again, it will be a fine line and if the placement is correct this has the potential to be the biggest snow event of the year at my place. These lows feeding moisture and some upslope flow is money.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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