2/4 - 2/8: Multiple Potential Rain/Ice/Snow Events

[St Paul Storm]

12z Euro...some of that in IA is mixed precip...the Euro does swing through a decent band of snow across IA as it goes neg tilt on Thursday across W IL/S WI.

Pretty good consensus among the globals. Man that’s a pretty map. Wow. Thanks for posting Tom.

[gosaints]

Cant decide if I am gonna take a drive or take my chances here.  Might head towards red wing/lake city for the afternoon...

[Tom]

Pretty good consensus among the globals. Man that’s a pretty map. Wow. Thanks for posting Tom.

You got it buddy!

[Madtown]

12z Euro...some of that in IA is mixed precip...the Euro does swing through a decent band of snow across IA as it goes neg tilt on Thursday across W IL/S WI.

Wow this looks freaking awesome up there!

[East Dubzz]

I’m seeing some yellow on the radar is eastern Iowa.

[Tom]

Wonder why Money has been so darn quiet....seems pretty hypocritical when he spoke out during the last storm and called out IA/IL posters for not posting maps....

[Tom]

Wow this looks freaking awesome up there!

On the verge of reeling in the biggest storm of the season up that way...go get 'em!

[St Paul Storm]

Cant decide if I am gonna take a drive or take my chances here.  Might head towards red wing/lake city for the afternoon...

Red Wing is a good call I think. From there north to the southern metro is gonna rake. Liking the radar trends still.

[Tony]

Minnesota, N. Iowa and WI really looking good on the Euro with all of these waves. Going to stack up really nice for you guys so congrats. This should help secure the cold sector for our sub forum for the next set of snow storms the following week.

[Tom]

Minnesota, N. Iowa and WI really looking good on the Euro with all of these waves. Going to stack up really nice for you guys so congrats. This should help secure the cold sector for our sub forum for the next set of snow storms the following week.

Agree....I'm fairly impressed with the overall "look" at this point for next week...

[East Dubzz]

Minnesota, N. Iowa and WI really looking good on the Euro with all of these waves. Going to stack up really nice for you guys so congrats. This should help secure the cold sector for our sub forum for the next set of snow storms the following week.

Or that snow sets up a sharp temp gradient that the storms ride, bringing us rain and warm weather

[gosaints]

Red Wing is a good call I think. From there north to the southern metro is gonna rake. Liking the radar trends still.

You are in a good spot. 

[Tony]

Or that snow sets up a sharp temp gradient that the storms ride, bringing us rain and warm weather

Man I hope not but definitely something to consider

[Money]

How’s the ice on the euro?

[james1976]

2nd wave of green and yellow moving in. Not a single flake or sprinkle or ice pellet yet. I love low level dry air.

[East Dubzz]

How’s the ice on the euro?

Can’t post a map right now, but it’s not as bad as the 00z run.

[gosaints]

Forecast offices are busy..  In reality watches should be posted for tomorrow night this afternoon.  

 

I am out.  Heading north

[james1976]

Finally saturated. Sleeting now

[BMT]

raining here on the South side of Cedar Rapids.  

[gosaints]

Finally saturated. Sleeting now

Dry air an issue here as well.  Was well modeled

[St Paul Storm]

Forecast offices are busy..  In reality watches should be posted for tomorrow night this afternoon.  

 

I am out.  Heading north

I was just thinking about the headlines for the next storm. I think they’ll be out with the afternoon package. Maybe they wanted to wait to not cause confusion with the current headlines.

 

Good luck with the chase. Snowing here but nothing crazy at the moment. Steady though.

[gosaints]

Just into wabasha county gonna wait to see where this fronto converges.  

 

 

Another note on the next system.... Some pretty decent wind signals

[Stormy]

Freezing rain and sleet here in the last 30 minutes or so. Even heard a distant rumble of thunder and a lightning map does show strikes approximately 20-30 miles south of here.

Kinda crazy considering it's only 23°!

[snowstorm83]

Big fat flakes falling. Light dusting now.

[gosaints]

Oh my...

 

Mesoscale discussion out

[BMT]

Heavy Freezing rain and sleet now.  will not be good if this keeps up for any period of time.  

[St Paul Storm]

Pound town here now on the east side of Mpls.

[St Paul Storm]

Oh my...

 

Mesoscale discussion out

Sweet.....

 

Mesoscale Discussion 0068

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0120 PM CST Tue Feb 05 2019

 

Areas affected...Southeast MN...Northern IA...Western WI

 

Concerning...Heavy snow

 

Valid 051920Z - 060015Z

 

SUMMARY...Multiple bands of heavy snow will continue to develop and

affect the discussion area this afternoon. Snowfall rates exceeding

1 inch per hour are likely in localized areas.

 

DISCUSSION...Recent radar loop shows a developing band of moderate

to heavy snow developing from Brown/Nicollet counties of

south-central MN to near Eau Clair WI. Several observation sites

within this band, including parts of the Minneapolis metro area, are

reporting moderate snow. The expanding precipitation shield is

associated with a well-defined shortwave trough moving into NE, and

strengthening low-level warm advection indicated by local VAD

profiles.

 

This band is expected to slowly lift northeastward through the next

several hours, but will likely be replaced by an intensifying band

of heavy snow that is developing along the IA/MN border. The result

will be multiple episodes of locally significant snowfall through

the afternoon across the discussion area. Convective augmentation

of snowfall rates is likely, although lightning strikes are

uncertain.

[gosaints]

Wow this is serious stuff. Huge dendrites.  Can see the 2 main bands setting up.  Gonna hang out in the southern band

[St Paul Storm]

If I see thundersnow at 6F air temps I’ll consider that one of the best weather events I’ve ever witnessed.

[Minny_Weather]

I'm in Denison, IA currently. Air is too dry for returns to reach the ground. 12°F.

[gosaints]

And the thunder rolls........

[St Paul Storm]

Wow seriously? You’re just south of Red Wing now?

[james1976]

Heavy sleet here!

[gosaints]

Wow seriously? You’re just south of Red Wing now?

Zumbro falls

[St Paul Storm]

You picked a great spot. Locked and loaded.

 

Nice fatties falling here. Things really about to pick up shortly. The drive home is going to be a disaster.

[bud2380]

It's a sheet of ice here on the SW side of Cedar Rapids.  Looks like a mix of sleet and freezing rain.  Still coming down pretty good.  

[St Paul Storm]

Latest HRRR getting 12” amounts to the south metro. RAP going into the 6-10” range. Might need an upgrade.

[Clinton]

Getting icy down here and a developing area of freezing rain headed my way from Kansas.  I like snow so much better.

[gosaints]

As SPS stated earlier there is more wealth being spread than the Meso models were showing.  Between Zumbro falls and Lake city now and quite a scene