February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[seattleweatherguy]

Wow still no advisory for my area

[Esquimalt]

Total snow per the 12Z ECMWF through next Tuesday morning... insanity.

 

Why is victoria in the screw zone?

[TT-SEA]

Totals still going up... total snow for the run. 

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Totals still going up... total snow for the run. 

 

[BLI snowman]

Wow Abbotsford down to 21. 6 degree drop in 2 hrs.

 

12z GFS didn't show them getting that cold until about 7pm. Definitely an encouraging sign that the low level outflow is pretty cold with this.

[Jbolin]

Total snow per the 12Z ECMWF through next Tuesday morning... insanity.

 

That's just comical at best, given the EPS and no discernible warm-up this coming week, this might not be too far fetched.

[BLI snowman]

What’s a bit different about these frozen precip events is that the fees are perfect for wet bulb cooling and the columns generally support it to. So it is more likely we are going to see a couple weeks with scattered snow days than 33 and rain.

 

Yeah, snow level does not look to rise above maybe 750' any time soon. 

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Shot up from 37 to 40 within the past half hour. Hope it stops there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I wanted to mention I noticed the same thing on the EURO temp maps as Jim did. They seemed a bit warmer than one would expect in the situation for some areas. I have a hard time PDX would hit 40 on Friday if that pattern verified. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Shot up from 37 to 40 within the past half hour. Hope it stops there.

 

Honestly your temp in the next few hours is not that important in relation to sticking snow tonight. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Nothing would be better for my mental health that us getting more snow than Philly this season and having it on the ground one way or another for a week or so.

Most Mets had the PNW getting the least amount of snow compared to normal. Would be great to see them all scratching their heads as we keep getting pounded with snow all through the month.

[TT-SEA]

Shot up from 37 to 40 within the past half hour. Hope it stops there.

 

 

100% irrelevant. 

 

Does not matter if it gets up to 50 in the next couple hours.   

[Rufftuff]

I have moderate grauple falling here in Surrey BC. I though grauplewas a transitionary precipitation... what’s up with that? And it’s 27 degrees

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Honestly your temp in the next few hours is not that important in relation to sticking snow tonight. 

 

 

100% irrelevant. 

 

Does not matter if it gets up to 50 in the next couple hours.   

 

Yes guys, I know. I was talking more from a statistical high temp for the day point of view. It would have been nice to not hit 40 today but 40 itself is better than low 40s.

[TT-SEA]

This is complete insanity.

 

December 2008 will replaced by February 2019 in all of our references now.    

 

This could be right up with there with any historical event. 

[Requiem]

Mark Nelsen will make an update at noon. I'm intrigued, though I know he'll continue to say a dusting to an inch (most models are saying that for this area, to my knowledge).

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Never doubt the EPS when its unbelievably consistent with a strong signal.

 

Yeah, just amazing consistency that it's been showing for quite some time now.

[Meatyorologist]

Total snow per the 12Z ECMWF through next Tuesday morning... insanity.

 

lol

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yes guys, I know. I was talking more from a statistical high temp for the day point of view. It would have been nice to not hit 40 today but 40 itself is better than low 40s.

 

Yeah I get it. I was sweating bullets last night waiting for my temp to hit 39 before midnight. 

[Requiem]

This is complete insanity.

 

December 2008 will replaced by February 2019 in all of our references now.    

 

This is right up with there with any historical event. 

 

Don't get carried away, the curse of January 2011 comes to mind.

[Timmy]

This is complete insanity.

 

December 2008 will replaced by February 2019 in all of our references now.

 

This could be right up with there with any historical event.

Lol let’s talk in two weeks before we replace that event with this one.

[dairyd]

When that surface low center gets over the North Central Oregon the flood gates will open as that features pulls cold air from the north while the high pressure to the north pushes it.  I don't think it will get to Nov 2010 or Dec 1990 levels though.

 

euro has 1050 high forecast for 8-9 Feb to traverse alberta/BC.  IDK if I've seen it that high (usually 1040's).  GEM is above that.  This may be a generational storm for outflow if that verifies with its accompanying slider. :o

[TT-SEA]

Don't get carried away, the curse of January 2011 comes to mind.

 

 

This is so different.    The EPS is the key.    

[Frontal Snowsquall]

This is complete insanity.

 

December 2008 will replaced by February 2019 in all of our references now.    

