March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[Jesse]

Was 50 and breezy when I left the house this morning, but frosty in Salmon Creek.

[Blizzard777]

40* here

10 minute wind adverage only 1 mph

[Blizzard777]

Was 50 and breezy when I left the house this morning, but frosty in Salmon Creek.

Frost here as well

[luvssnow_spokane]

Wide range of temps this morning as warm air filters down in offshore flow in places but not others.

 

Its already 60 degrees in Enuwclaw at dawn.    Also see 57 in Maple Valley.   But just 37 down the road in Auburn.

 

Its 30 in Olympia and 60 in Enuwclaw at the same time.  

 

And 55 degrees in Portland already.

I had frost on my car in Bonney lake. Amazing the temp difference is just 7 miles.

[TT-SEA]

I had frost on my car in Bonney lake. Amazing the temp difference is just 7 miles.

 

 

It was 43 here earlier but the wind picked up a little and now it 54.    The wind is warm out there.

[Jesse]

It was 43 here earlier but the wind picked up a little and now it 54.    The wind is warm out there.

 

Would be record cold in Hawaii.

[TT-SEA]

Would be record cold in Hawaii.

 

 

Depends on which part of Hawaii.    

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Here comes Mr. Niño.

 

 

We are so screwed.

[TT-SEA]

We are so screwed.

 

 

Our climate has no ability now to deliver cold and snow.  

[Jesse]

Depends on which part of Hawaii.    

 

All the parts you'd never stray from. Ie the beach side resorts.

[TT-SEA]

All the parts you'd never stray from. Ie the beach side resorts.

 

We strayed away to Waimea Canyon and it was 52 and drizzling up there.    We did not pay money to have our normal weather at home... it was nice to see but also nice to go back down into the 80-degree sunshine.  

[Jesse]

We strayed away to Waimea Canyon and it was 52 and drizzling up there.    We did not pay money to have our normal weather at home... it was nice to see but also nice to go back down into the 80-degree sunshine.  

 

Stop winking at me, perv.

[TT-SEA]

Stop winking at me, perv.

 

 

 

[Omegaraptor]

We are so screwed.

Record hot summer guaranteed. 2018 will look like the Oregon Coast in comparison. 50 90+ days minimum.

[MossMan]

37 for a low at home. However when I got to work everything was frosted over and 33 degrees.

[TT-SEA]

GFS is playing catch up...

 

00Z run Saturday night for this coming Sunday:

 

 

 

And the new 12Z run this morning...

 

[Jesse]

GFS is playing catch up...

 

00Z run Saturday night for this coming Sunday:

 

 

 

And the new 12Z run this morning...

 

 

Could conceivably never rain again. Score.

[TT-SEA]

Could conceivably never rain again. Score.

 

 

Hyperbole!  

 

A couple weeks ago... I was thinking it would never be warm again.   But here we are.

 

Lots of rain ahead.   

[Jesse]

Hyperbole!  

 

A couple weeks ago... I was thinking it would never be warm again.   But here we are.

 

Lots of rain ahead.   

 

Could be true for any of us lucky enough to die before having to endure the end of this dry period.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sensor at PDX went out this morning and had to be replaced...Apparently the 70 degree reading at 915a was not accurate. 

[Jesse]

Sensor at PDX went out this morning and had to be replaced...Apparently the 70 degree reading at 915a was not accurate.

Looks like that sensor finally jumped the shark. We all knew it was coming someday. Maybe the new one won’t constantly run a few degrees warmer than the rest of the area this spring and summer.

[Bryant]

You guys are silly

[Omegaraptor]

The GFS, of course, backed off on the trough. Compare this 12z to yesterday’s 12z.

[ShawniganLake]

GFS ensemble has made a move to the warmer side over the past 24 hours.

[El_Nina]

Was sitting inside with the windows wide open enjoying the fresh air of early spring, but then my neighbor started burning

[TT-SEA]

70 and windy here now... optiminal conditions for pushing the warm air into the shaded spots.

[bainbridgekid]

PDX hit 70 at 9:15 AM.

 

Total insanity for mid-March.

 

EDIT: I see now it is a sensor error. It dropped back down to 55 and then rose again to 73.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=72&raw=0

[ShawniganLake]

PDX hit 70 at 9:15 AM.

 

Total insanity for mid-March.

Faulty sensor. See above.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF says a warm start to Friday but then some rain by late afternoon.   Enjoy!  

[TacomaWaWx]

Much warmer than yesterday already up to 59 here. Should be a beautiful day to kayak. Going to vashon by crossing the Colvos passage in a couple hours should be awesome. Should be close to 70 even right on the water by the time I’m heading out in a couple hours

[bainbridgekid]

After a surprisingly frosty morning here, it already feels warm and awesome out.

[GHweatherChris]

Might flirt with 80 plus degrees today, running a +7 departure compared to yesterday at this time!!

 

Hoquiam is +10.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF just keeps on giving... some rain on Friday night and now it also shows some rain moving up from the south on Tuesday afternoon.

[Jesse]

12z Euro is definitely improved. Right as the GFS and its ensembles abandoned us.

[Jesse]

PDX hit 70 at 9:15 AM.

 

Total insanity for mid-March.

 

EDIT: I see now it is a sensor error. It dropped back down to 55 and then rose again to 73.

 

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KPDX&num=72&raw=0

I think Andrew is overseeing the sensor replacement effort. Curious how that’s going.

[TT-SEA]

Day 9 looks nice... relatively warm with showers around.   Maybe convection?

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Salem up to an incredible 68 already. Mid to high 70s look likely there. Salem is probably another sensor that needs to be checked while we are on the topic. They've run warm for 5-6 years it seems...

 

Looks like an inversion has developed over Central Oregon with temps there only in the mid-30s. Still some very impressive lows east side this morning. 

[snow maniac]

It would Actually be a really nice day if it wasn’t for the screaming NE wind

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think Andrew is overseeing the sensor replacement effort. Curious how that’s going.

 

Going really well. Only negative departures from now on! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Kind of grappling with some heavy topics today. Does the record heat today and tomorrow tarnish the stretch we just went through or make it that much more special? 

 

And in some ways was this complete flip inevitable, just as March 1960 and 1951 saw quite a bit of warm weather later on in the month.