 

This could be right up with there with any historical event.

 

December 2008 was historical so I hope you're right on that!

[TT-SEA]

Partly sunny here now.   Going to get gas for the snowblower.  

[Farmboy]

Most Mets had the PNW getting the least amount of snow compared to normal. Would be great to see them all scratching their heads as we keep getting pounded with snow all through the month.

Just a few days ago katu ran a story talking about how above average spring was looking, and in that story I believe they said no cold air was likely any time soon meaning February... What a bunch of douches.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

lol

Do you think that can't happen?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is complete insanity.

 

December 2008 will replaced by February 2019 in all of our references now.    

 

This could be right up with there with any historical event. 

 

I am very uncomfortable making statements like that so early in the game. Maybe if people do well early this week and then there is a 2nd event late in the week we can start to talk about it. But right now it is all hypothetical. 

 

What you are doing, likely intentionally, is building up expectations. 1) Because you think and hope it will happen. 2) Because if it doesn't a nice consolation will be everyone freaking out. 

 

I know you will deny this, but its all good. This isn't an attack either, I think you are very clever. 

[Requiem]

This is so different.    The EPS is the key.    

 

Concerned only for the fact that no major setup for Gorge outflow is shown. Unless this cold is powerful enough to give the Valley snow without any sort of cold pool.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Mark Nelsen will make an update at noon. I'm intrigued, though I know he'll continue to say a dusting to an inch (most models are saying that for this area, to my knowledge).

I'm just so enamored by the medium to long range that he could say only a dusting for this first round and I wouldn't feel bad. Lots of cold and snow opportunities coming up!

[Timmy]

I am very uncomfortable making statements like that so early in the game. Maybe if people do well early this week and then there is a 2nd event late in the week we can start to talk about it. But right now it is all hypothetical.

 

What you are doing, likely intentionally, is building up expectations. 1) Because you think and hope it will happen. 2) Because if it doesn't a nice consolation will be everyone freaking out.

 

I know you will deny this, but you its all good. This isn't an attack either, I think you are very clever.

he is either high, or playing a game

[seattleweatherguy]

Getting drizzle with flakes mixed, in downtown Everett.

what's your temp? And thanks fred for giving us a place to talk about weather

[MossMan]

Snow has slowed a bit, probably nearing 2”. Current view from my kitchen window as I eat breakfast.

[Requiem]

And the wind is kicking up.

 

Jealous!

[snow_wizard]

It will be interesting to see if SEA is able to top the 13 inches in Feb 1949 for the monthly record snowfall.  There have been much snowier Febs before that though.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Jesus christ he's posting maps. Who gives a ***. And if it dont happen who gives a ***.

[TT-SEA]

I am very uncomfortable making statements like that so early in the game. Maybe if people do well early this week and then there is a 2nd event late in the week we can start to talk about it. But right now it is all hypothetical. 

 

What you are doing, likely intentionally, is building up expectations. 1) Because you think and hope it will happen. 2) Because if it doesn't a nice consolation will be everyone freaking out. 

 

I know you will deny this, but you its all good. This isn't an attack either, I think you are very clever. 

 

 

I am 100% blown away by the ECMWF and I know it has full support of the EPS. 

 

I don't care what you believe about my intentions... I am absolutely geeking out at the thought of 2 feet of snow here over the next 10 days and almost no melting in between.    Its hard to comprehend.     And I am almost sure something close to that will happen.  

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Looking nice up at Rathtrevor Beach. Still 33F here with the odd flake mixed in but this is under W/SW flow. The outflow seems to be stalled at Ferndale; without support from the outflow this area is probably screwed in terms of getting precipitation today. Cold onshore flow tends to kill showers here, although it might be better for the CZ.

 

http://webcam.beachacresresort.com/webcam/current.jpg

[snow_wizard]

Concerned only for the fact that no major setup for Gorge outflow is shown. Unless this cold is powerful enough to give the Valley snow without any sort of cold pool.

 

150 blocks are always marked by Fraser outflow instead of cold driving in from the east.  That is why Seattle does so well with them.  East winds don't work out really good up here.  Your area can do very well without Gorge outflow.

[Geos]

Total snow through 10 a.m. tomorrow... King County is a huge winner. 

 

Sweet. In Everett now with a cold rain at 36°. Marysville looks like snow now.